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新时代全面建成小康社会的辉煌成就及新征程展望——基于“中国平衡发展指数”的综合分析
引用本文:许宪春,刘婉琪,彭慧,张钟文.新时代全面建成小康社会的辉煌成就及新征程展望——基于“中国平衡发展指数”的综合分析[J].金融研究,2021,496(10):1-21.
作者姓名:许宪春  刘婉琪  彭慧  张钟文
作者单位:西南财经大学统计学院,四川成都 611130; 清华大学中国经济社会数据研究中心,北京 100084; 清华大学经济管理学院,北京 100084; 上海财经大学统计与管理学院,上海 200433
基金项目:* 本文感谢国家社会科学基金重大项目“大数据背景下新经济新动能统计监测与评价研究”(18ZDA124)的资助;本文是清华大学中国经济社会数据研究中心“清华大学中国平衡发展指数”课题最终成果的重要组成部分。课题组负责人:许宪春、白重恩、刘涛雄,课题组成员:刘精明、张钟文、郑正喜、任雪、杨静、张美慧、胡远宁、胡亚茹、汤美微、关会娟、陈丹丹、朱莉、王洋、雷泽坤、周融、唐雅、靖骐亦、刘婉琪、彭慧。感谢匿名审稿人的宝贵意见,文责自负。
摘    要:建党100周年之际,全面建成惠及十几亿人口的更高水平的小康社会,是我们党向人民、向历史作出的庄严承诺,也是实现中华民族伟大复兴中国梦的关键一步。本文紧扣新时代我国社会主要矛盾和全面建成小康社会的时代内涵,深入学习理解“十三五”和“十四五”规划纲要,结合发展不平衡不充分问题的一些新情况新变化,基于清华大学中国平衡发展指数,重点对党的十八大以来我国全面建成小康社会期间经济发展、社会治理、文化建设、脱贫攻坚、人民生活和生态环境等核心内容进行统计监测与分析。结果表明:党的十八大确立了“全面建成小康社会决定性阶段”以后,以习近平同志为核心的党中央带领全国各族人民接续奋斗、攻坚克难,2020年我国实现脱贫攻坚战的全面胜利,经济实力、科技实力、综合国力跃上新的大台阶,决胜全面建成小康社会取得历史性成就。在全面建成小康社会的基础上,乘势而上开启全面建设社会主义现代化国家新征程,需要牢牢聚焦解决发展不平衡不充分问题。站在“两个一百年”的历史交汇点上,本文进一步结合监测结果展望新征程,深入剖析了全面建设社会主义现代化国家面临的问题与挑战,并提出了相应的对策建议。

关 键 词:全面建成小康社会  中国平衡发展指数  发展不平衡不充分  社会主义现代化国家  

Great Achievements in Building a Moderately Prosperous Society in All Respects in the New Era and Prospects for the Country's New Journey:Statistical Monitoring and Analysis Based on the China Balanced Development Index
XU Xianchun,LIU Wanqi,PENG Hui,ZHANG Zhongwen.Great Achievements in Building a Moderately Prosperous Society in All Respects in the New Era and Prospects for the Country's New Journey:Statistical Monitoring and Analysis Based on the China Balanced Development Index[J].Journal of Financial Research,2021,496(10):1-21.
Authors:XU Xianchun  LIU Wanqi  PENG Hui  ZHANG Zhongwen
Institution:School of Statistics, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics; Tsinghua China Data Center, School of Economics and Management, Tsinghua University; School of Statistics and Management; Shanghai University of Finance and Economics
Abstract:On the occasion of the centenary of the founding of the Communist Party of China (CPC), the building of a moderately prosperous society in all respects for the benefit of more than 1.4 billion people is not only a solemn commitment made by China's party to its people and history but also a key step in realizing the Chinese dream of the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation. This study focuses on the statistical monitoring and analysis of the core contents of the Tsinghua China Balanced Development Index during the building of a moderately prosperous society in all respects since the 18th CPC National Congress. These contents include data relating to economic development, social governance, cultural construction, poverty alleviation, the people's livelihoods, and the ecological environment. The results comprehensively reflect China's great achievements. Further to this study's use of the monitoring results to examine the country's new journey, it analyzes the problems and challenges presented by the comprehensive construction of a modern socialist country. Based on our results, this study suggests countermeasures to address the main contradictions affecting China's society in the new era and help start its new journey toward the comprehensive construction of a modern socialist country.The construction of the China Balanced Development Index is based on the principal contradictions affecting Chinese society in the new era. The index links the need to improve people's lives with imbalances and inadequacies in the country's development and meets the requirements for a comprehensive system to monitor the country's progress in building a moderately prosperous society in all respects. First, the China Balanced Development Index measures comprehensive criteria for the improvement of people's lives, which cover four areas: economic development, social progress, the ecological environment, and people's well-being. Second, based on the idea of no one being left behind on the path to a prosperous society benefiting all people, the China Balanced Development Index embodies the whole population and uses the Poverty Incidence Rate indicator to measure the progress of poverty alleviation in different regions. Thirdly, the construction of the China Balanced Development Index embodies all regions, fully addressing the problems of development imbalances between different regions and between urban and rural areas.Our results show historic achievements in building a moderately prosperous society in all respects since the beginning of the new era: economic development continues to advance, the level of social governance continues to improve, cultural soft power is becoming increasingly prominent, poverty is successfully alleviated, people's living standards are significantly enhanced, and the ecological environment is improving markedly.Based on our analysis of the data from the China Balanced Development Index, this study finds the following problems and challenges: regional differences need to be further narrowed, the imbalance between urban and rural development remains prominent, the ability to innovate does not meet the requirements of high-quality development, imbalances and inadequacies in the people's disposable incomes remain prominent, the equalization of basic public services needs to be further ameliorated, and governance of the ecological environment needs to be further improved.This study suggests some potential solutions to the above problems. First, adhering to the strategy of promoting major regional development and building a new pattern of regional coordinated development. Second, vigorously implementing China's rural revitalization strategy and promoting the integrated development of the country's urban and rural areas. Third, strengthening the construction of technological innovation and diffusion systems and continuously improving the national innovation capability. Fourth, ameliorating the income distribution policy to further narrow the income distribution gap. Fifth, making deeper pension, medical care, and education reforms, while promoting the equalization of basic public services. Finally, further modernizing the governance of the ecological environment to achieve sustainable development.
Keywords:Building a Moderately Prosperous Society in All Respects  China Balanced Development Index  Imbalances and Inadequacies in Development  Socialist Modernization Country  
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