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The Moments of the Time of Ruin in Markovian Risk Models
Authors:Kaiqi Yu PhD  Jiandong Ren PhD  David A Stanford PhD
Institution:Department of Statistical and Actuarial Sciences , University of Western Ontario , London , Ontario N6A, 5B7 , Canada
Abstract:Abstract

We present an approach based on matrix-analytic methods to find moments of the time of ruin in Markovian risk models. The approach is applicable when claims occur according to a Markovian arrival process (MAP) and claim sizes are phase distributed with parameters that depend on the state of the MAP. The method involves the construction of a sample-path-equivalent Markov-modulated fluid flow for the risk model. We develop an algorithm for moments of the time of ruin and prove the algorithm is convergent. Examples show that the proposed approach is computationally stable.
Keywords:
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