Is the dollar peg suitable for the largest economies of the Gulf Cooperation Council? |
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Authors: | Jay Squalli |
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Institution: | Department of Economics, American University of Sharjah, P.O. Box 26666, Sharjah, United Arab Emirates |
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Abstract: | The slumping of the GCC currencies against other major currencies and the ensuing rising imported inflation have sparked an ongoing debate about the viability of the dollar peg. This paper extends and applies the contribution of Berger et al. (2001) to the largest economies of the GCC, namely Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the UAE, by introducing a foreign inflation dimension. Empirical estimations suggest little or no evidence supporting the suitability of a fixed exchange rate regime in any of the three analyzed economies. It is this paper's contention that policy makers ought to play an immediate and active role in identifying a suitable more flexible exchange rate regime as well as an achievable timeline and road map to effectively abandoning the dollar peg. |
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Keywords: | JEL classification: E42 F31 F40 |
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