| 超额货币、经济增长与通货膨胀——基于1979～2007年中国宏观经济数据的实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 宋健.超额货币、经济增长与通货膨胀——基于1979～2007年中国宏观经济数据的实证研究[J].广东金融学院学报,2010,25(2). |
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| 作者姓名： | 宋健 |
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| 作者单位： | 广东金融学院,工商管理系,广东,广州510521 |
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| 基金项目： | 广东省哲学社会科学“十一五”规划项目(09D-02);;广东金融学院重点项目(09XJ01-01) |
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| 摘 要： | 在考虑制度变量的滞后性前提下,运用货币滞存法对中国1979～2007年间的超额货币情况进行测量,随后运用平稳性分析、向量误差修正模型、冲击响应等方法得出了短期内经济增长对超额货币冲击的响应是正向的,长期而言是负向响应并趋于稳定;通货膨胀率对超额货币程度随机误差项冲击的响应短期达到正向响应的峰值,其后逐步衰减。
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| 关 键 词： | 超额货币 经济增长 通货膨胀 |
Excessive Money,Economic Growth and Inflation——Empirical Analysis Based on China's Macroeconomic Data from 1979 to 2007 |
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| Song Jian.Excessive Money,Economic Growth and Inflation——Empirical Analysis Based on China''s Macroeconomic Data from 1979 to 2007[J].Journal of Guangdong University of Finance,2010,25(2). |
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| Authors: | Song Jian |
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| Institution: | Business Administration Department;Guangdong University of Finance;Guangzhou 510521;China |
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| Abstract: | Prevailing method to figure the excessive money has neglected the fact that money has an important role of value-storage and the money velocity is changing.This method also ignores the inter-relationship between the development of economics and the actual demands on money.Considering the lag of system variable,this paper measures the excessive money by the means of monetary overhang,and then draws a conclusion among excessive money,economic growth and inflation in the short run and the long run.Furthermore,... |
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| Keywords: | excessive money economic growth inflation |
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