Hungary on the Road to a Mixed Economy: A Kaleckian Computable General Equilibrium Approach

The change from a centrally planned economy into a market economy is likely to have created a unique situation in economic history. Consequently, no existing economy theory is able to depict the process of transformation. It is argued in this paper that a Kaleckian theoretical approach may provide a starting point for the analysis of the formerly centrally planned economies of Central and Eastern Europe. This approach is applied to Hungary, within the framework of a computable general equilibrium model. A number of policy measures, such as wage constraint, devaluation and mark-up reduction, are considered and their effects on production, inflation and income distribution assessed.     

Global Warming Policy and the Pennsylvania Economy: A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis

Most studies of the impacts of global warming policy have been performed at the national level. However, national averages obscure the fact that some regions may be affected much more than others. We formulated a regional computable general equilibrium model to analyze the impact of a carbon tax on the Pennsylvania economy. The model incorporates special features relating to labor mobility, trade and energy substitution for this purpose. Our results indicate significant negative overall impacts on the Pennsylvania economy, primarily because it is a major producer and user of fossil fuels, especially coal, and because it is highly industrialized. Sensitivity analyses on key parameters and model assumptions indicate that our results are robust.     

Agricultural Trade Liberalization in a Computable General Equilibrium Framework for the Philippines

A bi-regional and multi-market computable general equilibrium model that focuses on the agricultural sector of the Philippines' economy in 1987 is constructed. This paper presents the basic structure of the model and carries out some cost-benefit analyses to assess the impact of alternative trade reform policies on the economy. It is found that various liberalization policies can produce large benefits, but any single policy implemented separately may incur intolerable costs. However, a combination of trade liberalization and currency devaluation, coupled with target income support and income tax reform, can achieve balanced results that are beneficial to the economy without worsening income distribution and food consumption of the poor.     

经济学中一般均衡存在性问题理论述评

本文对经济学中一般均衡理论进行了概述。文中主要介绍了Arrow—Debreu经济模型、均衡存在性定理、存在性涸题在无穷维商品空间上的扩展以及相关工作。     

政府投资工程总承包项目设计优化认定与收益归属研究

工程总承包模式以设计与施工的高度融合,日益在建筑业受到青睐.但由于政府投资项目中存在有关结余资金上缴国库等规定,容易导致政府投资工程总承包项目下设计优化产生的成果是进行分成或作为结余资金上缴界定不清.鉴于此,本文通过政策文件,并结合政府投资项目特点,分析政府投资工程总承包项目设计优化的情形认定以及在不同结算依据和合同计...     

城市物流服务网络的均衡与低碳政策设计研究

城市物流正制约着我国社会经济进一步发展。文中基于系统论角度,对城市物流服务网络进行了分解,分析了城市物流服务网络的超网络特征和均衡问题。最后,提出了城市物流低碳运营政策的设计流程,给出了低碳运营政策建议。     

基于信息不对称房价博弈模型的优化均衡研究

目前我国住宅市场存在严重的信息不对称,如何进行规制引起多方关注。首先利用房价博弈模型研究我国住宅市场信息不对称下的非理性均衡和精炼优化的序贯均衡,进而探求政府对市场房价经济优化规制后的理性序贯均衡,以此提出政府对住宅产业的规制方式和对策建议。     

行业收入差距及收入分配制度效率国外研究综述

当前行业收入差距不断扩大已经成为一个危及我国社会和谐的突出问题,西方发达国家在工业化进程中也曾出现过类似情况。了解和梳理国外关于行业收入差距现状、影响行业收入差距的因素、行业收入差距测度方法、收入分配制度效率的相关文献,有助于对研究我国行业收入差距问题提供借鉴与参考。     

Price-endogenized Input–Output Model: A General Equilibrium Analysis of the Production Sector of the Japanese Economy

This paper considers a generalization of the open Leontief model, by endogenizing the input coefficients on the basis of the neoclassical multi-sectoral produc-tion function. The adopted production function is of the two-level CES type, which is quite effective for avoiding the multi-collinearity problem. As a result, the estimates obtained are quite stable, satisfying the quasi-concavity conditions of the production function for all the sectors. Comparative statics based on the Jacobian of the excess supply function for each commodity market reveal that, owing to the factor substitution the effect of an increase in the final demand on the level of the production is significantly smaller than that which occurs in the open Leontief model with fixed input coefficients.     

渗流耦合作用下极限平衡法和有限元法在边坡计算中优越性的实例对比分析

文章采用边坡工程计算中常用2种方法——有限元强度折减方法和极限平衡法,全面地分析应力应变与渗流耦合下边坡的稳定性,并且通过实例对比,重点研究边坡在渗流耦合作用下2种方法的优缺点,以及适应性。     

中国医疗卫生事业效益分析之系列研究——2005-2009年卫生部门五级综合医院效益分析

研究2005-2009年卫生部门五级综合医院的发展。研究表明,卫生部医疗卫生服务体系构建完成,五级综合医院发展强劲,运营和市场占有能力前景广阔。应加强成本预算、控制成本支出、提高管理水平,县市级医院应充分利用资源;大型医院与县级医院结对帮扶,定期送医送技术;控制总医疗费用,承担更多社会责任。     

一般均衡模型中排污收费对行业产出的不确定性影响--基于中国排污收费改革分析

随着市场经济体制的不断发展,采用经济手段治理环境正成为中国在环境管理领域内的改革方向。因此,本文通过拓展Alfred(1983)建立的一个排污费分析模型,将其纳入到在一般均衡的框架内,分析了排污费对行业产出的不确定性影响。本文认为,中国的排污收费改革不会对中国各行业的产出造成显著的影响,并认为中国可以在环境领域内尝试更多的、更有力度的经济政策工具。     

用工灵活化策略的背后:中国上市快递企业非典型雇佣配置效率研究

快递业的蓬勃发展与非典型雇佣之间存在着极为密切的关系。本文运用数理统计方法研究了非典型雇佣对快递业产出的作用机制,指出非典型雇佣规模的增加促进快递市场拓展;运用数据包络分析等方法 ,对上市快递企业非典型雇佣的配置效率进行了探查,检讨了各上市快递企业非典型雇佣配置非效率的特征,并计算得出配置效率改进的目标;通过构建非典型雇佣灵活性测量模型,对非典型雇佣灵活化机制进行了解构,指出非典型雇佣需在收入灵活性、规模灵活性以及结构灵活性三个方面综合统筹,才能组合、创新出有利于快递企业、快递员工以及快递客户的非典型雇佣策略。     

次优和非最优的一般分析:方法的创新

本文运用理性预期思想和随机等价方法开拓性地研究了资源配置的效率,包括帕累托最优（无约束帕累托最优和有约束帕累托最优）和非帕累托最优。基本结论是,一个资源配置中所有商品价格波动的总方差等于零等价于在二阶条件具备下其处于帕累托最优状态,也等价于资源配置满足无约束条件下的怕累托最优条件或有约束条件下的帕累托次优条件;而总方差大于零等价于资源配置处于非帕累托最优状态;总方差与资源配置中期望价格的比值越小,则这个配置的效率越高,反之,则越低。最后,设计了一个“信息逐步披露的预期帕累托改进”模型,讨论了非帕累托最优配置的改进途径及其政策含义。     

Modeling Educational Quality and Student Loyalty: A Quantitative Approach Based on the Theory of Information Cascades

Customer loyalty is widely accepted as a critical factor in the long-term success of a service organization. This study develops a model of information cascades-based student loyalty (ICSL) by embedding information cascades in the context of educational services with insight from more traditional educational research. In the ICSL model, student loyalty is influenced directly by the perceived quality of teaching services (QTS), the perceived signal of retention (PSR), and the perceived quality of administrative services (QAS), while also being influenced indirectly by QTS, QAS, and perceived others’ retention via the mediation of PSR. This study tests the ICSL model using the structural equation modeling approach, implementing empirical data from a survey done on a large private university in Taiwan. The test results reveal that PSR is significantly influenced by QTS, QAS, and perceived others’ retention. Accordingly, the influence of QAS on student loyalty is insignificant, while the influences of QTS and PSR on student loyalty are conversely significant. Finally, implications are also discussed.     

城乡统筹发展背景下的村庄体系空间重构策略——以怀柔区九渡河镇为例

村庄体系规划目前是城乡统筹发展背景下城乡空间研究中的一个热点,本文研究了村庄体系空间重构过程的方法和原则,包括提出了城乡统筹背景下的村庄发展综合评价指标体系、"中心村-一般村"的村庄等级体系确定方法、以集约用地为目标的各类村庄空间重构模式及其发展策略.随后,以怀柔区九渡河镇的调查问卷数据为基础进行实证分析,且对比分析了重构前后村庄体系的差异.最后,提出了村庄体系空间重构过程中的一些反思.