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Do long-short speculators destabilize commodity futures markets?
Institution:1. EDHEC Business School, France;2. EDHEC Risk Institute, France;3. ICMA Centre, University of Reading, United Kingdom;1. Middle East Technical University, Department of Business Administration, 06531 Ankara, Turkey;2. Yıldırım Beyazıt University, Department of Management, Esenboğa Külliyesi, Esenboğa, 06970 Ankara, Turkey;3. Middle East Technical University, Department of Earth System Science, 06531 Ankara, Turkey
Abstract:This paper contributes to the debate on the effects of the financialization of commodity futures markets by studying the conditional volatility of long–short commodity portfolios and their conditional correlations with traditional assets (stocks and bonds). Using several groups of trading strategies that hedge fund managers are known to implement, we show that long–short speculators do not cause changes in the volatilities of the portfolios they hold or changes in the conditional correlations between these portfolios and traditional assets. Thus calls for increased regulation of commodity money managers are, at this stage, premature. Additionally, long–short speculators can take comfort in knowing that their trades do not alter the risk and diversification properties of their portfolios.
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