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我国保险业与经济增长关系的实证研究
引用本文:韩春蕾,王新军.我国保险业与经济增长关系的实证研究[J].财经理论与实践,2012,33(6):114-117.
作者姓名:韩春蕾  王新军
作者单位:1. 山东大学经济学院,山东济南250100;滨州医学院卫生管理学院,山东烟台264003
2. 山东大学经济学院,山东济南,250100
基金项目:全国统计科研计划一般项目,山东省统计科研重点研究课题,山东省应用统计学会重点研究课题
摘    要:为研究保险业和经济增长的关系,选取2001~2011年我国大陆30个省份(不含西藏)保险密度和人均GDP的面板数据,分别进行全国以及区域(东部、中部、西部地区)的保险业和经济增长之间的长期、短期及因果关系检验,分组计算经济增长对保险业发展的贡献度,得出如下结论:全国层面经济增长是保险业发展的重要因素,保险业发展又反过来促进了经济增长;区域层面经济增长和保险业发展之间的关系不一致,保险业发展与经济发展不协调。

关 键 词:面板数据  单位根检验  协整检验  误差修正模型  格兰杰因果检验

An Empirical Analysis of the Relationships between the Development of Insurance Industry and Economic Growth in China
HAN Chun-lei,WANG Xin-jun.An Empirical Analysis of the Relationships between the Development of Insurance Industry and Economic Growth in China[J].The Theory and Practice of Finance and Economics,2012,33(6):114-117.
Authors:HAN Chun-lei  WANG Xin-jun
Institution:1 (1.School of Economics,Shandong University,Jinan 250100,China; 2.School of Health Management,Binzhou Medical University,Yantai 264003,China)
Abstract:To analyze the relationships between development of insurance industry and economic growth, the sample of 2001~2011 panel data of insurance density and per capita GDP of 30 provinces in mainland of China has been selected. The causality relationships between insurance industry and economic growth and the contribution rates of economic growth to insurance industry are analyzed using the regional data. The conclusions are as following: the economic growth is one of the stimulatives to insurance industry, then the latter can promote the former on national level. Relationships of economic growth and insurance industry development are different on regional level. Insurance industry developments are not coordinated with degree of growth completely.
Keywords:Panel data  Unit root test  Cointegration test  ECM  Granger causality
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