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房价波动、银行信贷与经济增长
引用本文:孔煜.房价波动、银行信贷与经济增长[J].财经理论与实践,2009,30(5).
作者姓名:孔煜
作者单位:南京大学,经济学院,江苏,南京,210093
基金项目:国家社会科学基金重点项目,中国博士后基金项目 
摘    要:运用联立方程模型、面板分析技术及省际面板数据研究发现,我国房价波动、银行信贷与经济增长之间具有紧密的联系.分区域的实证研究结果显示:各地区房价的上涨与金融支持有关,过度的金融支持使东中部地区的房价偏离了经济基本面;中西部地区房价的上涨对银行信贷的扩张有显著影响,而经济增长是各地区促进银行信贷扩张的共同因素.此外,房价的上涨与银行信贷的扩张共同促进了我国各区域经济的繁荣.

关 键 词:房价波动  银行信贷  经济增长  面板数据

Real Estate Price Fluctuation, Bank Lending and Economic Growth
KONG Yu.Real Estate Price Fluctuation, Bank Lending and Economic Growth[J].The Theory and Practice of Finance and Economics,2009,30(5).
Authors:KONG Yu
Institution:KONG Yu (School of Economics,Nanjing University,Jiangsu Nanjing 210093,China)
Abstract:This paper uses simultaneous equations model based on national and provincial panel data to study on the housing prices,bank lending and economic growth.We find that there is a close relationship among housing prices,bank lending and economic growth.But the empirical research of their relationship in every region of China shows differentia to us.The results reveals that bank lending is the most effective factor pulling regional housing prices and housing prices are deviation from fundamentals in Eastern reg...
Keywords:Bank Lending  Real Estate Price Fluctuation  Economic Growth  Panel Data  
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