对孟加拉"格菜珉小额信贷模式"和我国海南"琼中小额贷款模式"的比较研究

小额信贷是解决农民资金需求的有效手段.做好小额信贷工作,事关我国农业发展、农民增收、农村稳定大局.本文在对国际上有代表性的"格莱珉小额信贷模式"和我国海南"琼中小额贷款模式"进行对比分析的基础上,探索出中国特色的小额信贷发展之路,以破解农民贷款难问题,促进"三农"持续发展.     

孟加拉“格莱珉模式”和我国“琼中模式”的比较研究

我国海南“琼中小额贷款模式”与孟加拉“格莱珉小额信贷模式”存在经济环境、文化背景、贷款对象、还款安排和利率定价等方面的不同。“琼中模式”的成功经验启示我们,国际经验只能借鉴不能复制,发展我国的小额信贷,需要学习尤努斯的精神和理念,不断推进小额信贷体制与机制创新,要坚持市场化取向,充分发挥中国农村基层组织和其他社区组织的作用。     

“穷人银行”在我国推行的可行性

近几年,在农村,根据农业生产、社区组织的特性,以创新的小额信贷模式组织,给农户有效提供金融服务、并成功经营的农村小额信贷银行——＂穷人银行＂正在悄然升起。本文从四个方面谈谈＂穷人银行＂在中国推行的可行性。     

中国P2P网络小额信贷运营模式研究——基于“拍拍贷”、“宜农贷”的案例分析

小额信贷是解决低收入阶层和中小企业资金难题的重要突破口,而传统小额信贷供给机构只能满足很小一部分的资金需求.P2P网络小额信贷利用互联网技术对小额信贷进行了创新式发展,解决了传统小额信贷供给机构的资金供不足的难题,不仅是一种新的民间金融模式,还是一种创新型公益模式.文章以中国P2P网络小额信贷的代表——“拍拍贷”和“宜农贷”为例,对现有的中国P2P网络小额信贷运营模式进行了探索研究,总结其中存在的问题,分析其原因,并提出相关建议,以期对中国P2P网络小额信贷实践起到一定的指导作用.     

小额信贷快“长壮”

小额信贷是金融支农的黄金品牌,而随着农村经济的发展,农民盼望黄金品牌快快“长壮”些。金额“长大”些。小额信贷从开始的二三干元增加到现在的四五万元,应该说金额增加了不少,可农民的需求也更大了。农民盼望小额信贷能跟上农村发展的步伐。     

小额信贷“琼中模式”与“格莱珉模式”的比较与完善对策

由于传统、正规金融体系难以适应低收入群体的融资需求特点,导致长期以来我国低收入群体金融服务严重缺位。小额信贷在扶贫效果和可持续性方面取得的成功,为金融制度创新、金融支持低收入群体摆脱贫困恶性循环拓展了思路。本文介绍了琼中县的两种小额信贷模式——“琼中模式”与“格莱珉模式”的内容和绩效．通过制度层面的比较分析探讨了合理运用政府外力、市场力量和因地制宜构建完善小额信贷模式的有效途径。     

“小额信贷＋保险”服务模式有待完善

“小额信贷＋保险”将个人信用与信贷额度、风险控制能力在实务操作中加以综合运用,是农村小额信贷的一种捆绑经营模式。     

普惠金融视角下农户小额信贷模式研究

普惠金融旨在为社会所有人,特别是贫困和低收入者提供金融服务,帮助他们摆脱贫困.小额信贷作为普惠金融的核心,是普惠金融理念的有效实践.通过了解普惠金融的涵义,指出我国的农户小额信贷模式存在问题,分析公司+农户的小额信贷模式、保险+农户小额信贷模式、P2P网络农户小额信贷模式的基本情况,提出完善发展我国农户小额贷款的各种主体相结合模式,以更好地发展农户小额信贷,进一步促进我国农村经济的发展.     

“农村小额信贷+农村保险”模式的可行性分析

在建立小额信贷机构的基础上,开展与农村小额信贷有关的其他业务,例如农村保险是可以扩展农村小额信贷或者降低金融风险的。本文就关于开展与农村小额信贷相联系的农村保险业务的模式提出了设计方案,并讨论了农村保险和小额信贷结合开展的意义。     

珠三角农村信用社小额信贷的转型创新:MIS模式

本文以珠三角小额信贷为切入点,着重分析了目前小额信贷发展的基本情况及主要问题,在借鉴世界小额信贷发展模式的基础上,结合珠三角的实际情况,提出珠三角农村信用社发展小额信贷的创新型模式--MIS模式.     

投资空间环境评价模型研究（上）

本文以空间GIS（地理、信息、系统）为手段、系统工程方法为指导思想，建立投资空间环境评价模型，从定性、定量、定位三方面描述区域投资条件。     

投资空间环境评价模型研究（下）

本文以空间GIS（地理、信息、系统）为手段、系统工程方法为指导思想，建立投资空间环境评价模型，从定性、定量、定位三方面描述区域投资条件。     

A New Prepayment Model (with Default): An Occupation-time Derivative Approach

A new prepayment model is developed, which improves the modeling of the borrowers decision process by incorporating an occupation-time derivative in the valuation framework of a fixed-rate mortgage. This option-theoretic mortgage valuation model is based on stochastic house-price and interest-rate models, and requires a particularly subtle technique to incorporate a new type of occupation-time derivative, where the barrier (which activates the derivative) is in the value process and not the underlying process (as it is in standard occupation-time derivatives). This new model simulates a delay in prepayment by the borrower (beyond the time simple ruthless prepayment dictates), thus increasing the value of the mortgage to the lender, compared to the value gained using more basic models. This allows for a more advanced borrower decision process, where a rational exercise structure is retained in a modified form. Empirical evidence supports this theory, which should be beneficial for accurate mortgage-backed security pricing. The results in this paper explore thoroughly the effect on the mortgage value of a delay in prepayment by the borrower on the embedded options held and on the insurance component.

房地产行业反洗钱可疑资金监测模型研究

建立房地产反洗钱临测模型对临控房地产洗钱资金流动和杜绝房地产洗钱犯罪有着重要作用.本文采用因素分析法,研究房地产主要交易对象及洗钱手段,以房地产洗钱行为和房地产反洗钱网络拓扑图为基础,构建房地产可疑资金转移监测模型,并进一步提出房地产反洗钱相关建议对策.     

Economic and Accounting (Book) Rates of Return: Application of a Statistical Model

Harcourt's (1965) classic paper has spawned a considerable literature dealing with the relationship between economic and accounting rates of return. Kay (1976), Ijiri (1979), Salamon (1982) and Kelly and Tippett (1991), for example, can be interpreted as extensions of Harcourt's seminal analysis, while Kay (1976), Salamon (1982, 1985) and Gordon and Hamer (1988) provide empirical evidence on the sustainability of basic propositions. The present paper's focus is on the latter area; we apply the statistical procedures laid down in Kelly and Tippett (1991) to about 200 British companies to assess the correspondence between the ex post accounting rate of return and the prospective economic return. The economic return is estimated using three cash flow definitions. For all three, the accounting rate of return is significantly lower than the economic return. Further tests show the economic return to be inversely related to the accounting rate of return, although the relationship is weak. In addition, ‘large’ firms tend to report lower accounting rates of return than ‘small’ firms, but again the relationship is weak.     

基于分组固定效应模型的中国上市公司股利政策研究

基于1257家主板上市公司2004—2014年的数据,运用分组固定效应模型,考量中国上市公司的股利政策。结果表明：相比其他估计技术,分组固定效应模型的研究结果更为准确。中国上市公司在股利分配政策上具有长远规划,股利政策存在异质性且缺乏稳定性,股利平均支付比率处于较低水平。     

Dispersion of Financial Analysts' Earnings Forecasts and the (Option Model) Implied Standard Deviations of Stock Returns

This study examines whether the information implied by simultaneous levels of option and stock prices (specifically, the implied standard deviation of returns) reflects other contemporaneously available information. The independent contemporaneous measure considered is the observed dispersion (across several financial analysts), at a point in time, in the forecasts of earnings per share for a given firm. The results indicate that implied standard deviations clearly reflect the contemporaneous dispersion in analysts' forecasts incrementally, i.e., beyond the information contained in the historical time series of returns.     

An IFRS 2 and FASB 123 (R) Compatible Model for the Valuation of Employee Stock Options

In this paper, we show how employee stock options can be valued under the new reporting standards IFRS 2 and FASB 123 (revised) for share-based payments. Both standards require companies to expense employee stock options at fair value. We propose a new valuation model, referred to as Enhanced American model, that complies with the new standards and produces fair values often lower than those generated by traditional models such as the Black–Scholes model or the adjusted Black–Scholes model. We also provide a sensitivity analysis of model input parameters and analyze the impact of the parameters on the fair value of the option. The valuation of employee stock options requires an accurate estimation of the exercise behavior. We show how the exercise behavior can be modeled in a binomial tree and demonstrate the relevance of the input parameters in the calibration of the model to an estimated expected life of the option. JEL Classification G13, G30     

Determinacy under Inflation Targeting Interest Rate Policy in a Sticky Price Model with Investment (and Labor Bargaining)

In a sticky price model with investment spending, recent research shows that inflation-forecast targeting interest rate policy makes determinacy of equilibrium essentially impossible. We examine a necessary and sufficient condition for determinacy under interest rate policy that responds to a weighted average of an inflation forecast and current inflation. This condition demonstrates that the average-inflation targeting policy ensures determinacy as long as both the response to average inflation and the relative weight of current inflation are large enough. We also find that interest rate policy that responds solely to past inflation guarantees determinacy when its response satisfies the Taylor principle and is not large. These results still hold even when wages and hours worked are determined by Nash bargaining.