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The Asymmetric Impact of Monetary Policy on Currency Markets
Authors:Bento J Lobo  Ali F Darrat  Sanjay Ramchander
Abstract:This study examines whether tightening and easing actions of the Federal Reserve symmetrically influence currency markets. Using daily data on four exchange rates from 1989 to 2001, we find that changes in the Fed's interest rate target are positively related to changes in the value of the dollar. Surprises associated with monetary tightening have a larger announcement effect as compared to monetary easing for the British pound, German mark, and Canadian dollar, whereas the opposite is true for the Japanese yen. The results appear to be driven by the reactions of foreign central banks to Fed actions, the Fed's credibility as a policymaker, and by the change in the Fed's disclosure policy beginning in 1994.
Keywords:monetary policy  federal funds rate target  exchange rates  nonannouncement surprises  asymmetric policy effects  disclosure policy regimes  G14  G15  E52  F31
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