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An Empirical Study of International Spillover of Sovereign Risk to Bank Credit Risk
Authors:Winnie P H Poon  Jianfu Shen  John E Burnett
Institution:1. Lingnan University;2. Hang Seng Management College;3. University of Alabama in Huntsville
Abstract:The severity and complexity of the recent financial crisis has motivated the need for understanding the relationships between sovereign ratings and bank credit ratings. This is the first study to examine the impact of the “international” spillover of sovereign risk to bank credit risk through both a ratings channel and an asset holdings channel. In the first case, the downgrade of sovereign ratings in GIIPS (Greece, Italy, Ireland, Portugal, and Spain) countries leads to rating downgrades of banks in the peripheral countries. The second channel indicates that larger asset holdings of GIIPS debt increases the credit risk of cross‐border banks, and hence, the probabilities of downgrade.
Keywords:bank credit ratings  sovereign credit ratings  spillover effects  credit rating agencies  G01  G21  G24
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