Market reaction to quantitative and qualitative order backlog disclosures |
| |
| Institution: | 1. Data & Text Mining Laboratory, Jerusalem School of Business Administration, Israel;2. Rutgers Business School – Newark and New Brunswick, Rutgers University, Department of Accounting and Information Systems, United States;3. Stern School of Business Administration, New York University and, QMA LLC, United States;4. Freeman College of Management, Bucknell University, United States;1. University of Colorado Denver, 1475 Lawrence Street, Denver, CO 80202, USA;2. Bentley University, 175 Forest Street, Waltham, MA 02452, USA;3. Northeastern University, 404 Hayden Hall, 360 Huntington Avenue, Boston, MA 02115, USA;1. School of Business, University of Connecticut, 2100 Hillside Rd., Unit 1041A, Storrs, CT 06269, United States;2. College of Business, Colorado State University, 501 W. Laurel St., Fort Collins, CO 80523, United States;1. D’Amore-McKim School of Business Northeastern University, United States;2. College of Business Administration University of Nebraska – Lincoln, United States;3. Farmer School of Business Miami University, United States;1. Department of Accounting, Box 8113, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-8113, United States;2. Department of Management, Ca’ Foscari University, Cannaregio 873, 30121 Venice, Italy;1. Oregon State University, United States;2. Purdue University, United States |
| |
| Abstract: | Analysts and practitioners have long sought information on order backlog (OB) as indicators of future sales, and in turn, of future earnings and stock returns. OB disclosures, though mandatory for annual reports, are voluntarily included in some quarterly reports and are sometimes presented only in textual narration. Given that the required annual OB data may be partially preempted by voluntary quarterly disclosures, we test whether quarterly OB disclosures are used by market participants, especially the qualitative OB disclosures, which were not tested before. We show that OB growth is helpful in forecasting future sales and thus assign a positive tone to qualitative OB disclosures that indicate OB growth. Both quarterly quantitative OB increases and positive qualitative tone are associated with immediate and drift returns, after controlling for other disclosures during the quarterly earnings announcements and variables that affect voluntary disclosure. Our results indicate that regulators may need to consider requiring OB disclosures in quarterly intervals when OB is sufficiently material. |
| |
| Keywords: | Earnings surprise Future sales growth Order backlog Qualitative disclosures Stock returns G14 M41 |
| 本文献已被 ScienceDirect 等数据库收录！ |
|
