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Market reactions to ECB policy innovations: A cross-country analysis
Institution:1. Surrey Business School, University of Surrey Guildford, GU2 7XH, UK;2. School of Economics and Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics, University of Nottingham, University Park, Nottingham NG7 2RD, UK;1. University of Porto, School of Economics and Management, R. Dr. Roberto Frias 464, 4200-464 Porto, Portugal;2. University of Porto, School of Economics and Management and Center for Economics and Finance (cef.up), R. Dr. Roberto Frias 464, 4200-464 Porto, Portugal
Abstract:Regulators have been paying increasing attention to governing and steering market fluctuations, with their role in shaping the economic cycle being ever more crucial. The combined effect of the financial and sovereign debt crises, as well as the approach to the zero lower bound, has made actions even more pressing, forcing the European Central Bank to resort to unconventional instruments to revive the economies and counter deflationary pressures. By using a combined event study and panel regression methodology, we investigate whether European Monetary Union equity markets react heterogeneously to standard and non-standard European Central Bank policy innovations. Our results show that conventional policies unevenly affect financial indices in the Eurozone and, hence, are bound to generate asymmetries that reflect on real economies, while unconventional measures, albeit with different intensities, exercise a homogeneous pressure on all markets. Our evidence highlights the beneficial impact of unconventional measures and suggests that they can play a useful role even in non-crisis times.
Keywords:Monetary policy  Transmission mechanism  Equity channel  Event study  Panel regressions
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