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Debt, Death and Taxes
Authors:Tatsuji Hayakawa  Paul J Zak
Institution:(1) Inter-American Development Bank, USA;(2) Department of Economics, Claremont Graduate University, Claremont, CA, 91711-6165, U.S.A
Abstract:Does the level of government debt affect living standards and if so, to what extent? We quantify the impact of the U.S. federal debt using an open economy overlapping generations model in which consumers have long but finite lifetimes. A demographic structure allows fiscal policy changes to have different effects on different agents, and reveals the linkages between public debt, output and international trade. We find that reducing the debt has relatively modest impacts on aggregates, while reducing government spending substantially raises U.S. incomes and welfare. Therefore, this paper contributes to the current debate regarding whether U.S. federal government budget surpluses should be used to retire government debt.
Keywords:debt  fiscal policy  overlapping generations  computable general equilibrium models
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