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The effect of consistency in book-tax differences on analysts’ earnings forecasts: Evidence from forecast accuracy and informativeness
Institution:1. The Robert J. Manning School of Business, University of Massachusetts Lowell, One University Avenue, Lowell, MA 01854, USA;2. College of Business and Economics, California State University, Los Angeles, 5151 State University Drive, Los Angeles, CA 90032, USA;1. Trier University, Universitätsring 15, 54296 Trier, Germany;2. Lancaster University Management School, Bailrigg, Lancaster LA1 4YX, United Kingdom;3. Erasmus School of Economics, Burgemeester Oudlaan 50, 3062 PA Rotterdam, the Netherlands;1. Department of Accounting Information, National Taipei University of Business, Taiwan, ROC;2. Department of Accounting, Ming-Chuan University, Taiwan, ROC;1. Colorado State University, United States;2. Drexel University, United States;1. Auburn University, Harbert College of Business, 301 Lowder Hall, Auburn, AL 36849, United States;2. Kennesaw State University, United States;3. John Carroll University, United States;1. School of Management, Xi’an Jiaotong University, China;2. School of Accountancy, University of Hawaii at Manoa, United States;1. Shenzhen Finance Institute, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen, China;2. University of Oregon, United States;3. School of Accounting and Finance, Faculty of Business, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong SAR, China;4. Faculty of Business and Economics, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
Abstract:This study examines the relationship between the consistency of book-tax differences and the quality of analysts’ earnings forecasts. We find that the consistency of book-tax differences is associated with more accurate and informative forecasts. This suggests that the information embedded in the consistency of book-tax differences plays an important role in elevating the quality of analysts’ forecasts. Furthermore, the effect of consistency in book-tax differences on analyst forecast quality is greater for firms with noisier information environment. Finally, we find that the relation between consistency in book-tax differences and improvements in forecast accuracy and informativeness is stronger after the implementation of Regulation Fair Disclosure, which increased the role of public information in analysts’ forecasts.
Keywords:Analyst forecasts  Book-tax differences  Consistency  Information content  Information noise  Regulation Fair Disclosure  G14  G20  M41  M48
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