| 人民币汇率波动与中日贸易 |
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| 引用本文： | 安辉,黄万阳.人民币汇率波动与中日贸易[J].广东金融学院学报,2009,24(2):66-72. |
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| 作者姓名： | 安辉 黄万阳 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 大连理工大学,经济系,金融研究所,辽宁,大连,116023
2. 东北财经大学,数学与数量经济学院,辽宁,大连,116025 |
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| 摘 要： | 金融危机使人民币汇率存在着较大的不确定性和波动性,对中日贸易产生着重要影响。通过建立中日贸易模型的实证研究,结果表明中国对日出口收入效应较强,从日进口收入效应较弱;对日出口价格效应极强,从日进口价格效应较弱;对日出口汇率波动效应较强,从日进口汇率波动效应不存在。因此,若人民币持续升值,汇率波动日益增强,中国经济将会受到严重冲击。故中国政府应暂缓人民币升值,放缓人民币汇率形成机制改革的步伐。
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| 关 键 词： | 汇率 波动 贸易 协整 |
RMB Exchange Rate Variability and Bilateral Trade of China-Japan |
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| An Hui,Huang Wanyang.RMB Exchange Rate Variability and Bilateral Trade of China-Japan[J].Journal of Guangdong University of Finance,2009,24(2):66-72. |
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| Authors: | An Hui Huang Wanyang |
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| Institution: | 1.Department of Economics;Dalian University of Technology;Dalian 116023;China;2.College of Mathematics and Quantitative Economics;Dongbei University of Finance and Economics;Dalian 116025;China |
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| Abstract: | Recently,because of the international financial crisis,the uncertainty and variability of RMB exchange rate will have a major impact on Sino-Japanese trade.Through the empirical research of China-Japan trade model,the study shows that he income effect on China's export to Japan is stronger,the income effect on China's import from Japan is weaker;the price effect on China's export to Japan is very strong,the price effect on China's import from Japan is weaker;the exchange rate variability effect on China's e... |
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| Keywords: | exchange rate variability trade cointegration |
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