| 旅游产业发展与区域经济增长的协整与因果关系——以湘鄂渝黔边区为例 |
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| 引用本文： | 吴忠才.旅游产业发展与区域经济增长的协整与因果关系——以湘鄂渝黔边区为例[J].财经理论与实践,2009,30(2). |
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| 作者姓名： | 吴忠才 |
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| 作者单位： | 中南大学商学院,湖南,长沙,410083 |
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| 摘 要： | 运用协整理论和Granger因果关系理论,对湘鄂渝黔边区1988～2005年的国内生产总值与旅游收入的关系的分析表明:两者之间存在协整关系和单向因果关系,旅游产业发展每增加1%,国内生产总值增加约0.26%.
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| 关 键 词： | 经济增长 旅游产业 协整 Granger因果检验 误差修正模型 |
Co-integration and Granger Causality Analysis between Tourism and GDP-Take Bordering Area of Hunan,Hubei,Chongqing and Guizhou as Example |
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| WU Zhong-cai.Co-integration and Granger Causality Analysis between Tourism and GDP-Take Bordering Area of Hunan,Hubei,Chongqing and Guizhou as Example[J].The Theory and Practice of Finance and Economics,2009,30(2). |
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| Authors: | WU Zhong-cai |
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| Institution: | Business School;Central South University;Changsha;Hunan 410083;China |
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| Abstract: | Based on co-integration and granger causality theories,this paper indicates that there is a long-term stability co-integration relation between economic growth and tourism by the data from bordering area of Hunan,Hubei,Chongqing and Guizhou during 1988 to 2005.The result shows that with 1% increasing of tourism,GDP will increase 0.26%. |
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