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新供给经济下的地方政府性债务效率研究——基于DEA三阶段和空间外溢效应模型
引用本文:李思,欧阳煌,谢珊珊.新供给经济下的地方政府性债务效率研究——基于DEA三阶段和空间外溢效应模型[J].财经理论与实践,2016(3):47-55.
作者姓名:李思  欧阳煌  谢珊珊
作者单位:1. 湖南大学 经济与贸易学院,湖南 长沙,410079;2. 湖南大学 财务处,湖南 长沙,410079
基金项目:湖南省社科重大委托项目(14WTA26)
摘    要:通过DEA三阶段方法对中国31个行政区域进行地方政府性债务效率的测度,测评结果表明,2001~2013年,中国地方政府性债务使用效率整体稳中有升,趋势向好,环境变量对效率值存在显著影响;运用空间杜宾模型测度地方政府性债务效率的时空变迁,结果发现经济、社会、政策、市场化程度及债务管理因素均存在显著的空间外溢效应;同时基于空间框架下分析上述各因素对地方政府性债务效率的影响机制。最后,结合当前经济形势和文章实证结论,提出了包括组织债务置换、重置债务结构、创新债务激励管控预警机制协调债务空间利用与供给侧改革等优化地方政府性债务效率的改革路径。

关 键 词:地方政府性债务效率  DEA三阶段方法  空间外溢效应  供给侧改革

The Use Efficiency Study of Local Government Debt Under the Background of The New Supply Economy:Based on the Three-stage DEA Model and Spatial Spillover Effect Model
LI Si,OU Yanghuang,XIE Shanshan.The Use Efficiency Study of Local Government Debt Under the Background of The New Supply Economy:Based on the Three-stage DEA Model and Spatial Spillover Effect Model[J].The Theory and Practice of Finance and Economics,2016(3):47-55.
Authors:LI Si  OU Yanghuang  XIE Shanshan
Institution:(1.School of Economics and Trade, Hunan University, Changsha, Hunan410079,China; 2.The Financial Department of Hunan University, Changsha, Hunan410079, China)
Abstract:Taking 3 1 provinces of China for samples,this paper makes an evaluation of the use efficiency of local government debts with the three-stage DEA model.The results reveal that the overall efficiency of local government debts in China is increasing with a positive trend as a whole,and there is a significant influence of environment variables during the period of 2001-2013.Then,the paper uses the special dubin model to measure the timing and special change of the efficiency of local government debts.The findings show that the indicators including econo-my,society,policy,and the debt management factors have a significant spatial spillover effect on the efficiency of local government debts.In this paper,we analyze the mechanism of the factors that affect the efficiency of local government debts.Finally,combining with the current economic situation and empirical conclusions,this paper puts forward serious solutions to the optimization the local government debt efficiency including displacement the local debt,reseting the debt structure,innovating incentive control and warning mechanism,ruled by the reform of the supply side.
Keywords:Efficiency of local government debts  Three-stage DEA method  Spatial spillover effect  Reform of the supply side
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