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基于模糊评价的人才流失危机与预警研究
引用本文:张权.基于模糊评价的人才流失危机与预警研究[J].内蒙古财经学院学报(综合版),2014(4):39-44.
作者姓名:张权
作者单位:罗定职业技术学院经济管理系,广东云浮527200
基金项目:中国物流学会课题(2012CSLKT184)
摘    要:通过中小物流企业人才流失原因分析,拟定相应的人才流失危机指标,通过层次分析法确定相关指标的权重,可以从微观层面上对人才流失做出预警措施;把最低级的指标划分为五个等级,给出五个等级的评价尺度,请专家对每个指标的五个等级赋分,给出该指标在五个等级下的隶属度,构造相应的评价矩阵,算出相应的评价向量,根据评价向量中的数值,确定最大隶属度并与相应的五个评价尺度对照,可以得到中观层面上的人才流失预警措施;最后把相应的一级评价向量进行综合评价,利用所得的综合评价向量与评价尺度的列向量相乘,得到宏观层面上企业人才流失分析的概率值,把概率值对照评价尺度中的数值,就可以知道中小物流企业总体人才流失风险,便采取相应的预警措施。

关 键 词:中小物流企业  层次分析法  权重  判断矩阵  模糊评价

The Brain Drain Crisis and Early Earning Research Based on Fuzzy Evaluation
ZHANG Quan.The Brain Drain Crisis and Early Earning Research Based on Fuzzy Evaluation[J].Journal of Inner Mongolia Finance and Economics College,2014(4):39-44.
Authors:ZHANG Quan
Institution:ZHANG Quan ( Luoding Vocational &Technical College, Yunfu 527200, China)
Abstract:Through an analysis of the loss of talents in small and medium - sized logistics enterprises, corresponding indicators of crisis the loss of talent can be formulated. Through the analytic hierarchy process, the weight of indexes can be determined. The early warning measurescan be made from micro level. The lowest index can be divided intofive grades. With the five grades evaluation scale, experts can give score to the five grades, give the index in five grades of membership and the corresponding evaluation matrix is constructed and calculated according to the corresponding evaluation vector, vector of numerical evaluation. The maximum membership degree and five corresponding evaluation scale control are determined, which can get the loss of early warning measures meso level on the talent. Finally it comes to the comprehensive evaluation of the corresponding level evaluation vector. Using the comprehensive evaluation of the multiplication of vector and the column vector of evaluation scale, the macro level enterprise talent loss analysis of probability comes out. By comparing to the probability value of numerical evaluation scale, we can know the overall talent loss risk of small and medium -sized logistics enterprises, then take the corresponding precautionary measures.
Keywords:Small and medium - sized logistics enterprises  AHP  weight  judgment matrix  fuzzy evaluation
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