The Prospects for Future Economic Growth in the Euro Area

With a long-term projection of TFP growth of 0.2 per cent, a gradual decline in the work-age population and a static average workweek, we project a "baseline" average real GDP growth rate in the euro area of just 0.6 per cent over the next decade — even if the unemployment rate and investment share of GDP return to their pre-crisis levels by 2020.     

区域经济一体化的理论溯源及最新进展

20世纪80年代末以来,对区域经济一体化的理论分析已从传统的完全竞争模型扩展到不完全竞争模型。近期的发展可以归结为三个方向:规模经济和不完全竞争理论下的区域经济一体化、内生化的区域经济一体化理论及区域主义与多边主义。本文评述这一领域的最新文献,并总结相关的启示。     

河南省对外贸易经济福利模型研究

从福利经济学角度探讨了河南省对外贸易所产生的经济福利,并构建了河南省对外贸易经济福利理论模型。认为,河南省对外贸易的发展不能以过度牺牲环境为代价,必须用其产生的经济福利分析对外贸易,只有在对外贸易增加了河南省经济福利的前提下,对外贸易才是正确的。     

我国经济特区与开发区的发展趋势

改革开放以来,我国先后建立许多不同类型、不同层次的经济特区和开发区。经济特区和开发区的建设和发展有利于推动我国从沿海到内地多层次、多渠道、多方位开放格局的形成,在改革开放中有效地发挥了窗口、示范、辐射和带动作用。90年代初,我国曾出现"一哄而上、遍地开发"的"开发区热",导致了经济开发区缺乏统一规划、结构趋同和低水平重复建设等问题加剧。中国加入WTO后,如何认识开发区所面临的机遇和挑战,加快开发区由"政策优惠型"向"自主发展型"转变,提高其国际竞争力都是急需深入研究的问题。在新的国际国内形势下,我国开发区的发展呈现出新的趋势。     

中国泡沫的两种路径及其结局

<正>按照西方经济学的理论,泡沫经济是指资产价格的过度膨胀,诸如房地产、股票等资产价格脱离其实际的价值。按照这样的定义,中国经济存在泡沫已经是一个不争的事实了,无论是房地产市场还是股票市场都说明了这一点。根据《中国统计年鉴》的相关数据计算,仅在2006     

韩国残疾人福利的历史、现状与未来展望

韩国残疾人福利历经初创期、转换期、发展期,正步入跃进期.其制度体系虽然涵盖收入保障、医疗康复、雇佣保障、教育制度、出行权及信息获取权保障、残疾人福利预算等且运行平稳,但福利充足度整体上非常有限.为应对残疾人口的迅猛增长和改善他们的福利境遇,韩国政府应优先健全残疾人福利法规、合理划分福利责任,并重点关注加快构筑社区保护网、提高收入保障力度、改善福利服务机构运营水平以及持续增加残疾人福利预算.     

中印经贸关系的发展现状与发展前景

随着中印两国政治关系的进一步改善,双边贸易总额不断增长、贸易结构不断优化,经贸关系已经发展到了一个新的阶段。近年来,虽然中印贸易中尚存在贸易不平衡、贸易摩擦较多、印度高关税及非关税贸易壁垒等制约因素,但是从长远来看,两国经贸合作潜力巨大,发展前景广阔。     

Social Corporatism and Capital Accumulation: The Fate of the Nordic Model

Recent research into weak productivity performance since the financial crisis has highlighted the importance of the gap between the most productive firms and the rest. While wage compression may only be one possible mechanism to promote the relative growth of productive firms, it does appear to be effective in promoting productivity growth in Nordic economies.     

Flow Online: Lessons Learned and Future Prospects

Although the flow construct has been widely studied over the past decade in marketing and related fields, it has proven to be an elusive construct to measure and model. In this paper, we examine two of the most important themes in flow research in the last decade: the conceptualization and measurement of flow in online environments and the marketing outcomes of flow. In addition, while the unique characteristics of the Internet contributed to our belief that flow was an important construct for understanding consumer use of the Web in 1996, the environment of the Web itself has changed radically over the past decade. Thus, we consider the current context of the Internet, including virtual worlds, for the role and application of the flow construct, as well as important related constructs that will be useful for understanding compelling experiences in the contemporary online environment.     

Economic Prospects in Hungary: The Rise of The Private Sector

After introducing many market-oriented reforms during the 1980s, Hungary was in a good position to move rapidly towards a market-type economy after 1989. Because of trade shocks and restraint on domestic demand, Hungary suffered similar falls in output to other countries in eastern Europe. But it encouraged start-ups of new firms, welcomed foreign investment and undertook an active programme of privatisation. After some initial experience with uncontrolled privatisation, the State Property Agency was set up to supervise the process. At first it operated in a very centralised way, but more recently it has seen the need to operate in a decentralised manner. To manage those firms which will remain in state hands for some years, the State Assets Management Company was recently established. Overall, the combination of new start-ups and privatisation of state-owned firms is rapidly creating a more dynamic economy, which should soon start to grow out of the present recession.     

Welfare Loss from Inaccurate Information: An Economic Model with Application to Food Labels

This study develops an economic framework which explains the welfare loss to consumers from imperfect information and provides a mechanism for analyzing the benefits from improved information. The model is applied to imperfect net weight information for packaged chicken and empirical estimates of the resulting welfare loss are obtained.     

2018年俄罗斯经济社会发展展望

2018年将是俄罗斯经济社会发展中极为关键的一年。在刚刚过去的一年中,俄罗斯经济在西方国家加大制裁的严峻背景下砥砺前行,出现了缓慢复苏。2018年俄罗斯经济社会面临全球经济风险带来的挑战、特朗普减税的负面效应、西方国家经济制裁的压力以及自身经济短板带来的风险。不过其发展也有诸多有利因素,包括中俄关系迎来新的发展机遇;俄罗斯具备较强抗风险能力;俄罗斯处理国际关系技巧高超。展望俄罗斯经济社会发展仍面临较严峻的形势,加大引进外国对俄直接投资和减少资本外流是最为关键的因素。受军事对抗和经济制裁等多重因素共同作用,2018年俄罗斯经济可能出现微弱增长,甚至重现负增长局面;社会形势基本可以保持稳定局面,但仍需继续改善民生和投资环境,扭转人口下降局面成为重要课题。     

转变经济发展方式背景下资源价格改革的困境和出路

当前我国重要的能源资源逐渐稀缺,环境恶化现象日益凸显,传统经济粗放型发展方式由于投入高、效益低,已经严重影响了经济的持续、健康发展。必须尽快转变经济发展方式,增强节能环保意识,而做好这项工作的前提是改革目前资源价格运行机制,完善资源价格体系。     

论城市之未来:城市可持续发展

城市是人类文明的标志,是一个时代的经济、社会、生态环境发展和变化的焦点和中心。因此,任何国家的可持续发展首先表现为城市可持续发展。城市可持续发展是一个国家实施可持续发展的一个重要的层次,是国家可持续发展的战略在城市区域层次上的具体体现。     

浅析我国资本管制的现状及前景

根据国际货币基金组织协定第6条款第3节的规定:“成员国可对国际资本运动采取必要的控制,但是任何成员国对这类管制的实施不得限制经常性交易的支付或过分延迟资金的转移以及各项承诺的交割……。”可见,基金组织并不强求成员国实行资本项目可兑换。我国是发展中国家,目前已实现经常项目可自由兑换,但资本项目自由兑换的条件还不成熟。     

“荆楚模式”构想与湖北经济发展

湖北经济发展落后的主要原因是未能突破发展模式的路径依赖。为此借鉴“苏南模式”、“温州模式”和“珠江模式”等经济发展模式的经验,构想了湖北经济发展的新模式“荆楚模式”及其内涵与特征,并对培育和形成“荆楚模式”的条件与障碍进行分析,提出培育“荆楚模式”的政策建议。     

The Nordic Model and Structural Change: Lessons from the Collapse of Saab Automobile AB

The case of Saab and Trollhättan shows one way that societies can harness the productive side of creative destruction while mitigating the harm it causes.