The Information Contents of Aggregated Money Demand in the EMU

Estimates of aggregated and disaggregated demand-for-money functions in 7 EMU member states show that the aggregated function slightly outperforms the disaggregated functions in explaining the European demand for M3. The aggregated function appears to contain some additional information on money demand in The Netherlands and, to a lesser extent, in France. For the other countries investigated in this study information on aggregated European money demand does not add much to the explanation of demand for money in the individual countries.     

证券市场和货币需求:一个新货币需求函数的探讨

本文首先从理论上推导出一种具有清晰的微观基础,考虑证券市场因素以及有机综合交易、安全和投机等三种动机的新货币需求函数,并分析了四个外生变量的效应和作用机制。在对中国问题的研究中,我们认为证券市场的发展使仍被广泛采用的货币数量论的缺陷日益暴露,我国一些学者已经开始重视对于考虑证券市场因素的货币需求函数的研究,也取得了重要的成果,但是在研究的方法论上仍然存在一定的不足。本文设计的新货币需求函数在方法论上有一定的创新。最后,运用我国1995年1季度到2001年4季度的数据对该货币需求函数进行了实证研究,发现实证结果与理论预测具有很高的吻合程度,该货币需求函数能够很好地反映我国的货币需求规律。因此,我们希望本文设计的货币需求函数能够对我国宏观经济体现出应有的理论及政策意义。     

The Demand for Money in Brunei

Based on data for the 1974–95 period this paper estimates demand for narrow money and broad money in Brunei using the error-correction specification. Short-run and long-run elasticities are estimated with respect to real income, interest rate, expected price level and liquidity. Narrow money is quite responsive to changes in real income and interest rate in both the short and long terms. Broad money is income inelastic regardless of the time horizon, however, it is interest inelastic in the short run but interest elastic in the long run. Price elasticity of money demand is negligible in the short run but quite significant in the long run. Changes in the proportion of commercial bank assets placed in foreign money markets do not seem to affect demand for narrow money but their effect on the demand for broad money is both direct and significant.     

The Demand For Money: A Structural Econometric Investigation

This study empirically investigates dynamic microfoundations for the conventional static money demand equation. An intertemporal substitution model with the addilog utility function yields a money demand relationship that closely approximates the double log specification. Results from previous empirical studies largely support the derived equation. Estimations with quarterly U.S. data support cointegration among real per capita M1 and consumption, and an after-tax long-term interest rate for the post-1980 period. Estimated short-run intertemporal interest rate elasticities of consumption vary from -0.26 to -0.93. Estimated long-run elasticities of substitution between consumption and money range from -0.26 to -0.41.     

我国货币需求函数的经验分析

本文使用局部调整模型对我国货币需求函数进行了分析,提出在货币需求函数的分析中,应关注市场化利率,以便对持币成本做出合理的解释。     

The Stability of European Money Demand: An Investigation of M3H

The paper assesses the stability and predictive performance of a European money demand function as compared to national money demand functions. With respect to the explanatory accuracy, the national functions perform better than the aggregated function. Examination of the residuals of the national money demand equations indicates that currency substitution is not the major cause for the stability of the aggregated money demand function. The aggregate relation mainly seems to reflect German money demand. This conclusion is supported by the instability of aggregated money demand resulting from the exclusion of Germany from the aggregate.     

Money Demand in Singapore Revisited: A Comment with Implications

This comment reviews the meaning and significance of the econometric results relating to money demand in Singapore in a paper by Daquila and Phua (1993). I argue that there are a number of confusions and faults in their analysis that could account for their results being incompatible with earlier studies and with monetary events in Singapore. An explanation of their perplexing findings is offered, simple re-estimates are made to justify this point and then some implications for economic methodology and research are offered.     

Cash Management, Payment Patterns and the Demand for Money

We analyse cash management and payments behaviour using 1990–1994 panel data for Dutch households. The results largely confirm the transactions demand for money theory, including an income elasticity of substantially less than one, and they are consistent with the hypothesis of technology resulting in households' economizing on currency balances. The results indicate up to 40 per cent lower transactions balances in the future, which is affirmed by direct questioning on future expectations. The effect on total money outstanding is considerably lower, due to significant amounts of missing money in hoards, which are insensitive to new developments in the payments system.     

Dependence and Stability of the Demand for Money in a Small open Economy: The Case of Côte-d'Ivoire

Abstract: This paper investigates the effects of foreign variables on the demand for money in Côte-d'Ivoire during 1970. I-1986. IV. In the model specification, we consider that Côte-d'Ivoire is a member of the Franc zone. Within the zone, the CFA Franc is pegged to the French Franc, but outside the zone or with the generalized floating system, the CFA Franc espouses the form taken by the French Franc against other major currencies. The model satisfactorily explains behavioral relationships under these two regimes. Domestic determinants of the demand for real cash balances are the real GDP, the expected rate of inflation, the degree of credit restraint, and expectations of economic instability. International influences are captured by foreign interest and exchange rates. Stability and causality tests indicate that the money demand relation has been stable over time and is highly influenced by foreign interest rates. Résumé: Le présent document étudie les incidences des variables extérieures sur la demande de monnaie en Côte-d'Ivoire de 1970. I à 1986.IV. Dans la spécification du modéle, nous considérons que la COcte-d'Ivoire est membre de la Zone Franc, mais hors de la Zone ou avec le systéme flottant généralisé, le Franc CFA adopte les formes proses par le Franc Francais par rapport aux devise fortes. Le modéle explique de manié satisfaisante les rapprots aux devises fortes. Le modéle explique de manié satisfaisante les rapprots de comportement sous ces deux régimes. Les facteurs déterminants sur la demande de bilans de trésorerie réelle sont le PIB réel, le taus d'inflation prévisionnel, le degré de pénurie de crédit, les menaces d'instabilitééconomique. Les influences internationales sont représentées par les intéréts étrangers et les taux de change. Les tests de stabilité et der cause à effect indiquent que le rapport de la demande de monnaie a éaté stable au fil du temps et est fortement influencé par les taus d'intérét étrangers.     

Macroeconomic Policy Interaction under EMU: A Dynamic Game Approach

In this article, we study macroeconomic stabilization in the Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) using a dynamic game approach. With the aid of a stylized macroeconomic model, this article analyzes the transmission and interaction of national fiscal policies and monetary policy of the European Central Bank (ECB) in the EMU. A special focus is on the effects of labor market institutions in the participating countries and of the introduction of fiscal stringency criteria like those imposed in the Stability and Growth Pact.     

Asymmetric Information and Demand for Money in an Overlapping Generations Economy

This paper studies a pure exchange overlapping generations economy in which agents have asymmetric information pertaining to their income realizations. Such an information asymmetry introduces a role for fiat money that would otherwise be absent. This information asymmetry can also drastically alter the equilibrium properties of the analogous model with perfect information. In general, the more severe the information asymmetry, the greater the demand for fiat money.     

中国货币需求的协整分析和结构VECM估计

本文对Johansen协整分析在实际应用中的一些常见问题进行简要探讨,并在此基础上对中国的货币需求关系进行了深入研究。结果表明:真实货币余额、产出、通货膨胀率和利率之间存在两个长期均衡关系,即货币需求关系和菲利普斯曲线模型;结构向量误差修正模型(VECM)中调整系数反映了各变量对非均衡误差的直接动态反应,而产出和通货膨胀率以较快速度向后一均衡关系的调整说明中国的宏观经济政策在促进经济增长和控制通货膨胀两个方面都发挥了重要作用;两种均衡关系对通货膨胀都有明显的直接抑制效应,且前一均衡关系还会通过抑制货币需求来间接实现价格稳定。