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我国P2P网络借贷信用风险影响因素研究——基于排序选择模型的实证分析
引用本文:肖曼君,欧缘媛,李颖.我国P2P网络借贷信用风险影响因素研究——基于排序选择模型的实证分析[J].财经理论与实践,2015(1):2-6.
作者姓名:肖曼君  欧缘媛  李颖
作者单位:湖南大学 金融与统计学院,湖南 长沙,410079
基金项目:湖南省哲学社会科学基金项目
摘    要:P2P(peer-to-peer)网络借贷是一种借助网络平台,由个人与个人间互为借贷双方的小额借贷交易。它作为互联网与民间借贷相结合的新兴金融模式,具有较高的信用风险。采用排序选择模型,基于 ex-celVBA 数据挖掘技术截取多个 P2P 网站数据,对平台信用风险的影响因素进行实证分析,结果表明:个人特征、信用变量、历史表现、借款信息分别对网络借贷信用风险存在正向影响,由此发现网站提供的信息对投资者避免信用风险没有起到实质作用。

关 键 词:P2P  网络借贷  信用风险  互联网金融  排序选择模型

On the Influence Factors of Credit Risk of Online P2P Lending in China:Based on an Empirical Analysis by the Ranking Selection Model
XIAO Man-jun,OU Yuan-yuan,LI Ying.On the Influence Factors of Credit Risk of Online P2P Lending in China:Based on an Empirical Analysis by the Ranking Selection Model[J].The Theory and Practice of Finance and Economics,2015(1):2-6.
Authors:XIAO Man-jun  OU Yuan-yuan  LI Ying
Institution:(College of Finance & Statistics, Hunan University, Changsha, Hunan410079, China)
Abstract:Online P2P (peer-to-peer)lending,is microfinance transactions by people lending to each other,with the aid of online platforms of electronic business.As a new financial model of folk loan business conducted with the Internet technology,it has a higher credit risk.This paper uses the ranking selection model to analyze the influencing factors of the credit risk of online lend-ing based on data from some P2P sites extracted by excel VBA Data Mining,and the results showed that:personal characteristics,credit variables,historical performance,loan information each had a marked positive influence on the credit risk of online lending.We found that the infor-mation provided by websites for investors to avoid credit risk did not play a substantive role.
Keywords:Online P2P lending  Credit risk  Internet finance  Ranking selection model
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