让人口流动更加自由

据新华社6月19日电,国务院总理温家宝6月18日主持召开国务院常务会议,审议并原则通过了<城市生活无着的流浪乞讨人员救助管理办法〈草案〉>.会议认为,20多年来,我国经济社会发展和人口流动状况发生了很大变化,1982年5月国务院发布施行的<城市流浪乞讨人员收容遣送办法>,已经不适应新形势的需要.     

人口流动背景下乡村治理模式的变迁

中国的乡村治理有其深远的历史,不同时期分别有不同的内容和特点.村庄人口流动对乡村治理有比较大的影响,不同的历史时期因为人口流动的差异性要求不同的治理模式.文章从人口流动的角度来分析乡村治理的模式变迁.     

我国人口流动与农村人力资本投资

"人力资本"理论是由美国经济学家西奥多.W.舒尔茨在20世纪60年代提出的,该理论认为,人力是社会进步的决定性因素,但人力的取得不是无代价的,需要耗费稀缺资源。形成人力资本的方式主要有三种:教育培训;医疗保健;人口流动迁移。但人们在进行人力资本研究时,更多强调     

我国的工业化与农村人口流动

王业化是农村人口流动的根本原因，工业化决定农村人口流动的特点、速度、规模。因此我们应该从工业化进程的角度认识我国的农村人口流动．认识政府在各个时期制定的农村人口流动政策及婪变动．我国建国以来的农村人口流动与工业化进程基本上是相适应的。我国已进入工业化中期阶段，可以预见今后一个时期．农村人口流动的规模会更大．速度会更快．政府应当翱定与之相适应构政策，以促使其健康发展。     

城市化进程中的人口流动特征

目前,加快城市化进程已经成为学术界和决策层的一种共识。但在实际操作上,人们,包括学术界和决策层,则又存在种种疑虑。这种疑虑已经成为阻碍城市化进程快速推进的最重要最关键的因素。这些疑虑具体有很多种,但大体上可分为两类。一类是认为农民进城市会增加城市负担,主要包括城市基     

农村人口流动的社会网络构筑与管理

随着市场经济的不断发展,工业化、城镇化的加速推进,大量农村剩余劳动力不断地向城市涌入,其中一部分人为了更好地适应城市生活,在城市社会形成了特殊的聚集区（村）,由此给当前城市发展与管理带来了诸多新的挑战。农村人口流入城市中的过程,实际上是社会变迁的过程,这类群体的流动所产生的特殊社会行为过程,赋予社会网络更为广泛的内涵。分析农村人口流动的社会关系网络的构筑动因、网络空间适用,对城市人口的社会管理创新,构建和谐的城市社会具有广泛的现实意义。     

发展农村经济是解决我国城市失业和乡村人口流动的主要出路--托达罗人口流动模型的启发

根据全国第五次人口普查的统计资料,我国2000年城镇人口为45594万人,占总人口的36.09%,比1990年增长了9.86个百分点;乡村人口为80739万人,占总人口的63.91%,而1990年这一比例为73.67%.由此可以看出我国近十年城市化的步伐较快,但是与发达国家平均城市化率在75%左右,发展中国家也在45%左右相比,我们的差距还是十分明显的.     

刘易斯二元经济模型与托达罗人口流动模型的比较分析及启示

随着我国经济的发展，农业剩余劳动力转移问题越来越突出，并已成为制约我国经济增长的重要因素。许多学者对此也作了大量研究。本文主要通过对刘易斯二元经济模型和托达罗人口流动模型的比较分析，结合我国的实际国情。提出了一个适合我国二元经济结构转变的创新模式。     

中国经济周期波动的典型事实

本文利用差分法、H-P滤波法以及Band-Pass滤波方法对中国主要经济变量序列长期趋势项进行分解,采用时域分析方法和频域分析方法对中国经济周期波动的特征进行检验和分析,在此基础上总结了中国经济周期波动中的主要经济变量的一些典型化事实,以供政策决策参考。     

China＇s Penetration of the Korean Market： Stylized Facts and Welfare Effect

China＇s penetration of the world market has been impressive. This paper uses highly disaggregated Korean import data （from 1992 to 2008） to examine China ＇s penetration of the Korean market in the context of the composition of value （the extensive and intensive margins） and the product type （homogeneous and differentiated） in trade. The increase in Chinese imports has been attributed to the rapid increase in the import of new products （the extensive margin） and of existing products （the intensive margin）. However, the growth rate of new products decelerated in the 2000s. The growth in the intensive margin was due to quantity, not price. Chinese imports to Korea did not improve over the period in terms of quality. Although Chinese products became cheaper, they were more differentiated over time. Welfare gains were realized through the expanded introduction of new products from China. However, much of the gains from Korea＇s Chinese product import boom were realized in earlier years （1992 -2000） because even though imported products became more differentiated, the increase in the extensive margin was lower in more recent years （2001- 2008）.     

韩国经济周期的程式化事实

本文通过观察GDP的周期性成分和宏观经济变量的共同运动,发现了韩国经济中的特征性事实。本文用Hodrick$CPrescott滤波来提取序列的周期成分,通过预白噪声化程序进行稳健的测量,并且借助脉冲反应函数观测了GDP的冲击传导机制,从而得出结论:除了价格变量以外,所有变量的周期成分都是顺周期的和同周期的。工资滞后周期3个季度,M2较弱的顺周期而且领先周期。预白噪声化之后,大多数变量的交叉反应相关函数值降低,但是很少发生质的改变。投资变量最活跃而消费变量相对不太活跃。GDP冲击似乎首先影响总需求方;而供给方如就业、真实工资要几个季度之后才有反应。     

中国经济波动的动态化特征事实——基于动态条件相关系数的理论和实证

不同经济序列之间的协动性被认为是宏观经济学的最重要的特征事实之一,这种协动性一般被定义为经济序列之间的相关系数.本文首先对经济序列中的相关系数问题进行综述,特别是介绍了动态相关系数,并且作为衡量经济周期稳定性的新特征事实.然后介绍Engle最近提出的动态条件相关系数估计方法.最后对使用这种方法对中国经济波动的特征事实进行描述.本文计算了消费、投资、政府财政支出、城市和农村的人均收入、净出口、CPI、M2、利率以及人民币对美元、日元汇率与GDP之间的动态相关系数,发现了政府支出与GDP之间关系最为稳定的重要结论,并且和美国经济波动的特征事实进行了比较和总结.     

Global Imbalance Adjustment: Stylized Facts,Driving Factors and China's Prospects

This paper summarizes global imbalance adjustment after the GFC and analyzes the evolution of balance of payments using a four‐quadrant diagram. We construct the framework of a stock adjustment mechanism to analyze the main driving factors for the imbalance in surplus/deficit countries and debtors/creditors in an attempt to determine the sustainability of imbalance adjustment. We find that imbalances have been reduced to some extent, but most countries have not achieved rebalance after the global financial crisis. Therefore, we propose an ideal path for global imbalance adjustment and summarize the policy practices of representative countries that have followed this route. Based on our analysis, we suggest that China should learn from the Australian experience and adopt a macro‐prudential assessment policy, actively adjust the domestic economic structure and optimize the structure of balance of payments.     

Firm Heterogeneity and Exports: Stylized Facts from Greek Firms

Atlantic Economic Journal - The paper presents a set of empirical regularities that characterize the activity of Greek exporters. Using a unique data set of Greek manufacturing firms with...     

Financial Structure: Theories and Stylized Facts for Six Eu Countries

The article provides a survey of one of the most important elements of financial structure, namely credit to firms and households, by means of five distinguished theoretical issues. It is complemented by a survey of relevant stylized facts for six European countries. A cross-country comparison across Europe shows that indirect credit markets with banks as the main players are far more important than direct credit markets, and that the most striking difference in financial structure among the countries considered relates to debt maturity.     

Five Stylized Facts on Belt and Road Countries and Their Trade Patterns

The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) offers investment opportunities for several Eurasian countries but not all of them attract investments in the same way. This paper investigates the geographical distribution of BRI projects completed between 2013 and 2020. The analysis shows that pre-existing trade patterns are related to the likelihood of a country receiving completed BRI projects. We single out and provide evidence in support of five stylized facts. First, BRI countries with completed projects tend to be poorer and larger. Second, projects are more likely to occur in countries with intense intermediate trade with China. Third, the countries that received projects have more diversified export structures and their sectoral specialization overlaps with that of China. Fourth, among middle-high-income countries, the allocation of projects tends to favor those with high levels of intra-industry trade. Fifth, among BRI countries with projects, the complexity or sophistication of the goods traded increases faster with income. These findings suggest that fostering trade integration has direct benefits and may also contribute to further BRI investments.