VIX option pricing

Substantial progress has been made in developing more realistic option pricing models for S&P 500 index (SPX) options. Empirically, however, it is not known whether and by how much each generalization of SPX price dynamics improves VIX option pricing. This article fills this gap by first deriving a VIX option model that reconciles the most general price processes of the SPX in the literature. The relative empirical performance of several models of distinct interest is examined. Our results show that state‐dependent price jumps and volatility jumps are important for pricing VIX options. © 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 29:523–543, 2009     

Pathwise moderate deviations for option pricing

We provide a unifying treatment of pathwise moderate deviations for models commonly used in financial applications, and for related integrated functionals. Suitable scaling enables us to transfer these results into small‐time, large‐time, and tail asymptotics for diffusions, as well as for option prices and realized variances. In passing, we highlight some intuitive relationships between moderate deviations rate functions and their large deviations counterparts; these turn out to be useful for numerical purposes, as large deviations rate functions are often difficult to compute.     

Nonparametric American option pricing

A nonparametric method is introduced to accurately price American-style contingent claims. This method uses only historical stock price data, not option price data, to generate the American option price. The accuracy of this method is tested in a controlled experimental environment under both Black, F and Scholes, M (1973) and Heston, S (1993) assumptions, and an error-metric analysis is performed. These numerical experiments demonstrate that this method is an accurate and precise method of pricing American options under a variety of market conditions. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 28:717–748, 2008     

Alternative marginal-cost pricing for road networks

In the literature, several studies have algebraically characterized the set of toll vectors or patterns that, when added to a user equilibrium problem, its solution would be system optimal. Toll vectors in this set are termed “valid.” While the toll vector commonly advocated in the literature, i.e., one that equates the toll on each link to its marginal external cost, is always valid, other valid toll vectors generally exist and many leave some utilized links in the network untolled. On the surface, this may appear unreasonable and seems to violate the principle of marginal-cost pricing. This note shows that, when travel demands are elastic, all valid toll vectors satisfy this principle, in that the total tolls for each path equals the congestion externality an additional traveler on the path imposes on others.     

A flexible binomial option pricing model

This article develops a flexible binomial model with a “tilt” parameter that alters the shape and span of the binomial tree. A positive tilt parameter shifts the tree upward while a negative tilt parameter does exactly the opposite. This simple extension of the standard binomial model is shown to converge with any value of the tilt parameter. More importantly, the binomial tree can be recalibrated through the tilt parameter in order to position nodes relative to the strike price or barrier of an option. The rate of convergence is improved as a result. © 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 19: 817–843, 1999     

Currency barrier option pricing with mean reversion

This article develops a barrier option pricing model in which the exchange rate follows a mean‐reverting lognormal process. The corresponding closed‐form solutions for the barrier options with time‐dependent barriers are derived. The numerical results show that barrier option values and the corresponding hedge parameters under the proposed model are different from those based on the Black‐Scholes model. For an up‐and‐out call, the mean‐reverting process keeps the exchange rate in a small range around the mean level. When the mean level is below the barrier but above the strike price, the risk of the call to be knocked out is reduced and its option value is enhanced compared with the value under the Black‐Scholes model. The parameters of the mean‐reverting lognormal process therefore have a material impact on the valuation of currency barrier options and their hedge parameters. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 26:939–958, 2006     

On the enhanced convergence of standard lattice methods for option pricing

For derivative securities that must be valued by numerical techniques, the trade‐off between accuracy and computation time can be a severe limitation. For standard lattice methods, improvements are achievable by modifying the underlying structure of these lattices; however, convergence usually remains non‐monotonic. In an alternative approach of general application, it is shown how to use standard methods, such as Cox, Ross, and Rubinstein (CRR), trinomial trees, or finite differences, to produce uniformly converging numerical results suitable for straightforward extrapolation. The concept of Λ, a normalized distance between the strike price and the node above, is introduced, which has wide ranging significance. Accuracy is improved enormously with computation times reduced, often by orders of magnitude. © 2002 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 22:315–338, 2002     

An application of finite elements to option pricing

This study applied the finite element method (FEM) to pricing options. The FEM estimates the function that satisfies a governing differential equation through the assembly of piecewise continuous functions over the domain of the problem. Two common representations, a variational functional representation, and a weighted residual representation are used in the application of the method. The FEM is a versatile alternative to other popular lattice methods used in option pricing. Advantages include the abilities to directly estimate the Greeks of the option and allow nonuniform mesh construction. As an illustration of the advantages that the FEM offers, the method was used to price European put options and discrete barrier knock‐out put options. © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 21:19–42, 2001     

A new simple square root option pricing model

This study derives a simple square root option pricing model using a general equilibrium approach in an economy where the representative agent has a generalized logarithmic utility function. Our option pricing formulae, like the Black–Scholes model, do not depend on the preference parameters of the utility function of the representative agent. Although the Black–Scholes model introduces limited liability in asset prices by assuming that the logarithm of the stock price has a normal distribution, our basic square root option pricing model introduces limited liability by assuming that the square root of the stock price has a normal distribution. The empirical tests on the S&P 500 index options market show that our model has smaller fitting errors than the Black–Scholes model, and that it generates volatility skews with similar shapes to those observed in the marketplace. © 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark     

Error analysis of finite difference and Markov chain approximations for option pricing

Mijatovi? and Pistorius proposed an efficient Markov chain approximation method for pricing European and barrier options in general one‐dimensional Markovian models. However, sharp convergence rates of this method for realistic financial payoffs, which are nonsmooth, are rarely available. In this paper, we solve this problem for general one‐dimensional diffusion models, which play a fundamental role in financial applications. For such models, the Markov chain approximation method is equivalent to the method of lines using the central difference. Our analysis is based on the spectral representation of the exact solution and the approximate solution. By establishing the convergence rate for the eigenvalues and the eigenfunctions, we obtain sharp convergence rates for the transition density and the price of options with nonsmooth payoffs. In particular, we show that for call‐/put‐type payoffs, convergence is second order, while for digital‐type payoffs, convergence is generally only first order. Furthermore, we provide theoretical justification for two well‐known smoothing techniques that can restore second‐order convergence for digital‐type payoffs and explain oscillations observed in the convergence for options with nonsmooth payoffs. As an extension, we also establish sharp convergence rates for European options for a rich class of Markovian jump models constructed from diffusions via subordination. The theoretical estimates are confirmed using numerical examples.     

Empirical tests of canonical nonparametric American option‐pricing methods

Alcock and Carmichael (2008, The Journal of Futures Markets, 28, 717–748) introduce a nonparametric method for pricing American‐style options, that is derived from the canonical valuation developed by Stutzer (1996, The Journal of Finance, 51, 1633–1652). Although the statistical properties of this nonparametric pricing methodology have been studied in a controlled simulation environment, no study has yet examined the empirical validity of this method. We introduce an extension to this method that incorporates information contained in a small number of observed option prices. We explore the applicability of both the original method and our extension using a large sample of OEX American index options traded on the S&P100 index. Although the Alcock and Carmichael method fails to outperform a traditional implied‐volatility‐based Black–Scholes valuation or a binomial tree approach, our extension generates significantly lower pricing errors and performs comparably well to the implied‐volatility Black–Scholes pricing, in particular for out‐of‐the‐money American put options. © 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 30:509–532, 2010