我国企业R＆D投资密度与融资政策的相关性研究

西方的融资决策理论认为,R＆D投资与企业的融资政策有着高度的相关性,R＆D投资会影响到企业的融资政策的选择。文章构建我国企业R＆D投资密度与融资政策的关系模型,以2006年上市公司的年报数据为样本,实证检验了我国企业R＆D投资与融资政策的关联性。实证结果表明,我国企业R＆D投资与融资政策显著相关,R＆D投资密度高的企业显示出低财务杠杆水平及高比例的短期负债水平。     

我国上市公司股利分配现状探析

上市公司股利政策作为一项重要的财务决策,体现了企业各类投资者、管理者等主体之间的利益分配关系。本文首先介绍了我国上市公司股利分配的现状,然后从委托代理角度进行了得出我国投资者和上市公司的短期行为比较严重,最后提出了相关的政策建议。     

对目前我国上市公司股利政策的思考

股利政策作为上市公司的核心财务政策之一,由于其既关系到股东的利益和福利水平,又关系到公司未来的发展,因而一直备受利益各方充分关注。笔者结合我国上市公司股利分配政策的实践,针对其所表现出的特点,从内部根源和外部环境方面分析其问题所在及带来的危害,最后笔者提出规范我国上市公司股利分配的几点建议。     

我国小额贷款公司监管政策及其演变趋势

自200S年商业性小额贷款公司试点工作开展以来,我国小额贷款业经历了井喷式的发展。但监管过严、市场化不足等问题在很大程度上限制了小额贷款公司的进一步发展。本文从小额贷款公司的全国性监管政策的框架问题、尺度问题、定位问题,地方性管理办法在相应问题层面的突破及其中存在的困难入手,对我国小贷公司监管现状进行分析。基于现状,我们认为未来监管政策主要有三条可能的演变路径：合理化监管政策以保障小贷公司本色发展;放宽门槛以促进小贷公司改制为村镇银行;出台新规以引导小贷公司转型为金融公司。结合国际小贷发展的成功经验,本文又具体分析了三条监管政策演变路径的可能性、相应问题及解决途径,对未来政策的调整进行判断,为监管部门提供相应的政策建议。     

Tax Incentives and Maturity Mismatch between Investment and Financing: Evidence from China

This paper examines the effects of China's accelerated depreciation policy (ADP) on the maturity mismatch between investment and financing. Using panel data for China's A-share nonfinancial listed companies from 2010 to 2019 and a staggered difference-in-differences approach, we found the following. First, ADP significantly aggravated the degree of corporate maturity mismatch, and this result was robust across multiple checks. Second, due to an insufficient long-term loan supply, firms had to finance the fixed investments induced by ADP with short-term debts, leading to maturity mismatches. Third, the positive policy effects were mainly significant for firms with high policy exposure, high-risk preferences, a high degree of information asymmetry, and firms with weak long-term financing capacity. Finally, maturity mismatch exacerbated corporate financial risks. Our research findings indicate that passive maturity mismatch is prevalent among Chinese companies and emphasize the need to address financial repression in order to mitigate the potential financial risks that may arise from tax incentives.     

金融危机下福建省汽车零部件产业合理化政策

通过分析金融危机背景下福建省汽车零部件产业外部的环境,指出在当前全球经济萧条的情况下,防止福建省汽车零部件产业的过度竞争,对产业组织政策进行调整是十分必要的,为了说明如何调整,对汽车零部件企业的现状进行分析,主要通过市场集中度、产品技术差别来分析,进而发现福建省汽车零部件产业存在的问题,从而以产业合理化政策的定义和内容为基础,提出了通过构建创新型小规模企业;实现产业横向一体化;完善政府的服务体系等措施。     

Dealing with the bad loans of the Chinese banks

Chinese banks suffer from serious financial fragility manifested by high proportions of nonperforming loans and low capital-adequacy ratios. A key policy introduced recently by the Chinese government to reduce financial risks is the establishment of four asset management companies (AMCs) for dealing with bad loans. Drawing on the experiences of the Resolution Trust Corporation in the United States and bank restructuring in the Central European transition economies, we argue that the original AMC design will not be successful in resolving the existing nonperforming loans, nor will it prevent the creation of new bad loans. We recommend a modification of the current proposal that redefines the relationships between the parent banks and the AMCs by transferring the deposits of problem enterprises along with their nonperforming loans from parent banks to AMCs.     

上市公司股票流动性影响因素分析

文章对金融市场和金融资产流动性的理论进行回顾和研究,把影响上市公司股票流动性的因素进行分类,具体分为外生因素变量和内生因素变量,并进一步的详细论述了宏观外生因素、微观结构因素外生变量、证券市场本身运行规律外生因素变量以及公司基本面信息内生因素变量和交易参与者行为内生变量.并对外生因素变量和内生因素变量的影响程度、范围、规避方法进行对比,通过对影响上市公司股票流动性因素的详细分类和对比研究,有助于机构或个人投资者对证券资产流动性的认识和对流动性风险的管理.     

The Optimal Monetary and Macroprudential Policies for the South African Economy

We investigate the optimal design and effectiveness of monetary and macroprudential policies in promoting macroeconomic (price) and financial stability for the South African economy. We develop a New Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model featuring a housing market, a banking sector and the role of macroprudential and monetary policies. Based on the parameter estimates from the estimation, we conduct an optimal rule analysis and an efficient policy frontier analysis, and compare the dynamics of the model under different policy regimes. We find that a policy regime that combines a standard monetary policy rule and a macroprudential policy rule delivers a more stable economic system with price and financial stability. A policy regime that combines an augmented monetary policy (policy rate reacts to financial conditions) with macroprudential policy is better at attenuating the effects of financial shocks, but at a much higher cost of price instability. Our findings suggest that monetary policy should focus solely on its primary objective of price stability and let macroprudential policy facilitate financial stability on its own.     

The Impact of Banking and Fiscal Policies on State-Level Economic Growth

This paper investigates the hypothesis that economic growth is affected by banking structure and fiscal policies. We use data from the 48 contiguous states for the period 1950-1980 aggregated into six five-year time periods, primarily to test the effect of the following factors on growth of state per capita income: (i) restrictions over branch banking, (ii) restrictions over multibank holding companies, (iii) the depth of financial assets in a state, (iv) the financial-intermediary mix, (v) the size of state government, and (vi) the methods of financing state government. We find no support for the hypotheses that branch banking or multibank holding company restrictions affect growth. However, financial depth and the mix of financial intermediaries are strongly correlated with economic growth. Finally, the state fiscal policy variables had no significant effect on income growth.     

Financial Frictions and the Fiscal Theory of Price Level Determination

The fiscal theory of the price level represents a significant departure from the quantity theory of money, as it implies that active (non-Ricardian) fiscal policy provides the nominal anchor and determines the price level. In this paper we take a first pass at integrating discussion of financial frictions and the fiscal theory of the price level. We first present empirical evidence in support of non-Ricardian fiscal policy, and then discuss the fiscal theory of the price level in a world with financial frictions. After illustrating how the financial friction influences the price level, we provide a theoretical explanation to our empirical findings. We also argue that the financial friction, which is related to fiscal policy, provides an additional instrument tool to the fiscal authority and an advantage over the monetary authority in choosing the equilibrium.     

上市公司财务困境预警模型--一个基于沪市A股上市公司的实证研究

本文以我国沪市上市公司为研究对象,遴选了2004年度首次亏损的23家上市公司作为财务困境公司样本,同时选取了23家与之有大致相同规模的盈余公司作为正常公司样本。对相关公司的相关财务指标进行调整后,进行Logistic回归,从而建立两个财务困境预警模型,并对之进行实证检验。研究结果表明:采用调整财务数据后建立的财务困境预警模型对未来事件的预测率比采用原始数据建立的财务困境预警模型的预测率要好。     

福建工业企业低碳生产行为的影响因素研究——基于28家上市公司的数据

文章基于福建28家上市公司数据,利用多元线性回归分析法,识别样本上市公司低碳生产行为的关键影响因素,主要研究结论为:资产利润率、政府补助、税收优惠、金融支持、行业污染属性和消费者属性对样本上市公司低碳生产行为具有显著的正面作用。据此提出三条政策建议:完善和贯彻工业企业低碳生产转型的扶持政策,发挥扶持政策的驱动作用;强化对工业企业低碳生产投资的融资扶持,奠定坚实的资金保障;强化消费者对工业企业低碳生产转型的监督压力。     

金融支持资源型经济转型对策分析——以延安市为例

随着对石油、煤炭等资源开发力度的不断加大,资源型地区经济发展出现产业结构不合理、社会发展缺乏内在动力等不利于经济可持续发展的问题,经济转型迫在眉睫。金融是经济发展的核心推动力,资源型经济转型需要强有力的金融支持。首先,政府要注重金融政策与产业政策的协调与搭配,找准金融支持的着力点,使资金投向符合产业结构调整的行业和领域;其次,金融机构要着力调整信贷结构,突破金融锁定,不断提升服务质量和水平,以满足企业多元化、多层次的金融需求;最后,企业在利用传统方式融资的同时要积极利用上市融资等直接融资方式,还要借助保险公司、信托公司、金融投资公司等非银行机构规避融资风险和降低融资成本。唯如此,才能及时推进资源型经济实现顺利转型。     

Foreign Holding Companies and the US Taxation of Foreign Earnings: Evidence from the Tax Increase Prevention and Reconciliation Act of 2005*

I analyze US multinationals' (MNCs) use of foreign holding companies in their organizational structures and the impact of holding companies on internal capital markets. The look-thru rule in the Tax Increase Prevention and Reconciliation Act of 2005 (TIPRA) reduces the after-tax cost of foreign intercompany financing transactions. I use TIPRA as a natural experimental setting to test whether a shift in US tax policy that reduces the cost of moving foreign capital increased firms' reliance on foreign holding company subsidiaries. I find that MNCs responded to TIPRA by creating more foreign holding companies. Furthermore, consistent with the policy objectives of TIPRA, I document that MNCs that rely on holding companies gained tax efficiencies in their post-TIPRA foreign internal capital markets, reducing domestic taxation on foreign earnings and easing financial constraints. Overall, my results expand our understanding of foreign organizational structure decisions and their internal financing benefits. I contribute to the tax literature by documenting a response to TIPRA that sheds light on the growing complexity of foreign subsidiary ownership structures.     

营运资本政策的稳健性是否会受大股东社会资本的影响

文章基于“关系是形成社会资本的基础”这一思想,研究了我国 A 股上市公司大股东社会资本对公司营运资本政策稳健性的影响。实证研究发现,大股东社会资本数量与营运资本稳健性显著正相关,大股东社会资本对公司营运资本政策的稳健程度具有积极的正向影响;进而,不同关系强度的股东社会资本的治理效应不尽相同,强关系型社会资本较弱关系型社会资本更能促进利益协同效应的发挥。文章研究证实,大股东社会资本作为“隐形权力”的存在影响了“显性”的股权比例对营运资本政策的影响。     

How is Fintech reshaping the traditional financial markets? New evidence from InsurTech and insurance sectors in China

We examine the effect of Fintech on the market structure of traditional financial markets, and focus particularly on InsurTech and the insurance sector. We find that InsurTech has significantly reduced the non-life insurance sector's market concentration but plays a limited role in the life insurance sector's market structure. The results are not driven by potential reverse causality and remain unchanged when we employ an instrumental variables approach and use an alternative supply-side InsurTech index. We further explore the underlying mechanisms and find that, instead of competing directly with insurance companies, Fintech companies provide insurance technologies to traditional insurers and help them lower entry barriers and reduce operating costs. Our paper sheds light on how InsurTech is reshaping traditional insurance sectors, and the results are generalizable to Fintech and financial markets.     

Effects of Monetary Policy during Financial Market Crises and Regime Changes: An Empirical Evaluation Using a Nonlinear Vector Autoregression Model

Using monthly data for Korea, this study examines nonlinear effects of monetary policy in association with financial market distress. The study uses a nonlinear vector autoregression model and finds that monetary policy becomes ineffective for addressing huge demand contractions in times of financial market turmoil or severe economic downturn, implying a structural change from a non‐Keynesian to a Keynesian regime, such as a liquidity trap. Monetary contractions have stronger output effects than monetary expansions, particularly in times of financial distress. We found no evidence in favor of asymmetric effects of monetary shocks of different sizes. Finally, we also found financial shocks to have stronger effects on the real economy in times of financial distress than in normal times. The results have important policy implications for periods of financial turmoil or economic crisis.     

数字化转型对企业财务风险的影响

本文基于 2013-2020 年 A 股上市公司数据,通过机器学习方法构建数字化转型程度指标,采用回归分析法研究数字化转型对企业财务风险的影响,研究发现：（1）企业数字化转型对企业财务风险具有显著的抑制作用;（2）机制分析表明：数字化转型的赋能效应、范围规模效应、信息效应增强了企业的经营能力提高了企业的全要素生产率进而降低了企业财务风险。（3）异质性分析表明：区域信用环境和经济政策不确定性的不同会对数字化转型的风险抑制效果产生影响。横向看,法律监管可以提高数字化的风险抑制效果;纵向看,经济政策波动越小、不确定性越低,可以显著强化数字化的财务风险抑制效果。最后,在上述研究的基础上,从内部管理、人才培养、政策激励、全要素生产率四个角度就如何利用数字化技术降低企业财务风险提出建议。     

金融危机救助方案及其效果评价——基于美国新金融危机与大萧条历史比较的视角

本文从财政政策、货币政策和金融机构的救助及金融制度的改革等角度对美国大萧条和新金融危机时期政府的救助方案进行了系统评述。在此基础上,本文对两次金融危机期间美国政府各种救助方案的效果进行了比较分析和简要评价。