Tagging the triggers: an empirical analysis of information events prompting sell-side analyst reports |
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Authors: | Alexander Kerl Oscar Stolper Andreas Walter |
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Institution: | (1) Licher Str. 74, 35394 Giessen, Germany |
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Abstract: | In order to fulfill their function as information intermediaries in capital markets, sell-side equity analysts regularly issue
updated forecasts on the stocks they cover. Quite often, the publication of (revised) analysts’ reports is subject to certain
trigger events such as the publication of annual figures or the announcement of an upcoming merger. In this exploratory study,
we develop a two-step procedure to identify the core events that trigger the release of analysts’ reports on companies that
constitute the Dow Jones EuroSTOXX50 index during the three-year period from 2004 to 2006. These can be grouped into Financial Disclosures, Corporate Management, Corporate Strategy, Business Activity, Operating Environment and Share. The results suggest that sell-side analysts attach great importance to non-financial information events when transforming
their earnings estimates into valuation forecasts and stock recommendations. Additionally, we link the information events
identified as reasons of issuance to the summary measures disclosed in the reports in order to investigate the relationship
between the report trigger and associated analyst reaction. Our findings indicate that the forecasting activity of sell-side
analysts is greatly influenced by forward-looking statements made by management, strategy-related news flow, and non-company-specific
information relating to the covered firm’s operating environment. |
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