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Differential Market Reactions to Revenue and Expense Surprises
Authors:Yonca Ertimur  Joshua Livnat  Minna Martikainen
Institution:(1) Leonard N. Stern School of Business, New York University, USA;(2) Leonard N. Stern School of Business, New York University, 311 Tisch Hall, 40 West 4th Street, New York, NY, 10012;(3) Laurea Polytechnic, Finland
Abstract:This study investigates investors' reactions to revenue and expense surprises around preliminary earnings announcements. Results show that investors value more highly a dollar of revenue surprise than a dollar of expense surprise. Results further show that these differential market reactions to revenue and expense surprises vary systematically for growth versus value firms and depend on (a) the proportion of variable to total costs, (b) the relative persistence of sales and expenses, and (c) the proportion of operating to total expenses. Results highlight the importance of interpreting the earnings surprise in the context of its sources—e.g. surprise in revenues or in total expenses.
Keywords:revenue forecasts  sales and expense surprises  value-growth  earnings management
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