Capital outflow liberalization and stock market reaction in an emerging market: Experience from Greece

This paper examines the response of the Greek equities market to the liberalization of capital flows during the 1992–1994 period. While past empirical research has largely examined the effects of capital inflow liberalization in emerging markets, we focus on capital outflow liberalization. In particular, we consider changes in the regulatory environment that allow domestic investors to hold foreign risky assets. Employing a time series of daily equity returns, a wealth effect is found that is indirectly linked to the announcement of capital flow liberalization. Additionally, our results reveal a significant change in the daily return distribution before and after final implementation. The views expressed in this paper are solely those of the authors and should not be interpreted as those of their respective affiliations.     

产品市场与资本市场分离之尴尬——基于中国交叉上市样本的分析

截至2011年12月31日,我国共有70家企业实现境内外交叉上市,其中36家企业先于境外上市,而后回归国内A股市场。本文测算这36个样本交叉上市前两年的海外营业收入占比和海外股权融资占比,发现上述样本在回归A股市场之前,来自于海外市场的营业收入占比平均不足10%,但其流通股本全部来自于境外市场,占总股本的比重平均高达33.17%,交叉上市企业面临资本市场与产品市场分离的尴尬处境。这种分离割裂了两个市场之间的良性互动,企业难以将其在海外资本市场累积的声誉转化为国内产品市场的声誉,不利于其产品市场竞争力的提升。本文的研究旨在为后续基于中国样本之交叉上市动因研究奠定基础。     

The Economic Consequences of Increased Disclosure: Evidence from Cross-Listings of Chinese Firms

In this paper, we investigate the impact of cross‐listings on information asymmetry risk, the cost of capital and firm value of a group of cross‐listed Chinese companies. Our paper is the first to examine the effect of cross‐listing on information asymmetry risk. Because cross‐listed firms are subject to increased disclosure requirements, increased regulatory scrutiny and increased legal liability, we propose that Chinese cross‐listed firms have lower information asymmetry risk, lower cost of capital and higher firm value than their non‐cross‐listed counterparts. We find in both univariate and multivariate tests that cross‐listed firms enjoyed lower information asymmetry risk in the domestic market compared with the non‐cross‐listed firms. We also find that cross‐listed firms have lower cost of capital in the cross‐listing market than non‐cross‐listed firms in the domestic markets. Finally, we find that cross‐listed firms are associated with higher firm value as measured by Tobin's Q. These results have implications for international investors and companies seeking cross‐listing opportunities.     

The Valuation Differential between Class A and B Shares: Country Risk in the Chinese Stock Market

The Chinese stock market has been characterized by a strict segmentation between domestic and foreign investors, with listed companies issuing Class A shares to domestic, and Class B shares to foreign, investors, respectively. Entitled to the same rights and obligations, however, the two classes of shares are traded at significantly different prices. The valuation differential is attributable to the different sets of investment opportunities available to domestic versus foreign investors and their risk tolerance. Foreign investors would require a higher rate of return to adjust for the country‐specific risk related to the Chinese stock market. The country risk of China can be decomposed into political risk, exchange rate risk, interest rate risk and market risk. Empirical tests provide strong evidence to support the decomposition model, showing the political risk of China as an important component.     

Shareholder Heterogeneity and Conflicting Goals: Strategic Investments in the Japanese Electronics Industry

This article investigates the effects of the changing institutional environment on strategic orientations of Japanese electronics firms during the 1990s. We examine the effects of three different types of shareholders on strategic directions of their invested firms. The first one, foreign portfolio investors, characterizes the emerging influence that pressed for change in corporate strategies. The two domestic shareholders, corporate investors and financial institutions, represent the conventional forces for continuity. Between the two domestic forces, though, while corporate investors attempted to maintain status quo, financial institutions have shifted towards market‐oriented behaviour of investment. Specifically, we explore: (1) the influence of each type of shareholder on a firm's diversification strategy and capital commitment; and (2) the moderating effects of firm performance on the relationships between ownership structure and strategic choices. The results suggest that foreign investors prefer the focused product portfolio and conservative capital commitment. They also prefer the reduction of capital investment when the financial performance of their invested firms is poor. Domestic financial institutions are now similarly sensitive to the performance of their invested firms when those firms make strategic investments. By contrast, domestic corporate shareholders remain indifferent to performance, while they aim to maintain relational business ties with invested firms.     

Attracting cross-border venture capital: the role of a local investor

Examining an increasingly prevalent but under-researched phenomenon, cross-border venture capital investments, it is observed that local venture capitalists typically invest first, followed by foreign venture capitalists in later rounds. A model is developed that explains the role of a domestic venture capital investor in attracting foreign investors and which also accounts for the impact of various circumstances on the importance of this role. In our model based on analysis of nine cross-border venture capital-backed companies, local venture capitalists have several important roles in increasing the venture's cross-border investment readiness including advice to operational management and contributing contacts and local market knowledge. The importance of these roles is mitigated if the entrepreneurial team is highly experienced or if the home market is not important for the venture. The prominence of the local investor has signalling value. Finally, the local investor's international social capital facilitates the formation of cross-border syndicates. Overall, the model developed in the paper contributes to a better understanding of cross-border venture capital and in particular to the division of labour between domestic and foreign venture capitalists in international venture capital syndicates. The paper also contributes to the emerging literature on international social capital.     

IPO performance of portfolio ventures funded by impact investors versus venture capital investors

With the global rise of impact investments to achieve societal goals, an increasing number of new ventures that aim to create societal impact now seek to go public. However, while many conceptual studies suggest that impact investors are less likely to pursue financially oriented exit plans in exchange for generating societal impact, there is little empirical evidence to back up this claim. Using a propensity score matching approach, we draw on data from Crunchbase and empirically compare the initial public offering (IPO) performance of a large sample of 3398 investments by impact investors with 3398 investments by matched venture capital (VC) investors. We find that impact investor investments are less likely to lead to an IPO than VC investments. Besides, our results indicate that syndication by impact investors increases the likelihood of an IPO. This suggests that companies funded by impact investors benefit more from syndication than their VC-funded counterparts. Our findings have practical implications for impact investors, portfolio ventures, and policymakers.     

Disclosure, Corporate Governance and Foreign Share Ownership on the Zimbabwe Stock Exchange

We investigate the association of foreign share ownership with firm‐level disclosure and corporate governance structures in Zimbabwe, a developing country in Southern Africa. Our motivation for the study derives from the literature, which suggests that foreign investors: (1) generally have a preference for companies in which they are well informed and where their investments are more likely to be protected, and (2) avoid companies in developing countries because of weak corporate governance structures and low disclosure. Using data drawn from companies listed on the Zimbabwe Stock Exchange, we examine the effect of disclosure and corporate governance on foreign share ownership. We find that disclosure, proportion of non‐executive directors, institutional share ownership and audit committee independence are all positively and significantly associated with foreign share ownership. Our results also demonstrate that market capitalization, return on equity and liquidity ratios are significantly associated with foreign share ownership. These results are consistent with the notion that foreign investors have a preference for companies with effective corporate governance structures, companies with less information asymmetry, as well as companies with healthy cash positions. The results have implications for policy‐makers in developing countries in their endeavour to improve liquidity on stock markets through the participation of foreign investors. The results are also useful to managers in developing countries who are keen to increase the market value of their company, thereby reducing their cost of capital.     

家族控制与大股东掏空——基于宏盛科技的案例分析

本文以案例分析方法研究了借助反向收购国有股份而形成的家族控股上市公司宏盛科技被其控股股东龙氏家族掏空的过程。研究表明,家族控制的上市公司在两权分离度畸高、缺乏股权制衡、法律对投资者保护机制不健全的条件下,既有动机也有条件掏空上市公司。本文建议从建立债权人治理机制和加强金融机构的风险控制入手,监督、遏制掏空行为以保护中小股东利益、维护资本市场的秩序。     

To whom are IAS earnings informative? Domestic versus foreign shareholders' perspectives

Using a sample from the Helsinki Stock Exchange, this paper analyses the information content of dual disclosures of IAS (International Accounting Standards) and LAS (Local Accounting Standards) earnings. Their information content to foreign and domestic shareholders can be distinguished from each other as the unrestricted shares (available to foreign and domestic investors) and the restricted shares (available to domestic investors only) of the same set of companies were listed separately during 198492. The information content is tested with regressions using market-adjusted stock returns measured from the fifty-week period ending in the week of financial statements release. The overall findings suggest that restating local GAAP earnings according to the IAS helps to meet foreign investors' information needs, but is of limited use to domestic investors.     

Itchy feet vs cool heads: Flow of funds in an agent-based financial market

Investors tend to move funds when they are unhappy with their current portfolio managers׳ performance. We study the effect of the size of this flow of funds in an agent-based model of the financial market. The model combines the discrete choice approach from agent-based modelling, where all capital is mobile, with the evolutionary finance framework where all growth is endogenous. Our results show that, if investors exhibit recency bias in evaluating portfolio managers׳ performance, even a small amount of freely flowing capital has a huge impact on the market dynamics and the survival of noise traders. We also find that investors׳ intensity of choice is a driving force for excess volatility and extreme price movements when the size of the flow of funds is large.     

基于海外投资商与东道国动态博弈的税收风险研究

海外投资商遭受的东道国税收风险对投资成败具有关键影响作用,如何更好地规避税收风险,实现海外投资收益最大化,是投资者面临的难题。在综合考虑海外投资商对东道国本地企业的技术溢出效应和竞争效应基础上,构建海外投资商与东道国之间的动态博弈框架,分析海外投资商与东道国的策略互动,寻求海外投资商应对税收风险的最优投资策略。研究结果表明：东道国政府通常会给予海外投资商特定免税期,不过达到稳定状态后,均衡税率和海外投资商的资本存量会受技术溢出影响。     

ECB tapering: beware of global consequences

• ? The ECB's scaling back of its QE programme in 2018 could be more disruptive to global financial markets than the Federal Reserve's ongoing balance sheet unwinding. ECB bond purchases led Eurozone private investors to inject a massive amount of funds into global debt markets over the last few years. As the ECB reduces its stimulus, Eurozone investors will gradually pare back the build‐up of their foreign debt exposures. The full unwinding of ECB QE will see investors rebalance toward domestic debt securities .
• ? We expect Eurozone investors to continue injecting funds into global debt markets as the ECB proceeds to wind down its QE, but they will do so at a much slower pace. Based on our projections, European purchases of foreign debt securities this year will total €200 billion – down by half from the average €400 billion over the last three years. Such a large reduction raises the risk of disruption in some markets.
• ? How did we get here? Spillovers from the ECB's QE were much more pronounced than during Fed's. European private investors that sold bonds to the ECB during its QE programme faced a commensurate shortage of domestic debt assets. In contrast to the US experience, ECB buying far exceeded new domestic issuance, inducing private investors to sharply increase purchases of overseas debt securities.
• ? Ultimately, we expect European investors to seek to restore the share of domestic debt securities in their portfolios to a level in line with the historical norm, after the proportion of their domestic debt holdings fell by 7pp since the programme began. The rebalancing is likely to start in earnest once the ECB stops buying (and eventually starts selling) securities. As a result, the global debt issuance boom is likely to lose steam, given the extent to which it has relied on the support of European investors.

     

机构投资者持股与企业短贷长投：抑制还是促进？

利用2007—2019年A股上市公司的年度数据,针对中国上市公司短贷长投这一现象,研究了机构投资者在其中发挥的作用。研究发现,机构投资者持股使得上市公司进行了更多的短贷长投,且该效应在非国有企业中更加明显。进一步研究发现,只有当机构投资者为非独立型机构投资者时,这种促进作用才显著,且机构投资者数量同样加剧了企业短贷长投。从短贷长投视角考察机构投资者对上市公司债务风险的影响,为治理上市公司短贷长投行为和进一步推动独立型机构投资者发展、完善机构投资者监管提供了参考。     

Asset allocation over the life cycle: How much do taxes matter?

We study the welfare effect of tax-optimizing portfolio decisions in a life cycle model with unspanned labor income and realization-based capital gain taxation. For realistic parameterizations of our model, certainty equivalent welfare gains from fully tax-optimized portfolio decisions are less than 2% of present financial wealth and lifetime income compared to a heuristic portfolio policy ignoring the taxation of profits (capital gains, interest and dividend payments). Compared to a heuristic portfolio policy that only ignores the realization-based feature of capital gain taxation and instead assumes mark-to-market taxation, these gains are less than 0.5%. That is, our work provides a justification for ignoring taxes in life cycle portfolio choice problems – a wide-spread assumption in that literature. However, if capital gains are forgiven at death (as in the U.S.), investors with strong bequest motives face substantial welfare costs when not tax-optimizing their portfolio decisions towards the end of the life cycle.     

我国上市公司融资风险及其防范

面对竞争更加激烈的国内资本市场,我国上市公司必须通过加强融资风险的防范来获得融资的竞争优势。本文从我国上市公司融资的实际状况出发,分析了上市公司融资风险现状以及成因,提出了通过提高融资效率、优化资本结构、建立融资风险预警系统和完善公司治理结构等措施来降低和防范公司的融资风险。     

Mutual fund performance: The decision quality and capital magnet efficiencies

This study employs a two-stage network data envelopment analysis model to analyze the decision quality and capital magnet efficiencies of 155 mutual funds in Taiwan during the period 2007–2016. The empirical results show that fund managers improved their decision quality; however, their capital magnet efficiency declined. This study also found 10 mutual funds performing in decision quality and capital magnet efficiencies, from which practical suggestions are provided to investors. Finally, this study constructs a market competition matrix to help fund managers (and investors) improve their operating and portfolio performance, plus resource allocation.     

论投资连结保险的收益

投资连结保险作为寿险公司的投资型险种,其收益和风险均有投保人承担。收益的取得来源于投资账户投资于银行存款、债券、基金及股票的加权平均收益,即投资组合收益。文中运用马科维茨的均值方差模型及多目标非线性规划模型,引入投资者偏好系数,对投资连结保险的收益进行分析,以期对消费者购买投资连结保险有所帮助。     

The Economic Determinants of the Home Country Bias in Investors' Portfolios: A Survey

In this article, we survey the international portfolio choice literature to investigate why investors choose to bias their portfolios towards domestic equity, even though there are significant gains to diversifying internationally. We focus on three potential explanations. First, we consider if the high proportion of domestic assets in investors' portfolios can be explained by their desire to hedge home inflation. While the models of Krugman (1981), Sercu (1980), Adler and Dumas (1983), and Stulz (1981a, 1983) suggest that this is the case, the model in Uppal (1993) shows that this is true only when relative risk aversion is less than one. Second, we consider the prevailing institutional barriers to foreign investment to see if they are sufficiently large to explain the bias observed in investors' portfolios. Halliday (1989) reports that there are few constraints on investing in foreign stock markets. This is especially true when investing in the markets of developed countries. Even when restrictions exist, they are usually not binding. Third, we consider the models of Black (1974) and Stulz (1981b) to see if transactions costs for investing abroad and taxes on income from foreign assets can explain the home equity bias. Cooper and Kaplanis (1986, 1991) and French and Porterba (1991) estimate that the taxes required to explain the observed bias are much larger than those investors actually face. We conclude that it is unlikely that these three factors are significant enough to explain the degree of the bias in portfolios that is observed empirically.     

Accruals quality,information risk,and institutional investors’ trading behavior: Evidence from the Korean stock market

This study analyzes the effect of firm-specific information risk, measured by accruals quality, on the cost of capital using institutional investors’ trading behavior. Institutional investors in firms with lower accruals quality increase their net selling in later years. Furthermore, these investors’ net selling is relevant to the innate and discretionary factors of accruals quality. This relationship is stronger for foreign institutions than for domestic institutions, and it is mostly observed under favorable macroeconomic conditions. We do not observe this relationship for large business groups connected by shares.