完善我国商业银行利率风险管理的对策

利率风险已成为我国商业银行所面临的最主要的风险之一。我国商业银行普遍缺乏利率风险管理意识,缺少科学完善的利率风险管理机制。要积极完善我国商业银行利率风险管理,提高利率风险意识,优化利率风险管理组织结构体系,央行通过政策鼓励引导商业银行利用衍生金融工具分散和规避利率风险。同时,要转变经营思路,开拓经营领域,大力发展中间业务和表外业务;加强资产负债匹配管理;加强利率风险管理人才的培养,建立高素质的利率风险管理队伍。     

关于国有商业银行操作风险管理的几点思考

本文从内部程序、人员因素、系统因素和内部程序四方面对国有商业银行操作风险损失事件形成的原因进行深入分析,通过借鉴两方商业银行的经验,对国有商业银行操作风险管理提出:健全和完善制度体系、优化业务流程建设、建立科学完善的激励约束机制、强化操作风险内部控制机制、加强专业队伍建设、搭建先进的操作风险管理信息平台六项对策.     

荷兰银行业操作风险管理及对我国商业银行操作风险管理的启示

有关操作风险的防范,正日益引起各金融机构的重视,本文通过分析荷兰银行的操作风险管理体系,提出了商业银行应该切实提高对操作风险的整体认识,构建责权明晰的操作风险管理架构,建立操作风险管理企业文化以及建立操作风险损失数据库和设置关键指标体系等对策措施.     

操作风险管理从粗放到精细的飞跃

随着社会经济的发展,商业银行操作风险事件呈高发态势,《巴塞尔新资本协议》和银监会监管要求各商业银行逐步推进全面风险管理体系建设。为建立能覆盖风险识别、评估、控制与缓释、监测报告整个风险管理流程全方位的操作风险管理框架,风险管理系统应提供统一接口采集核心业务系统、财务报表、审计等商业银行内部系统金融数据和同业外部数据．     

国内银行操作风险大案频发的原因及对策分析

2009年上半年国内商业银行发生多起操作风险大案,操作风险形势出现恶化趋势.操作风险形势的恶化跟经济下滑和信用环境下降不无关系,但根本原因还在于银行内部,特别是不完善的操作风险管理体制机制.从这一角度来说,要彻底改变国内商业银行操作风险案件屡屡发生、屡禁不止的情况,就必须对症下药,加快变革,尽快建立起完善的操作风险管理体制.     

对我国商业银行加强操作风险防范的思考

本文就针对我过商业银行操作风险存在的现状,对其完善操作风险监控、建立操作风险管理机制及构建银行操作风险防范系统进行了探讨。     

基于CSA的商业银行操作风险控制价值模型

操作风险成为商业银行风险管理的重要内容之一,新巴塞尔协议已将操作风险纳入全面风险管理体系。控制自我评估法(Control Self Assessment,CSA)是一种非常有用的操作风险管理工具,但由于操作风险的多样性,导致某些操作风险的内控效果非常有限,不加区分地进行控制必然会降低CSA方法的有效性。论文通过引入控制价值的概念,建立控制价值的评估体系,然后根据控制价值的大小选择对操作风险进行内部控制治理或者建立资本金、外包、保险等风险补偿机制。最后应用一个实例来说明控制价值模型能使内控对操作风险管理的支撑更有针对性、更有效率。     

基于CSA的商业银行操作风险控制价值模型

操作风险成为商业银行风险管理的重要内容之一,新巴塞尔协议已将操作风险纳入全面风险管理体系。控制自我评估法（Control Seif Assessment,CSA）是一种非常有用的操作风险管理工具．但由于操作风险的多样性,导致某些操作风险的内控效果非常有限,不加区分地进行控制必然会降低CSA方法的有效性。论文通过引入控制价值的概念,建立控制价值的评估体系,然后根据控制价值的大小选择对操作风险进行内部控制治理或者建立资本金、外包、保险等风险补偿机制。最后应用一个实例来说明控制价值模型能使内控对操作风险管理的支撑更有针对性、更有效率。     

商业银行基层分行操作风险管理机制研究北大核心SSCI

为实施新资本协议的要求,我国各大商业银行都在进行操作风险管理体系的建设,但是由于操作风险具有的广泛性和普遍性的特点,操作风险管理的有效性重在基层。本文总结国内主要商业银行的操作风险管理实践,结合国内商业银行多级总分支结构的管理现状,研究分析了商业银行基层分行的操作风险管理机制的构建、职责的安排和具体操作风险管理工作的落实措施。     

浅析商业银行操作风险管理

<正>操作风险管理是商业银行风险管理的重要内容之一,随着社会经济的发展、信息技术的进步及金融创新的加快等,商业银行业务活动更加复杂多变,操作风险不断暴露,其造成的损失已经仅次于信用风险。国际银行业和监管当局日益重视操作风险的管理和监管,继信用风险、市场风险之后,对商业银行的操作风险提出了资本要求。目前,实施新资本协议的国家和地区都已按照巴塞尔委员会《新资本协议》的要求,将操作风险纳入资本监管的范畴。国内商业银行也已按照中国银监会《商业银行资本充足率管理办法》、《商业银行操作风险管理指引》等要求,初步建立了与本行实际相适应的操作风险管理体系,对加强操作风险管理,提高识别、控制操作风险     

Almanac of anticipations: The age of affluence—of anticipation—of anxiety—of automation—of discontinuity—of longing—of overkill—of space exploration

With this survey of developments in the futures field since 1945, I.F. Clarke completes his present series for Futures. He makes two major points: that forecasting techniques have become essential tools in the management of change; and that nuclear weapons and ecological problems have added a moral dimension to the study of the future. In the next issue of Futures he will start a new series on the range of future-thinking in the USA, from the expectations of the first settlers to the Star Wars programme.     

基金公司经营融资融券业务的问题审视

融资融券业务正式运营已经开展,为证券市场带来了革命性的改革,作为证券市场的一大主体,基金公司面对融资融券也迎来了新的发展方向和挑战,本文从融资融券业务的运行机制入手,分析了基金公司融资融券的新契机,并对其即将面临的问题进行审视和剖析,进而提出策略建议.     

对基层人民银行科技工作的几点建议

银监会分设后,人民银行将专司货币政策、金融稳定、金融服务三大职能。作为人民银行的分支机构,基层人民银行的工作重心也将从金融监管调整到这三大职能上来。人民银行的科技部门,就要积极运用科技手段,为人民银行履行新的职能发挥“服务、支持、促进、发展”的作用。一、围绕三大职能搭建五大平台经过“六五打基础、七五作准备、八五大发展”几个阶段后,人民银行相继实现了核算电算化、清算网络化和办公信息化。特别是近一两年来,陆续开通了大额支付系统、信贷登记咨询系统、会计四集中系统、金融信息服务网站等系统,人民银行信息化水平又…     

The Usefulness of Measures of Consistency of Discretionary Components of Accruals in the Detection of Earnings Management

Abstract:  Prior research has shown the prevalence of measurement error in models used to estimate aggregate discretionary accruals. In these models, the incremental information content of the various components of accruals is ignored. Limited prior research and data gathered from firms under Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) litigation indicate that managers use either one or more than one component of accruals simultaneously, in a consistent way to manipulate bottom-line earnings in a given direction. I propose two measures that capture the consistency between the discretionary components of accruals and test their significance in earnings management (EM) detection in firms that have artificially added accrual manipulation and firms that were targeted by the SEC for accrual manipulation. There is evidence that this information is incrementally useful in detecting EM. This finding paves the way for improvements in the discretionary accruals measure by including consistency information from the components of aggregate accruals.     

社会主义所有制形式的改革、完善与共产党执政能力的提高

在中国,所有制形式的调整、改革与完善,先进生产力的发展,党的执政能力建设,是社会主义建设过程中密切结合在一起的三个不同层面的发展关系.应在相互促进和共同提高中促进社会的和谐发展,保证社会主义现代化建设战略目标的顺利实现.     

Summary of Results of Survey of Seminar Attendees

Abstract

The Society of Actuaries undertook a three-phase research project on mortality improvement in the three NAFTA countries: Canada, Mexico, and the U.S. Phase 1 consisted of a literature review of papers on projecting mortality levels in the future and a study of the trend in mortality improvement during this century. Phase 2 consisted of a discussion of different facets of modeling mortality rates at a seminar attended by 79 experts (actuaries, demographers, economists, and medical researchers) representing different countries. The last session of the seminar consisted of the completion of a survey by the attendees to obtain input for Phase 3, which would analyze the impact of mortality improvement on the social security system of each country. This paper summarizes the results of the survey.

The survey results illustrate the difficulty in forecasting mortality levels, because the effects of many factors that could have significant impact on mortality rates are unknown. This suggests the need for dynamic forecasting, which allows for the possibility of random shocks. A majority of the survey respondents believe that stochastic forecasting models, despite their complexity, have significant potential to add value. Respondents also believe that both historical data and cause-specific mortality forecasts are useful as input and also in validating forecasts of the aggregate levels of mortality. The challenge is to develop more sophisticated forecasting models to produce results that are relatively easy to interpret and to communicate these results to the desired audiences, including the public and policymakers.

The survey results suggest that the aggregate effect of lifestyle changes, medical advances, diseases, catastrophe, and physical environmental changes is an increase in life span. However, there is much uncertainty about the future. Respondents expect that beyond the year 2020 the mean annual rate of reduction in mortality for males age 65 and over will average about 0.58% for Canada, 0.76% for Mexico, and 0.67% for the U.S. The results for the female age 65 and over population are 0.64%, 0.83%, and 0.70%, respectively. The age 65 and over population is expected to see larger percentage reductions in mortality than the 0–14 and 15–64 populations. The reductions in male and female mortality will be ultimately the same, and the mortality levels in the three countries will ultimately converge, although differences may persist for decades.     

Separation of Unit of Account from Medium of Exchange

The separation of a unit of account (UoA) from a medium of exchange (MoE) in the commodity–money system is investigated by considering explicitly a seller's choice of UoA in terms of either an MoE or a unit of metal weight. If the likelihood of debasement of an MoE and its rate are high enough, the price is posted in terms of a unit of metal weight rather than an MoE. Interestingly, this MoE–UoA separated equilibrium yields the flexible nominal price, whereas an MoE–UoA integrated equilibrium yields the sticky one. This implies the nominal price rigidity in the fiat‐money system where MoE and UoA are integrated.     

银行软件项目外包管理分析

一、引言随着国民经济的不断发展,银行业务与外部企业的联系越来越密切。银行正逐步成为现代经济活动的中心,作为数据处理核心的银行业务应用也越来越大型化、越来越复杂化,因此许多银行也把软件项目逐步由原来的自主开发转变为与公司合作的方式,或直接外包开发的方式,银行本身的技术人员也逐步由开发转向项目管理。二、项目外包的分类银行项目的外包有以下几种情况:①部分子系统外包,有时由于银行的软件项目太大,单靠银行自身的开发力量基本无法在预定的时间内完成项目,只好把相对独立的部分外包;②直接购买软件公司的成熟产品,有些金融软…     

银行管理信息平台建设发展的思考

一、目前国内银行IT发展现状及面临的问题 银行数据集中工作的完成,标志着银行的业务由电子化建设阶段转入信息化建设阶段.一方面银行数据的集中提供了丰富全面的基础数据,面对日益庞大的数据源,如何将数字转化为对银行有用的信息,并从中发现知识,为银行的经营决策提供支持,是摆在银行IT人员面前的一个亟待解决的问题.另一方面用户对银行信息的需求日益增长,如果银行没有一套完整、实用的信息管理系统,将对业务发展非常不利.南京爱立信公司倒戈花旗银行事件曾经轰动一时,其中一个重要原因就是中国本地银行不能满足爱立信全球总部对南京爱立信公司的要求:每周财务上报和每天贷款限额管理.这一事件为中国商业银行的未来发展敲响了警钟,如果不加快管理信息系统的开发,迅速提升业务管理水平,类似的事件还会接连不断地发生,并最终导致国内商业银行在同国外商业银行的竞争中全面溃败.     

Properties of time-series estimates of degree of leverage measures

Empirical studies suggest that time-series regression estimates of the degrees of operating and financial leverage have a tendency to produce measures less than one. According to ex ante theory, these measures should be greater than one for firms operating above the breakeven point. There have also been suggestions that the biases in these estimates may be attributable to an underlying increase in unit sales. This work presents evidence that these counter-intuitive measures are produced by changes in the firm's operating parameters (unit price, variable cost, fixed cost and interest payments). It further suggests that attempts to control for the underlying change in unit sales substantially increase the volatility of predicted estimates.