| 多重均衡条件下农村正规金融发展与经济增长的关系——基于中国省际数据的实证分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 龙海明,柳沙玲.多重均衡条件下农村正规金融发展与经济增长的关系——基于中国省际数据的实证分析[J].金融研究,2008(6). |
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| 作者姓名： | 龙海明 柳沙玲 |
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| 作者单位： | 湖南大学金融学院; |
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| 摘 要： | 农村正规金融发展和经济增长之间的相互作用有可能产生多重的、稳定状态的均衡。本文在内生经济增长理论的框架下分析了二元经济条件下农村正规金融发展与经济增长之间的多重均衡,运用邹至庄断点检验(Chow Test)和预测失败检验(Predictive Failure Test)对中国省际农村数据进行了实证分析。结果表明我国农村正规金融对农村经济增长的支持力度必须达到一定临界水平才实现二者的良性循环。
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| 关 键 词： | 农村正规金融发展 农村经济增长 多重均衡 参数稳定性检验 |
The Relationship Between Rural Formal Financial System Development and Rural Economic Growth under Circumstances of Multi-equilibrium |
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| Long Haiming Liu Shaling.The Relationship Between Rural Formal Financial System Development and Rural Economic Growth under Circumstances of Multi-equilibrium[J].Journal of Financial Research,2008(6). |
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| Authors: | Long Haiming Liu Shaling |
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| Abstract: | The interaction between rural formal financial system development and rural economic growth can generate stable multi-equilibrium.This article analyzes the multi-equilibrium between rural formal financial sys- tem development and rural economic growth under the framework of endogenous growth theory,and made an empirical research on Chinese provincial level data by using Chow Test and Predictive Failure Test.The results turn to be that there exits a threshold level for the development of rural formal financi... |
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| Keywords: | rural formal financial system development rural economic growth multi-equilibrium parameter stability test |
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