| 组合预测模型在货运量预测中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 张林泉.组合预测模型在货运量预测中的应用[J].内蒙古财经学院学报(综合版),2012,10(1):139-142. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张林泉 |
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| 作者单位： | 广东女子职业技术学院,广东广州,511450 |
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| 基金项目： | 广东省高等职业技术教育研究会项目，广东省自然科学基金博士科研启动项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文对灰色预测模型和ARIMA预测模型进行组合,建立了组合模型,并应用于货运量的预测,实证预测表明,组合模型的预测精度优于单一的预测模型,预测结果与实际货运量拟合较好。
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| 关 键 词： | 组合预测 GM(1 1)模型 ARIMA模型 货运量 |
On the Application of Combination Forecasting Model in Freight Forecast |
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| Zhang Lin-quan.On the Application of Combination Forecasting Model in Freight Forecast[J].Journal of Inner Mongolia Finance and Economics College,2012,10(1):139-142. |
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| Authors: | Zhang Lin-quan |
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| Institution: | Zhang Lin-quan(Guangdong Women’s Polytechnic College,Guangzhou,Guangdong,511450) |
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| Abstract: | By combining gray forecasting model with ARIMA forecasting model,in this paper,the writer sets up a combined model and applies it in freight forecast.The case forecast proves that the forecast accuracy of combined model is better than the single forecast model and the forecast result is in a good coincidence with the actual fright. |
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| Keywords: | combination forecasting GM(1 1) model ARIMA model fright |
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