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Are non-fundamental equilibria learnable in models of monetary policy?
Authors:Seppo Honkapohja  Kaushik Mitra
Institution:a Faculty of Economics and Politics, University of Cambridge, Sidgwick Avenue, Cambridge CB3 9DD, UK
b Royal Holloway College, University of London, Egham, Surrey TW20 0EX, UK
Abstract:Recent models of monetary policy can have indeterminacy of equilibria, which is often viewed as a difficulty of these models. We consider the significance of indeterminacy using the learning approach to expectations formation. We employ expectational stability as a selection criterion for different equilibria and derive the expectational stability and instability conditions for forward-looking multivariate models, both without and with lags. The results are applied to several monetary policies.
Keywords:E52  E31  D84
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