全球新兴市场黄金期货的崛起:现状、挑战与发展

随着黄金消费和投资需求近年来持续强劲,全球各主要新兴市场经济体陆续推出了黄金期货品种,其在全球黄金市场中的地位和重要性日益突出。在取得长足进步的同时,新兴市场黄金期货的发展依然面临诸多挑战,本文对此进行了研究分析,并提出了全球新兴市场黄金期货进一步发展的相关建议。     

The siren call of probability: Dangers associated with using probability for consideration of the future

Many tools for thinking about the future employ probability. For example, Delphi studies often ask expert participants to assign probabilities to particular future outcomes. Similarly, while some scenario planners reject probability, others insist that assigning probabilities to scenarios is required to make them meaningful. Formal modelling and forecasting methods often also employ probability in one way or another. The paper questions this widespread use of probability as a device for considering the future, firstly showing that objective probability, based on empirically-observed frequencies, has some well-known drawbacks when used for this purpose. However, what is less-widely acknowledged is that this is also true of the subjective probability used in, for example, Delphi. Subjective probability is less distinct from objective probability than proponents of its use might imply, meaning it therefore suffers from similar problems. The paper draws on the foundations of probability theory as set out by Kolmogorov, as-well-as the work of Keynes, Shackle, Aumann, Tversky and Kahneman, and others, to reassert the essential distinction between risk and uncertainty, and to warn about the dangers of inappropriate use of probability for considering the future. The paper sets out some criteria for appropriate use.     

美国CFTC对期货交易的信息监管及其启示

美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)建立了完整的期货信息监管体系.该体系包括期货交易信息的报告与披露体系、监测体系以及交流与合作机制.信息监管模式的构筑已成为CFTC维护期货市场公平和提高市场效率的基本保障.与美国监管模式相比,我国期货交易的信息监管体制存在诸多不足.本研究以美国模式为参考,提出了我国期货交易信息监管体系的若干改进方向.     

中国期货市场信息吞吐功能分析

期货市场具有发现价格和规避风险的基本经济功能,同时还具有信息吞吐功能.本文探讨了期货市场信息吞吐的基本内涵和本质特征,阐述了期货市场信息吞吐的基本原理,揭示了期货市场信息吞吐对社会经济文化发展的作用,指出了发挥期货市场信息吞吐功能的路径.     

碳排放权期货市场流动性特征分析及启示

碳排放权期货品种已成为世界期货市场研究和发展的重要战略品种。根据碳排放权期货市场的发展现状,本文选取欧洲气候交易所的交易品种作为研究对象,分阶段、分品种对其交易品种的流动性特征进行了分析。通过总结碳排放权市场流动性特征变化,得出碳排放权期货市场的发展经验,为今后我国碳排放权期货市场的建立奠定基础。     

世界黄金期货市场、工具与法规政策环境的比较分析

本文比较了世界主要黄金期货市场、投资工具与各国黄金市场法规政策环境,分析了不同的市场条件、法规政策环境对本国黄金期货市场发展产生的影响,探讨了成为国际性黄金期货市场应具备的基本要素:现货市场发展程度、市场规模、现货商影响力对黄金衍生工具的发展产生重要影响;外汇管制政策和进出口政策对确定本国黄金期货市场是国际性市场还是区域性市场起到关键性作用;黄金市场流通、增值税、监管政策对确定本国各类黄金市场交易的活跃度产生关键性作用。     

期货交易活跃度、波动性与投资者结构关系的实证研究

本文将期货市场上的投资者分为个人与机构两类,基于白糖、优质强筋小麦和PTA三个期货品种的样本数据,探讨了交易结构和持仓结构对期货交易活跃度和期货价格波动性的影响规律。研究结果表明:期货交易活跃度主要受交易结构的影响,而期货价格波动大小主要受持仓结构的影响;根据最优的弹性二次模型结果,两者的弹性均呈现出边际递减的经济学变化规律。     

Using futures contracts for corporate hedging: The problem of expiry and a possible solution

Companies using futures contracts for hedging purposes need to roll over their contracts if the maturity of their exposure exceeds that of the futures contracts. This entails basis risk that can reduce significantly the effectiveness of the hedge. In this paper an alternative form of futures contract is proposed. the contract never expires and can be used for long-term hedging without the need for rolling-over into a new contract. the contract is shown to be equivalent to a portfolio of conventional futures contracts of differing maturities. Its price is determined by arbitrage against the underlying asset.     

股指期货的风险配置、传导与控制

本文通过探讨股指期货运用减震机制、平衡机制与分摊机制来实现对于整个股票市场的风险配置功能,进而使用股指期货等金融衍生工具以及通过相应的风险传导机制来转移和化解风险,提高整个市场的风险配置效率,优化风险配置结构,同时运用 GARCH 模型验证了信息传导的速度和质量,说明风险传导机制的根本原理,建立股指期货投资者情绪指数,对投资者情绪因素进行有效的量化,并最终采用 TRM 理论及模型对其进行风险控制,从而说明股指期货对于促进股票市场持续、健康、平稳发展,有着重要的现实意义.     

The effect of stock market pressure on the tradeoff between corporate and shareholders’ tax benefits

The Taiwanese government offers firms that invest in qualified projects in emerging high-tech industries two mutually exclusive tax incentives—a corporate 5-yea...     

我国农产品期货市场发展现状、问题及对策

近年来,我国农产品期货市场日益规范,交易规模扩大,交易品种增加,但仍然存在交易品种少、体系不完善、法律法规不健全、投资主体结构不合理、合作组织及中介机构发展落后等问题。为推动我国农产品期货市场健康发展,必须不断开发新上市品种,进一步优化市场结构;加强农产品期货市场秩序整顿,加快立法,完善监管;加强对农户的教育和培训,塑造成熟的投资主体;通过建立农户自组型期货合作社、企农联合型期货合作社和信农互动型期货合作社等期货合作模式,帮助农户利用农产品期货市场增加收益。     

The intoxicating brew of black liquor and son of black liquor: Deciphering the tax planning,research, policy and financial statement implications of tax credits via financial reporting income tax disclosures

In 2007, a change in the law regarding the alternative fuel mixture credit opened the door for paper mills to qualify a byproduct of paper manufacturing, black liquor, as a fuel eligible for the credit. The credit is a refundable credit of $0.50 per gallon. Paper mills can produce hundreds of millions of gallons of black liquor per year and qualified for the credit in 2009. In addition, in 2010 the IRS determined that these firms qualified for the cellulosic biofuels producer credit. Paper mill companies could amend their 2009 tax returns and swap their alternative fuel mixture credits for cellulosic biofuels producer credits worth $1.01 per gallon. The catch was that the alternative fuels mixture credit was refundable; the cellulosic biofuels producer credit was nonrefundable.     

The compliance cost of taxing foreign-source income: Its magnitude,determinants, and policy implications

This paper uses survey evidence to estimate the compliance cost of the U.S. system of taxing foreign-source income. The evidence suggests that this cost is about 40 percent of the total tax-compliance cost of large U.S. corporations, which is disproportionately higher than the aggregate share of assets, sales, and employment that is abroad. It is also very high compared to the revenue raised by the United States from taxing foreign-source income, although this comparison must be qualified because arguably a principal purpose of this system is to protect U.S. revenues collected on domestic-source income. The disproportionate compliance cost of foreign-source income is not apparent in a survey of European-based multinational corporations.     

The Development of a Conceptual Framework for the Design,Delivery, and Assessment of a Typical Management Accounting Syllabus

This article identifies common issues relating to management accounting education in order to determine whether using a competency‐based approach would assist educators in the design, delivery, and assessment of syllabi at educational institutions. A conceptual framework is developed and discussed with regard to the critical success factors methodology to design syllabi that assist educators in attaining the main outcomes in the delivery and assessment of the curriculum. This framework is applied to a typical management accounting curriculum to demonstrate how this approach will enable educators to design, deliver, and assess their syllabi in line with the critical outcomes required. In following this approach, lecturers would constantly have to focus on the knowledge and issues that are relevant and critical for students to understand and apply in order to achieve the aim of the syllabi.     

The spirit of capitalism, asset pricing and growth in a small open economy

Conventional models of economic behavior have failed to account for a number of observed empirical regularities in macroeconomics and international economics. This may be due to preference specifications in conventional models. In this paper, we consider preferences with the “spirit of capitalism” (the desire to accumulate wealth as a way of acquiring status). We analyze a number of potential effects of international catching-up and the spirit of capitalism on savings, growth, portfolio allocation and asset pricing. Moreover, we obtain a multi-factor Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM). Our results show that status concerns have non-trivial effects on savings, growth, portfolio allocation, asset prices and the foreign exchange risk premium.     

The development,implementation and operation of an undergraduate distance learning module in auditing: a teaching note

The development of a distance learning module, to be undertaken by students whilst out on work experience in a thick sandwich degree programme, was driven by the motive to maximize the students' time on placement, rather than the belief that the module could be more effectively taught in this manner. However, with many institutions offering work placement as an optional extension within a degree programme, our experiences may pave the way for introducing some academic input into the work placement. This paper outlines the development and operation of an auditing distance learning module, which is undertaken by students during their placement year in an Accounting and Finance degree in Scotland. The pitfalls of distance learning have been well documented and the profile of the cohort which would undertake the course exacerbated concerns. However, the Course Team have produced a model that has been implemented and is currently operating in a manner that has largely satisfied all respective stakeholders, (namely students, educators, employers, professional bodies, and external examiners). The data for the review was generated through informal discussions with the Course Team and a selection of employers. Focus groups with students were also conducted. These were deliberately unstructured in nature to facilitate the use of dialogue with which the participants were familiar. The rationale for this was to allow participants to identify and highlight salient issues as perceived by them, rather than to answer specific questions on topics that the authors believed to be of relevance.     

Authoritarian state,global expansion and corporate social responsibility reporting: The narrative of a Chinese state-owned enterprise

This case study examines why stand-alone Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) reporting has been initiated in a Chinese state-owned enterprise (SOE). Chinese SOEs have been pioneering CSR reporting since the mid–2000?s and extant literature interprets its development as no more than a consequence of government interventions. However, there is a dearth of qualitative evidence illuminating the subtle interrelationships between the global, national and internal organisational dynamics mediating CSR reporting initiative of Chinese SOEs within the authoritarian state. To fill this gap, we provide a nuanced multi-level institutional analysis of the drivers underlying the initiation of CSR reporting within the case examined.     

Tools, Techniques and Tightropes: The Art of Walking and Talking Private Sector Management in Non–profit Organisations, is it Just a Question of Balance?

The focus of this paper, first presented at a European Institute for Advanced Studies in Management workshop on challenges of managing in the third sector, is the experiences of small to medium non–profit organisations and their relationship with management tools and techniques. It seeks to raise debate around implications for the creative use of private sector management tools and to contribute to understanding of non–profit management practice. While lessons may be learned from business techniques and processes, the paper contends that execution of business enhancing tools needs to be considered in contexts relevant to the sector's interests and primary aims.