经济危机对我国经济的影响

本文就经济危机对我国经济的影响进行了论述.     

The impact of the financial crisis on the real economy

The cost of the financial crisis to the real economy has so far remained underexamined, probably because of the difficulty in making such an assessment. The crisis was precipitated by an unsustainable bubble that artificially inflated economic figures, so what should be used as a benchmark for measuring the effects of the crisis on the real economy? How reliable are current estimates of the output gap? Could overestimating this indicator lead to underestimating the current risk of inflation? Finally, what effect will the crisis have on the declining long-term productivity gains in Europe and the USA, and what does this mean for potential output?     

当前世界经济形势对我国外经贸的影响

一、世界经济走势——继续缓慢复苏世界经济自2001年陷入衰退后,2002年开始从谷底缓慢复苏,增长的基础比较脆弱,全年实现低水平增长,预计为2%左右(国际货币基金组织预测为2.6%,而世界银行和联合国全球经济预测报告均认为只有1.7%左右)。2003年世界经济仍将继续缓慢复苏。不确定因素仍然十分明显,发达国家还一时难以进入经济增长的良性循环,发展中国家依然面临许多困难。国际机构普遍预计世界经济要到下半年才可能走向平稳增长轨道。据国际货币基金组织2002年9月25日预测今年世界经济增幅将为3.7%,联合国今年1月10日发表全球经济预测报告认为…     

The role of trade credit in the recent subprime financial crisis

This study tests firms’ financing behavior, especially the causal relation between trade credit and bank credit around the time of the recent subprime financial crises. I find bank credit and accounts payable/receivable are simultaneously determined and there is a substitute/complementary effect between bank credit and accounts payable/receivable. Moreover, I test a cross-sectional response to crisis and find that firms with a more vulnerable financial position (i.e., financially constrained firms) are more likely to be negatively affected by crisis and, in turn, are more likely to cut their supply of credit to customers and increase their use of credit from suppliers.     

Unsolved problems of world trade policy

Talks began early in March in Geneva between the members of the extended EEC and their trading partners. These negotiations are being held in accordance with GATT Statute which insists that third countries must be compensated for any disadvantages they may suffer as a consequence of Great Britain, Denmark and Ireland joining the EEC.     

浅析经济危机下的企业财务管理变革

本文就金融危机背景下中小企业财务管理存在的问题进行了分析,从加强现金预算管理、严格控制成本费用、优化筹资渠道、加强财务控制、降低投资风险等方面提出了建议.     

浅析经济危机下的企业财务管理变革

本文就金融危机背景下中小企业财务管理存在的问题进行了分析,从加强现金预算管理、严格控制成本费用、优化筹资渠道、加强财务控制、降低投资风险等方面提出了建议.     

日本大地震后对中日经贸关系的影响

中日经贸往来历史悠久,日本地震对中日经贸关系的发展产生一定影响,本文回顾了中日经贸往来的密切关系、阐述日本经济现状及进一步分析地震后对中日经贸关系的影响。     

欧洲债务危机对中国经济的影响分析

随着希腊经济危机的加剧,成为全球关注的热点。由于,欧盟在处理希腊债务危机的问题上没有得到有效的解决,使得希腊债务危机进一步蔓延,导致银行危机与债务危机并发,逐渐扩散的整个欧元区,大致欧洲出现了严重的债务危机。本文通过对欧洲债务危机的分析,着重研究欧洲债务危机对中国经济的影响。     

Structural changes in world trade since the oil crisis

The sudden shock of the fivefold increase of the price of oil in the autumn of 1973 has been reflected since in the world trade by structural changes in its composition by categories of goods and its regional distribution. How has the international trade coped with this shock, and which more recent tendencies can be observed in the structure of world trade, not least as a result of cyclical impulses?     

后危机时代新贸易保护主义的特征和我国的应对策略

后金融危机时代,各国贸易保护主义倾向加剧,新的贸易壁垒层出不穷,这使我国解决贸易纠纷、促进出口面临更大的困难。本文回顾了贸易保护主义理论的渊源,介绍了新贸易保护主义的现状及特点,剖析了贸易保护主义实质和影响,最后提出我国应对国际贸易保护主义的策略。     

The impact of banks and non-bank financial institutions on economic growth

Empirical studies examining the relationship between financial sector development and economic growth without including non-bank financial institutions (NBFIs) will likely generate biased empirical results. This study provides evidence that NBFIs can have a statistically significant negative impact on economic growth using cross-country data for both emerging and advanced countries. This finding suggests that these non-bank institutions, often loosely regulated, may introduce an excessive level of risk into the financial sector and the general economy. It is consistent with the current global financial crises where NBFIs, such as investment banks and insurance companies, introduced an excessive level of risk into the global economy. Hence, policy-makers may need to consider more timely and effective regulation of NBFIs and insure that adequate transparency and disclosure is provided to all financial markets participants.     

Estimating the impact of trade specialization and trade policy on poverty in developing countries

This paper investigates the impact of trade specialization on poverty. The empirical findings show that in developing countries manufacturing exports contribute to poverty reduction. But agricultural exports have a more significant effect on poverty in low-income countries. The analysis also confirms that trade specialization reduces poverty but under specific trade specialization patterns and policy conditions.     

US trade policy in an unbalanced world economy

Both the national as well as the international debate on US trade policy are overshadowed, and strongly influenced, by the large external inbalances of major trading nations. What do these disequilibria mean for US trade policy? Moreover, is the USA losing comparative advantage in agriculture and high-technology manufacturing? Do industrial policies in other countries distort American trade?     

金融发展与FDI对商贸流通业的影响研究——基于省际面板数据的实证分析

本文使用1990～2015年期间的省际面板数据,实证分析了金融发展与外商直接投资(FDI)对商贸流通业的影响。结果发现:金融发展规模与金融发展效率对商贸流通业都具有正向促进作用,FDI对商贸流通业具有负向作用,并且这种负向作用随着金融发展规模的增大而降低,随着金融发展效率的提高而增强。此外,分地区回归发现:东部地区金融发展规模和金融发展效率对商贸流通业的促进作用显著高于中西部地区,FDI对商贸流通业的影响具有地区差异,它在东部仍然表现为显著的负向影响,而在中西部地区具有了对商贸流通业的正向影响,但是这种影响不具有显著性。     

Market response to policy initiatives during the global financial crisis

This paper examines the impact of macroeconomic and financial sector policy announcements in the United States, the United Kingdom, the euro area, and Japan on interbank credit and liquidity risk premia during the recent crisis. Overall, policy interventions were associated with a reduction in interbank risk premia, most significantly for recapitalization programs. By contrast, decisions to bail out individual banks in an ad hoc manner or let them fail were accompanied by a significant rise in interbank risk premia. Most policy announcements had international spillovers. These results are broadly robust to using alternative measures of financial distress and varying the size of the event window.     

The simultaneous evolution of economic growth,financial development,and trade openness

This article empirically investigates the interactions among economic growth, financial development, and trade openness through simultaneous equation systems. The identification and estimation of the systems rely on the methodology of identification through heteroskedasticity. The empirical results show that each of the three variables interacts in important ways. When controlling for the reverse causation, trade promotes economic growth in high-income, low-inflation, and nonagricultural countries but has a negative impact on growth in countries with the opposite attributes. Similarly, when accounting for the feedbacks from growth, banks and stock markets have different impacts on economic growth. While banking development is detrimental to output growth, stock market development is more favorable to growth in high-income, low-inflation, and nonagricultural countries. The data also reveal coexistence of a positive effect of financial development on trade and a negative effect of trade on financial development in poorer countries. In richer countries, financial development stimulates trade openness whereas trade has an ambiguous impact on financial development.     

论后危机背景下扩大内需战略与商业创新

后危机背景下,通过商业创新扩大消费采落实我国扩大内需战略,既是应对不利国际经济环境的迫切需要,也是解决我国经济发展深层次问题的最佳选择本文认为我国实施商业创新必须以观念创新为先导、以环境创新为保证、以市场创新为依托、以为系统创新为纽带,借助后发优势,以超常规创新抢占商业创新的制高点.     

The impact of the EC’s agricultural policy on its trade with developing countries

The European Community has frequently been blamed for impairing, through its highly protectionist agricultural policy, the development chances of Third World countries. Our article analyses whether, and to what extent, this reproach is justified.