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与去年相比,目前国际经济形势和中美两国经济状况发生较大变化。当前,全球通胀水平高企;受次贷危机影响,美国经济陷入困境,国内消费不振,失业率持续上升。美国作为世界最大的经济体,一举一动深刻影响着全球经济。美国财政部长保尔森日前指出,美国与中国之间的经济关系对于两国及世界经济都很重要。 相似文献
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格泽高滋·W·科勒德克 《中国经济周刊》2012,(3)
2012年,全球经济形势仍不容乐观。欧债危机的持续发酵、美国经济形势的继续低迷、新兴经济体面临的高通胀都使得世界经济形势越发扑朔迷离。走出危机路在何方? 相似文献
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<正>世界银行行长佐利克指出:"危机之后的一大特点乃是世界经济力量和经济增长模式需要重新平衡"。在世界主要经济体中,作为金融危机中心的美国将目睹自己经济实力和影响力的下降,而与此相对应的中国大陆正在成为世界经济的稳定力量,它的条件和理由在于:一是中国大陆强有力地应对了这场危机,且仍有继续执行当前财政和货币政策的空间;二是中国大陆经济快速复苏,其他国家和 相似文献
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主权债务危机,从迪拜波及欧滑
有观察家认为,在世界主要经济体中,英国可能成为第一个卷入主权债务危机的国家;而美国,也可能因为居高不下的巨额赤字,遭遇信用下调风险。 相似文献
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有人认为,美国的次贷危机的深层原因是新兴经济体和产油国的过剩储蓄大量流入美国,刺激了美国国内的消费,您怎么看待这种说法?
我觉得,这是美国方面的托词,次贷危机的深层原因来自于美国的金融自由化和金融深化政策,偏离了金融为实体经济服务的道路,一味将金融神话。 相似文献
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在APEC经济体中,中国是一个能够对各个经济体走出危机做出重要贡献的国家,中国政府一揽子经济刺激方案在刺激经济从低迷走向复苏效果非常显著,在几十年一遇的危机中表现非常卓越.但是,贸易冲突和人民币升值等问题仍不会因本月奥巴马访华而得到很大缓解. 相似文献
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Measuring the Real and Financial Connectedness of Selected African Economies with the Global Economy
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Jonathan E. Ogbuabor Anthony Orji Gladys C. Aneke Oyun Erdene‐Urnukh 《The South African journal of economics. Suid-afrikaanse tydskrif vir ekonomie》2016,84(3):364-399
We examine the real and financial connectedness of selected African economies with the global economy using a network approach. We find that the connectedness of African economies with the global economy is quite sizable, with the global financial crisis increasing the connectedness measures above their pre‐crisis levels. The results show that U.S., EU and Canada dominate Africa's equity markets, while China, India and Japan dominate Africa's real activities. Our results suggest that African economies are predominantly small open economies, deeply interconnected but systemically unimportant and vulnerable to headwinds emanating from the dominant economies in the overall global economy. 相似文献
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John Ross Jinghai Zheng Karla Simone Prime 《Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies》2016,14(1):51-68
Since 1978, China has experienced the most rapid economic growth of any country in world history, and the most rapid growth in living standards of any major economy. Following the latest international financial crisis, China outperformed any other major economy – from the second quarter of 2007 to the second quarter of 2014, China’s economy grew by 78% and the USA by 8%. In a single generation, China has gone from a ‘low income economy’ to the verge of achieving ‘high income’ status by World Bank criteria. Achieving this would double the population living in ‘high income’ economies globally. This extremely rapid development is sometimes explained in terms of unique ‘Chinese characteristics’, but research over the last 30 years suggests it is rooted in universal economic processes. While the combination of global forces producing economic growth is unique in China and produces unique ‘Chinese characteristics’, they can operate throughout the world economy. If other developing economies could achieve the scale of China’s economic success, global problems of poverty and its consequences would be solved. China’s policy response to the international financial crisis was far more effective than that of other major economies. This paper examines the chief strategic lessons to be drawn from China’s success. 相似文献
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国际资本形成对我国经济产生的风险及对策 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
20世纪美国等发达国家进一步在全世界倡导金融自由化政策,新兴市场国家的金融自由化及信息技术的广泛应用使得国际资本以更大规模、更快速度在国际金融市场上自由流动,并对新兴市场经济体产生了深远影响。但是90年代后期,墨西哥、泰国、韩国、马来西亚、巴西等新兴市场经济体相继发生了金融危机,甚至引发犬规模的经济动荡,使得经济界重新审视、思考国际资本流动的影响。我国近几年成为国际资本流入的大国,那么国际资本形成在促进我国经济增长的同时,会给我们带来哪些方面的风险呢?文章重点分析了国际资本形成中所产生的风险,并提出防范风险的对策建议。 相似文献
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The current financial crisis differs from most post-war recessions in that the balance sheets of both households and banks have been severely damaged, which could lead to structural changes in the behavior of households. Therefore, it may exert some far-reaching effects on regional economies in the short run as well as in the medium term. This paper studies these effects using a multi-country dynamic structural model. In the short run, the US credit crisis weighs heavily upon the Asia–Pacific economies through financial linkages in addition to the traditional trade channel due to the deepening global financial integration. The relative importance of various financial channels differs notably across economies. While stock market contagion is more important for advanced economies, flight to quality across borders plays a key role in less developed economies. From a medium-term perspective, changes in the US household behavior caused by the credit crisis can help correct global imbalances, but the effectiveness hinges largely upon how long US households can maintain a reasonably higher savings rate. In addition, although the declining American public savings rate may not exert material impacts on the global imbalances, it can darken regional growth prospects due to a potentially higher world real interest rate. 相似文献
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自大萧条以来本场国际金融危机是我们这年代经历的最大经济危机。这场危机导致大型金融机构倒闭,这些机构倒闭导致了世界经济系统的瘫塌。为了应对危机,很多国家注入数亿计的资金来刺激经济,而且通过控制私有公司来改造它们,我们实现了所谓"国有化"。政府提出的干预主义目的是通过社会主义方针政策调控处理危机。自2008年来工业化及新兴国家同意建立G20作为应对金融危机的主要策略。 相似文献
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In the framework of the current global economic crisis, a pertinent question is whether the world economies are suffering from contagion or interdependence effects. With its origins in the US sub-prime mortgage market crisis starting at the end of 2007, when a loss of confidence by investors in the value of securitized mortgages resulted in a liquidity crisis, hard-hitting the banking system and rapidly spreading into the financial markets, the effects of the crisis were automatically reflected in the rest of the world economies. These effects become more severe as the rest of the world is facing economic and financial instability. Therefore, the American shock can be seen as the trigger that revealed the other economies’ own financial problems. The main finding of this paper shows that the US stock markets are not generating contagious effects into the Asian stock markets. However, strong evidence of volatility transmission derived from these economies’ interlinkages has been detected. 相似文献
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2008年下半年开始,冰岛的经济形势急转直下,甚至濒临"国家破产"。冰岛的货币体制是导致冰岛危机的重要原因。冰岛克朗是全世界可自由兑换、汇率自由浮动的流通量最小的货币。当金融危机出现的时候,冰岛克朗会受到最大的冲击,货币不稳定又会进一步放大金融危机的作用。这说明小国开放经济体的货币存在国际脆弱性。东亚各经济体货币同样面临国际脆弱性问题,其根源是东亚发展模式的脆弱性。为了防范货币国际脆弱性引起经济危机,东亚应该加强区域金融合作,其现实路径是建立各经济体汇率的分层次协调机制。 相似文献