商业银行流动性影响因素研究

近期,我国银行业的流动性风险得到了理论界和实务界的普遍关注。本文基于上市银行2006至2012年的样本,以贷存比和流动性比率作为银行流动性的度量指标,从银行特征、宏观经济和货币政策等不同层面,考察了商业银行流动性的影响因素。较为稳健的结果显示,总资产中贷款占比越低、负债中存款占比越高,银行的流动性越好。这说明资产或负债结构是影响银行流动性的重要因素。与之相比,宏观经济和货币政策因素对银行流动性的影响在不同样本中结果不完全一致。本文的研究对于理解我国银行业的流动性风险具有一定的参考价值。     

国库资金变化对银行体系流动性影响的实证研究——以广西为视角

造成当前我国银行体系流动性过剩的因素很多,本文以广西为实证,从研究国库资金的运行规律出发,分析国库资金影响银行流动性的机制以及对中央银行货币政策效应的影响,最后提出财政政策和货币政策应协调搭配以缓解我国流动性的问题。     

International Banking and Liquidity Allocation

This paper explores the comparative advantage of multinational banking over cross-border financial services in terms of capitalizing on a global access to funding sources. We argue that this advantage depends on the benefit and the cost of multinational banks’ intimacy with local markets. The benefit is that it allows multinational banks to create more liquidity. The cost is that it causes inefficiencies in internal capital markets, on which a bank relies to allocate liquidity across countries. We analyze the conditions under which multinational banking is then likely to arise and show that capital requirements have an effect as they influence the degree of inefficiency in internal capital markets for alternative organization structures differently.     

Liquidity Shortages and Banking Crises

We show in this article that bank failures can be contagious. Unlike earlier work where contagion stems from depositor panics or contractual links between banks, we argue that bank failures can shrink the common pool of liquidity, creating, or exacerbating aggregate liquidity shortages. This could lead to a contagion of failures and a total meltdown of the system. Given the costs of a meltdown, there is a possible role for government intervention. Unfortunately, liquidity and solvency problems interact and can cause each other, making it hard to determine the cause of a crisis. We propose a robust sequence of intervention.     

论我国银行业开放与提高效率的关系

一、衡量银行业效率的指标 在现代金融经济条件下,金融是指资金融通,金融效率就是资金融通的效率.它是指在金融市场上,在健康的金融监督管理体制下和有效的金融调节机制下,由金融机构作为金融中介或者由融资双方或多方在市场服务体系下,以尽可能的成本(机会成本和交易成本),将有限的金融资源(货币和货币资本)进行最优培植以实现其最有效利用.     

我国商业银行零售业务发展策略研究

本文在总结我国商业银行零售业务现状的基础上，借鉴国外商业银行以及我国一些商业银行取得的成功经验，重点分析了我国商业银行零售业务发展策略，并从观念、组织结构、人才培养、产品创新、市场营销等方面进行了论证，同时提出相应的对策建议。     

影子银行体系与流动性管理

影子银行体系具有特殊的形成机理,是金融抑制制度背景下的博弈产物。目前,影子银行体系在金融市场上以证券化的方式创造流动性,容易在短期内出现从流动性过剩到流动性紧缩的转变,造成宏观经济的不稳定,需要作出必要的监管安排。     

Competition and diversification in the European Banking Sector

This paper provides new insights into the relationship between competition and diversification based on a sample of 1,570 commercial banks located in 28 European Union member states over the period of 2000 through 2016. The adjusted Lerner index and income diversification are the main indicators that account for bank-level competition and non-traditional activities. As robustness checks, we used Boone indicator along with diversification that was measured by the share of off-balance sheet items in total assets. We ran the estimations using multilevel analysis at country- and bank-level. Overall, competition stimulates bank diversification as financial institutions are continuously searching for additional sources of income to finance their competitive strategies. Bank performance, efficiency and R&D expenditure have positive effects on diversification. Opposite impacts characterize the market capitalization of listed domestic companies and GDP growth.     

Measuring Corpotate Liquidity Risk

This article presents the outline of a framework for evaluating liquidity risk (at the corporate level) with risk measures that are intuitive and economically relevant. In particular, the risk measures are designed explicitly to show the effectiveness of a company's risk management program in helping the firm to (1) avoid financial distress or default and (2) ensure its ability to undertake all strategic investments. For managers attempting to quantify liquidity risks, this paper proposes that the risk measures have two important features: One is to make the liquidity risk estimate depend on some measure of the firm's balance sheet strength, one that reflects the role of the balance sheet as a risk buffer. The second is to provide a useful estimate of the opportunity costs associated with a given liquidity shortage—one that reflects the value of the investment opportunities that liquidity problems could jeopardize. The author illustrates the application of the proposed risk measures with an example of a company evaluating a hedging strategy designed to accompany a substantial increase in its investment budget. Using the risk measures discussed in this paper, the author shows how to assess the effectiveness of a proposed hedge in terms of its expected ability to reduce costly cash shortfalls in scenarios in which the firm's debt capacity is also expected to be depleted.     

On the Contagion Effect in the US Banking Sector

By using the spatial econometrics methodology, this paper investigates the contagion of the risk taking by banks in the US banking sector during 2001 to 2012. In addition, the contagion signals up to the Subprime crisis in 2008 are analyzed and different channels of contagion are studied in order to identify fragile groups of banks. Our analysis reveals that there is no significant contagion transmitted to the whole banking system. However, we observe that the bank contagion is significantly spread locally and for the group of banks that share similar characteristics related to size and bank regulations.     

当前银行业流动性管理面临的挑战和对策

2008年6月7日,中国人民银行决定上调存款类金融机构人民币存款准备金率1个百分点,上调后存款类金融机构人民币存款准备金率达到17.5%的历史高位.     

流动性剩余、流动性风险与银行业系统性风险测量

全球性金融危机过后,世界范围内的政策制定者、经济学家以及时评人士对加强金融市场监管、防范系统性风险基本达成共识。本文从流动性角度出发,对我国商业银行部门系统性风险进行了度量,同时衡量了我国上市银行的系统重要性程度。通过对商业银行个体的资产负债表数据分析,本文提出一种基于系统相对流动性剩余的概率分布来度量流动性风险,以及基于绝对流动性剩余的方差贡献度来衡量银行系统重要性程度的方法,并对我国上市银行系统性风险进行了实证分析。本文的研究结果表明,从流动性风险视角来看,部分银行对我国商业银行体系的系统风险贡献程度较高。     

我国银行体系流动性过剩问题研究述评

本文对我国银行体系流动性过剩问题的研究成果进行了回顾,梳理归纳了学界关于流动性定义、流动性过剩的表现、影响及其对策的不同观点。文章认为我国银行体系流动性就是指商业银行的超额准备金,并对流动性过剩的根源、形成机制、结构性特征、影响、国际背景及其治理问题进行了深入分析,试图廓清国内学者的不同认识。     

混业经营,中国金融业的必由之路

为了减少我国的金融风险,加强对金融机构的监管,我国金融业一直实行分业经营机制,即银行、证券公司、保险公司只能分别经营相应的银行业务、证券业务和保险业务,银行不能经营证券业务和保险业务.根据经济学理论,金融资产自身具有专用性软弱的特点,而且随着时间的推移又呈现减弱的趋势,所以尽管目前我国金融业的基本格局仍是分业经营,但随着经济的发展,金融混业经营必将成为未来发展趋势.     

影子银行影响货币市场流动性的机制研究

本文分析了影子银行影响货币市场流动性的理论途径。近年来,影子银行在满足多样化社会融资需求方面发挥了独特作用。但过度地和不规范地使用这一体系却可能助长金融资源的配给现象,同时加剧商业银行资金的期限错配。这两个维度上的资金错配都可能放大商业银行体系的脆弱性。当市场信心受到冲击时,商业银行将采取流动性囤积行为,进而导致流动性资产供求失衡,市场出现较大的利率波动。本文使用VAR模型对2006年1月到2013年6月的数据进行的实证检验支持了以上分析。     

澳大利亚银行业的信用评级

随着金融自由化在全球范围内的不断发展，许多新兴的经营业务和不断涌现的金融衍生产品，使银行业的风险日益加大。为了确定金融机构防范、抵御和控制风险的能力，信用评级显得尤为必要。     

我国银行业税收制度研究

最近几年来,随着国内银行业的发展,特别是部分国有商业银行股改上市进程的推进,税收已经成为影响商业银行在资本市场表现的重要因素,现行税制中的一些矛盾开始显现,对税收制度进行改革的呼声日渐高涨.但对现行银行业税制到底存在什么样的问题和需要怎么改革等问题却是众说纷纭.本文在对税收基本理论和我国银行业税收制度现状及其实施效果进行介绍和分析的基础上,结合国外银行业税制的现状和发展方向,探讨我国银行业现行税制在合理性、公平性、均衡性方面存在的主要问题,对其改革的总体思路和具体内容设计进行研究,以期为我国银行业税制改革提供政策性建议.