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基于DFA方法的中国财险业盈利能力分析
引用本文:张勇,杜同超.基于DFA方法的中国财险业盈利能力分析[J].保险研究,2011(8):46-51.
作者姓名:张勇  杜同超
作者单位:西南财经大学保险学院,四川成都,611130;西南财经大学保险学院,四川成都,611130
基金项目:西南财经大学211工程三期重点学科建设项目“保险公司偿付能力监管有效性”的资助
摘    要:我国财险业在过去十年问发展迅速,但保费收入的增加并没有显著提高财险公司的盈利能力。如何提高企业盈利能力,优化经营效率的提高是财险业持续健康发展的根本。本文尝试建立我国财险行业经营活动的动态财务分析模型,运用Crystal ball软件模拟了未来五年财险行业净利润相关财务指标的变化趋势。本文的实证研究表明股权投资、基金投...

关 键 词:动态财务分析  盈利能力  投资风险  贡献度

The Profitability Analysis of China′s Property Insurance Industry based on DFA Methods
Institution:Zhang Yong,Du Tong-chao
Abstract:China’s property & casualty insurance industry has developed rapidly in the last decade,but premium growth has not significantly improved P&C insurers′ profitability.How to enhance their profitability and optimize their operational efficiency is a fundamental issue for maintaining continuous and healthy development of the industry.This article attempted to employ the Dynamic Financial Analysis method(DFA) to simulate the P/C insurance industry′s operations with the Crystal Ball software.The empirical research showed that equity investment,fund investment,corporate debt investment and claim ratio made great contributions to the net profit.It pointed out that the property insurance industry should increase the proportion of equity investments while controlling investment risks,and that it should also strengthen claims management and control the claim ratio to improve the profitability of China′s property & casualty insurance industry.
Keywords:dynamic financial analysis  profitability  investment risk  degree of contribution
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