新冠肺炎疫情对居民消费的影响及对策

2020年春节期间,湖北省武汉市爆发的由新型冠状病毒感染引起的肺炎疫情正在对中国经济和消费带来负向冲击。从逻辑上看,除了直接限制消费外,疫情还会通过收入效应、财富效应、实际购买力效应对消费形成不利影响。从历史上看,十七年前的"非典"疫情对经济和消费的影响是短期的,但此次疫情影响更大,持续期存在不确定性。稳定消费的关键是稳定居民收入,要稳定居民收入就需要稳定非农产业就业。基于分析,本文提出了一揽子政策建议。

Impact of COVID-19 on Residents’ Consumption and Countermeasures

During the Spring Festival in 2020, the outbreak of COVID-19 in Wuhan, Hubei Province, is having a negative impact on China’s economy and consumption. Logically, in addition to directly restricting consumption, the epidemic will also adversely affect consumption through income effect, wealth effect, and real purchasing power effect. Historically, the impact of the SARS epidemic on the economy and consumption 17 years ago was short-term, but this time the epidemic has a greater impact and there is uncertainty in the duration. The key to stable consumption is to stabilize the income of residents. To stabilize the income of residents, it is necessary to stabilize the employment of non-agricultural industries. Based on the analysis, this paper puts forward a package of policy recommendations.