THE EFFECT OF BOND RATING AGENCIES ON BOND RATING MODELS

This paper addresses the problem of bond rating discrepancies and their effect on bond rating prediction models. Both Moody's and Standard & Poor's now use modified ratings. Results of this study indicate that the two agencies disagree 58 percent of the time and that Moody's rates bonds significantly lower than S & P. In addition, the classification rates of the multiple discriminant analysis models decrease approximately 24 percentage points when the modified ratings are used.     

THE DYNAMICS OF BOND YIELD SPREADS AROUND RATING REVISION DATES

We examine the effect of rating revisions on sterling Eurobond yields using a panel model with conditional heteroskedasticity that controls for event‐induced changes in the variance of spreads. Positive rating revisions are fully anticipated by the time the upgrade occurs. Negative revisions are only partially anticipated, and spreads on downgraded bonds rise for some time after the downgrade has been announced. This asymmetry is not apparent in a conventional event study model. All ratings announcements are accompanied by a temporary fall in yield volatility. We attribute this to the resolution of uncertainty about the true rating of the bond.     

THE ANALYTICS OF TAX EFFECTS IN DISCOUNT BOND VALUATION

This paper discusses the analytics of tax effects in discount bond valuation. The author illustrates that bond value is a simple linear function of the tax rate on interest income, whereas bond value is concave to the capital gains tax rate. The author also analyzes how changes in tax rates interact with yield changes to affect bond valuation and how tax rates interact with maturity to determine the depth of bond discount.     

THE IMPACT OF BOND RATING CHANGES ON COMMON STOCKS AND BONDS: TESTS OF THE WEALTH REDISTRIBUTION HYPOTHESIS

Past studies on the impact of bond rating changes have focused on bonds or stocks and the information content of rating change announcements. This paper examines both bonds and stocks and investigates the wealth redistribution effect as well as the existence of information content. The results imply that information content of “bad’ news dominates firm downgradings, while the wealth redistribution effect dominates firm upgradings. Furthermore, this study attributes the lack of information content for bond upgradings to the offsetting effects of wealth redistribution and information content.     

THE DIFFERENTIAL EFFECTS OF SINKING FUNDS ON BOND RISK PREMIA

This study analyzes the effect that two options created by the inclusion of a sinking fund clause in a bond indenture have on the bond issue's secondary market risk premium. The impact of market prices that exceed current sinking fund redemption prices, and of par versus premium redemption, is clearly apparent when a set of issue-specific and macroeconomic control variables are incorporated into a model of bond risk premia. Thus, secondary market prices for the large-volume utility bond transactions in the sample reflect knowledge of individual-issue, time-varying indenture characteristics.