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1.
我国经济增长和就业增长非一致性的制度解释   总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4  
我国经济的高速增长并没有对就业产生多大的拉动力,反而在一定的程度上对就业增长产生了挤出作用,体现了经济增长与就业增长的非一致性。导致这种状况的根本原因在于各级政府的政绩考核过分偏重GDP、没有建立完善的现代产权制度、劳动力市场制度不完善、社会保障制度滞后和教育结构失衡等。要实现经济和就业同步增长,就要树立科学发展观,需要对以上相关制度进行改革和调整。  相似文献   

2.
谢娟  王斌 《新经济》2013,(23):10-10
改革开放以来,我国经济一直保持稳健快速的增长速度,然而,就业问题却越来越突出,出现了高经济增长和高失业并存的现象,本文将对此现象进行分析,并提出相应的政策建议。  相似文献   

3.
张岩 《生产力研究》2013,(12):90-92
我国经济增长与劳动就业有着十分密切的关系。一般情况下,经济增长促进就业增长,就业增长反过来也带动经济增长。然而,我国经济在保持较高增长速度的同时就业压力有增无减。文章通过对不同指标进行比较和实证研究,在分析我国经济增长和就业增长不一致的原因基础上,提出了几点可行性建议。  相似文献   

4.
中国经济增长与就业增长的非一致性分析   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
改革开放以来,中国国民经济增速较快,但在GDP保持高速增长的同时,就业率并没有保持相应的同步增长.导致这一问题出现的原因是多方面的,其中最重要的原因是地方政府对经济增长的过分偏好和对就业问题的相对忽视.要解决这一问题,就要从中国国情出发,充分发挥政府部门作用,以实现经济与就业的同步增长.  相似文献   

5.
我国失衡的经济增长模式对就业造成了不利的影响,具体表现为,一是增长目标优先、就业目标滞后,导致就业增长日趋缓慢;二是数量目标优先、质量目标滞后,导致经济增长的就业创造能力逐渐弱化;  相似文献   

6.
解读我国经济增长的就业弹性   总被引:24,自引:0,他引:24  
  相似文献   

7.
我国经济增长与就业弹性问题研究   总被引:63,自引:0,他引:63  
李红松 《财经研究》2003,29(4):23-27,66
文章从理论上分析了影响就业弹性的因素,运用差分公式法和经济增长模型法分别测算了我国不同阶段的就业弹性值。指出了差分公式法的局限性。测算结果表明,自改革开放以来,我国的就业弹性水平出现显著性下滑,经济增长对就业的拉动作用减弱。最后,就提高我国就业弹性水平以促进就业提出了对策和建议。  相似文献   

8.
中国经济增长与就业增长的非一致性及其形成机理   总被引:105,自引:0,他引:105  
一、经济增长与就业增长的非一致性 按照西方经济理论的经济增长因素分析,一国或地区的GDP增长是技术进步、资本积累和劳动力增加等因素长期作用的结  相似文献   

9.
目前我国的投资、消费和出口处于非均衡状态。大量制度安排,如政绩考核、城乡制度差异、财政支出制度、收入分配制度、外贸体制等存在逆向效应,严重阻碍经济增长方式的转变。因此必须矫正现有的逆向制度安排,保持适当的投资和出口规模,同时努力扩大消费,使消费、出口、投资协调驱动,实现经济增长方式的根本转变。  相似文献   

10.
我国经济增长中就业效应不足问题的成因及对策   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
改革开放以来,我国经济一直保持较快的增长率,但近年来就业弹性不断下降,经济增长的就业效应不足问题日益显现。其中,经济结构失衡是就业效应不足的重要诱因。对我国这样一个人口大国来说,就业效应不足既是对人力资源的浪费,也会导致大量的社会无业人口,对社会稳定产生不良影响。必须综合运用多种手段,在经济增长的同时大力促进就业增长。  相似文献   

11.
Raimundo Soto   《Economics Letters》2009,105(1):42-45
Dollarization brought price stability and higher economic growth to Ecuador. Nevertheless, unemployment remained stubbornly high. Two opposing forces explain this result: sustained growth led to higher labor demand but price stabilization triggered substitution effects by cheaper intermediate goods and capital.  相似文献   

12.
中国股票市场发展与经济增长的实证研究   总被引:1,自引:1,他引:1  
本文运用Johansen协整检验、格兰杰因果检验等计量经济学方法,通过分析我国近年来宏观数据及股市规模、流动性和波动性的季度数据,对中国股票市场发展与经济增长的关系进行了计量学检验。得出的结论是:总体上,中国股票市场和经济增长之间存在长期的均衡关系,经济增长对股市的发展具有一定促进作用,但股票市场对经济增长的作用十分有限。  相似文献   

13.
Based on the panel data of 28 provinces in the year of 1987-2001, this paper examines the effects of the local government investment on economic growth and employment. The empirical result shows that the local government investment plays a significant positive role in economic growth and employment. However, while the proportion of local government investment to GDP had a remarkable rise after 1998, the elasticity of local government investment on economic growth declined, which shows that there is a big room for raising the efficiency of local government investment. Moreover. the empirieal examination shows that although local government investment had positive effect on employment, the elasticity had a decrease after 1994 when the tax-sharing system reform was put into practice. This shows that the positive role of local government investment on employment is also limited This paper argues that the role of local governments as investors must be weakened, and local governments of different levels should lessen direct economic intervention and concentrate on public regulation.  相似文献   

14.
Based on the panel data of 28 provinces in the year of 1987-2001,this paper examines the effects of the local government investment on economic growth and employment.The empirical result shows that the local government investment plays a significant positive role in economic growth and emplovment.However,while the proportion of local government investment to GDP had a remarkable rise after 1998.the elasticity of local government investment on economic growth declined,which shows that there is a hig room for raising the efficiency of local government mvestment.Moreover,the empirical examination shows that although local government investment had positive effect on employment,the elasticity had a decrease after 1994 when the tax-sharing system reform was put into practice.This shows that the positive role of local government investment on emplovment is also limited.This paper argues that the role of local governments as investors must be weakened,and local governments of different levels should lessen direct economic intervention and concentrate on public regulation.  相似文献   

15.
中国不成熟的市场经济和特殊的人口环境使得用就业弹性和奥肯定律均无法有效反映我国经济增长与就业关系,更无法刻画经济波动对就业的冲击。本文从宏观经济景气波动影响就业增长的三个路径:劳动力供给、劳动力需求和政府公共就业政策来建立系统的分析模型,以探析经济波动与就业增长的长期均衡关系和滞后冲击效应。在劳动力供给系统中,经济波动使经济活动人口增多,加快了就业增长;在劳动力需求系统中,经济波动不利于经济增长,从而不利于劳动力需求增长;在政府就业促进政策系统中,社会保障和就业的投入缓和了经济波动对就业增长的冲击。  相似文献   

16.
There is agreement in the literature on economic growth concerning the transitory effects of capital accumulation on the process of economic development. However, controversy arises if this effect is permanent. In this sense, the key point is the embodied technological progress and whether supply factors predominate among the determinants of capital accumulation. Only in this case should expect long-run effects of capital accumulation on economic growth. Inspired by this idea, I focus the study on two elements accounting for economic development—equipment investment and productive infrastructure and I also analyze the type of the empirical relationship that exists between them. The results indicate that equipment investment and infrastructures have played a significant role in accounting for long-run growth in China. However, I do not find empirical evidence supporting any relationship between the two types of investment. In addition, I find that foreign trade has stimulated output and equipment investment in the long run. Finally, it is found that innovation activities encourage equipment investment in the long run.  相似文献   

17.
We study the impact of employment growth in manufacturing on job creation in the non-tradable sector for prefecture-level cities in China. Using the 2000 and 2010 Censuses of Population, we apply the shift-share approach to isolate the exogenous change of employment growth in manufacturing. For every hundred new manufacturing jobs, we find that 34 additional jobs are created in the non-tradable sector. We also show that the effect is heterogeneous along a number of dimensions. More specifically, one new job in high-technology manufacturing creates more jobs in the non-tradable sector while low-technology manufacturing employment growth has no significant multiplier effect. Among the non-tradable industries, the multiplier is the largest for wholesale, retail, and catering. Finally, the effect is also geographically heterogeneous, with the multiplier being greater for inland regions.  相似文献   

18.
近年来,中国和拉关地区的贸易额迅速增长。本文介绍了中拉贸易现状及贸易基础,重点对经济增长和中拉贸易合作之间的关系进行了分析。  相似文献   

19.
近年来,中国和拉美地区的贸易额迅速增长.本文介绍了中拉贸易现状及贸易基础,重点对经济增长和中拉贸易合作之间的关系进行了分析.  相似文献   

20.
China has experienced a dramatic demographic transition since the latter half of the twentieth century, and thus, assessing the global economic implications is an important issue. This article uses time-series data on China to estimate the determinants of gross domestic product (GDP) per capita. According to the results of the presented co-integration analysis, population has a significantly negative impact on GDP per capita, while savings rate, total factor productivity and degree of industrialization have significantly positive impacts on GDP per capita. These results suggest that the share of the working-age population relative to the total population does not have a strong influence on GDP per capita. Therefore, the contribution of the working-age population to economic growth might not be as large as previously assumed. It is also possible that an increase in savings, remarkable industrialization and rapid technological progress have all stimulated economic growth in China greatly.  相似文献   

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