现代银行业信贷资产组合策略研究

信贷资产业务的开拓与创新,就是由信贷资产单一化逐步走向信贷资产组合。信贷资产组合的关键点就在于信贷资产组合策略及其有效性。目前,国际银行业若干重要的信贷资产组合策略如信贷产品线组合、信贷资产证券化、信贷互换对冲以及信贷矩阵等可以供我国商业银行进行信贷业务创新时作为参考。     

我国商业银行个人信贷业务发展思考

近年来，随着我国城乡居民的财富增长，个人信贷市场的需求日益旺盛，推动商业银行个人信贷业务快速发展，个人信贷已成为我国商业银行业务战略转型．信贷结构调整和新的经济效益增长点。本文试就我国商业银行个人信贷业务的发展情况，结合国内外银行的一些做法和我们的实践，对我国商业银行个人信贷业务发展作些思考和探索。[编者按]     

个人信贷营销管理模式研究

目前,个人信贷业务已成为商业银行新的效益增长点,它的发展对改进商业银行的资产结构、优化盈利结构以及提升商业银行整体营销能力具有十分重要的战略意义。本文试图通过回顾境内外商业银行以及工商银行个人贷款发展历程,深入剖析个人信贷业务特点,探索业务经营规律,梳理业务风险管理要素,全面分析比较国内四大商业银行个人信贷营销管理体制,探索建立符合现代商业银行业务发展实际的个人信贷营销管理模式。     

商业银行开展中小企业信贷业务问题研究

中小企业在国民经济发展中的作用已越来越引起政府和社会各界的重视,对商业银行来说,发展中小企业信贷业务不仅有利于中小企业融资问题的解决,也有利于商业银行自身可持续发展。商业银行开展中小企业信贷业务应加快业务发展战略转型;对中小企业业务实行利润中心考核;建立风险与收益相平衡的风险管理体系;再造中小企业信贷流程;创新信贷产品;完善中小企业营销体系。     

中小企业信贷对商业银行信贷资产配置的影响研究

金融脱媒趋势下,商业银行信贷资产中中小企业信贷的比重将逐步增大。中小企业信贷具有多种特点,将对商业银行信贷资产组合产生多种影响。关于这种影响,有信贷业务的专业化和多样化两种理论解释。同时,对我国商业银行中小企业信贷的实证分析表明,中小企业信贷将使商业银行信贷资产的行业分布更加分散。     

信用衍生品与银行信用管理

一、从“信贷悖论”谈起 商业银行无论是单一贷款的风险管理还是信贷组合管理都无法消除银行信贷业务蕴含的巨大风险。商业银行信贷业务的开展是依靠大量具有专业知识的信贷分析人员，他们通常在某一行业、某类客户或者在某一地区积累了丰富专业信贷经验，被称为商业银行信贷专家制度。信贷专家的经验越丰富，银行授予其权限越大，越能影响银行的信贷决策。一般认为，在信贷专家制度下，商业银行信贷管理的过程中存在着对其熟悉的行业、熟悉的客户有着强烈的偏好．信贷业务之间具有较高的相关性。     

浅析我国商业银行个人住房信贷风险

近年来居民住房需求的快速增长带动了商业银行个人住房贷款业务的迅速发展,个人住房信贷业务已是国内商业银行利润新的增长点。但是,信息不对称,商业银行内部管理不完善等原因,使得住房信贷的风险日益显现。本文力求探寻个人住房贷款风险的形成原因,使商业银行能从根源避免个人住房信贷业务风险的产生。     

浅析我国商业银行个人住房信贷风险

近年来居民住房需求的快速增长带动了商业银行个人住房贷款业务的迅速发展,个人住房信贷业务已是国内商业银行利润新的增长点。但是,信息不对称,商业银行内部管理不完善等原因,使得住房信贷的风险日益显现。本文力求探寻个人住房贷款风险的形成原因,使商业银行能从根源避免个人住房信贷业务风险的产生。     

IPC微贷技术在商业银行小微信贷中的应用分析

信贷业务一直是商业银行的主要业务。但是商业银行并不喜欢小额贷款业务。随着近几年随着国家对中小企业的发挥在那的重视,商业银行对小微信待业务也越来越重视。同时合适的小微信贷技术也得到了大展拳脚的良机。本文通过IPC微贷技术在小微信贷中的应用分析,分析IPC技术在应用取得的利弊。     

商业银行网络信贷模式与发展路径研究

本文在"信息不对称"与"交易成本"的分析框架下,探索信贷业务创新的内在逻辑,分析互联网技术的发展对于传统信贷业务的影响、网络信贷未来业务模式与发展路径的演变以及商业银行的应对措施。互联网技术通过共享企业历史信息和信用记录等方式,在均衡状态下使商业银行承担的坏账损失减少,同时绩差企业将逐步放弃作假骗贷行为,使得信贷市场整体效率得到提升。商业银行在发展网络信贷业务中,要正确评估自己与互联网金融公司间的差异,善于运用互联网思维来推进信贷业务模式创新,及时对管理体制和经营机制做出适应性调整等。     

Almanac of anticipations: The age of affluence—of anticipation—of anxiety—of automation—of discontinuity—of longing—of overkill—of space exploration

With this survey of developments in the futures field since 1945, I.F. Clarke completes his present series for Futures. He makes two major points: that forecasting techniques have become essential tools in the management of change; and that nuclear weapons and ecological problems have added a moral dimension to the study of the future. In the next issue of Futures he will start a new series on the range of future-thinking in the USA, from the expectations of the first settlers to the Star Wars programme.     

基金公司经营融资融券业务的问题审视

融资融券业务正式运营已经开展,为证券市场带来了革命性的改革,作为证券市场的一大主体,基金公司面对融资融券也迎来了新的发展方向和挑战,本文从融资融券业务的运行机制入手,分析了基金公司融资融券的新契机,并对其即将面临的问题进行审视和剖析,进而提出策略建议.     

对基层人民银行科技工作的几点建议

银监会分设后,人民银行将专司货币政策、金融稳定、金融服务三大职能。作为人民银行的分支机构,基层人民银行的工作重心也将从金融监管调整到这三大职能上来。人民银行的科技部门,就要积极运用科技手段,为人民银行履行新的职能发挥“服务、支持、促进、发展”的作用。一、围绕三大职能搭建五大平台经过“六五打基础、七五作准备、八五大发展”几个阶段后,人民银行相继实现了核算电算化、清算网络化和办公信息化。特别是近一两年来,陆续开通了大额支付系统、信贷登记咨询系统、会计四集中系统、金融信息服务网站等系统,人民银行信息化水平又…     

The Usefulness of Measures of Consistency of Discretionary Components of Accruals in the Detection of Earnings Management

Abstract:  Prior research has shown the prevalence of measurement error in models used to estimate aggregate discretionary accruals. In these models, the incremental information content of the various components of accruals is ignored. Limited prior research and data gathered from firms under Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) litigation indicate that managers use either one or more than one component of accruals simultaneously, in a consistent way to manipulate bottom-line earnings in a given direction. I propose two measures that capture the consistency between the discretionary components of accruals and test their significance in earnings management (EM) detection in firms that have artificially added accrual manipulation and firms that were targeted by the SEC for accrual manipulation. There is evidence that this information is incrementally useful in detecting EM. This finding paves the way for improvements in the discretionary accruals measure by including consistency information from the components of aggregate accruals.     

Summary of Results of Survey of Seminar Attendees

Abstract

The Society of Actuaries undertook a three-phase research project on mortality improvement in the three NAFTA countries: Canada, Mexico, and the U.S. Phase 1 consisted of a literature review of papers on projecting mortality levels in the future and a study of the trend in mortality improvement during this century. Phase 2 consisted of a discussion of different facets of modeling mortality rates at a seminar attended by 79 experts (actuaries, demographers, economists, and medical researchers) representing different countries. The last session of the seminar consisted of the completion of a survey by the attendees to obtain input for Phase 3, which would analyze the impact of mortality improvement on the social security system of each country. This paper summarizes the results of the survey.

The survey results illustrate the difficulty in forecasting mortality levels, because the effects of many factors that could have significant impact on mortality rates are unknown. This suggests the need for dynamic forecasting, which allows for the possibility of random shocks. A majority of the survey respondents believe that stochastic forecasting models, despite their complexity, have significant potential to add value. Respondents also believe that both historical data and cause-specific mortality forecasts are useful as input and also in validating forecasts of the aggregate levels of mortality. The challenge is to develop more sophisticated forecasting models to produce results that are relatively easy to interpret and to communicate these results to the desired audiences, including the public and policymakers.

The survey results suggest that the aggregate effect of lifestyle changes, medical advances, diseases, catastrophe, and physical environmental changes is an increase in life span. However, there is much uncertainty about the future. Respondents expect that beyond the year 2020 the mean annual rate of reduction in mortality for males age 65 and over will average about 0.58% for Canada, 0.76% for Mexico, and 0.67% for the U.S. The results for the female age 65 and over population are 0.64%, 0.83%, and 0.70%, respectively. The age 65 and over population is expected to see larger percentage reductions in mortality than the 0–14 and 15–64 populations. The reductions in male and female mortality will be ultimately the same, and the mortality levels in the three countries will ultimately converge, although differences may persist for decades.     

社会主义所有制形式的改革、完善与共产党执政能力的提高

在中国,所有制形式的调整、改革与完善,先进生产力的发展,党的执政能力建设,是社会主义建设过程中密切结合在一起的三个不同层面的发展关系.应在相互促进和共同提高中促进社会的和谐发展,保证社会主义现代化建设战略目标的顺利实现.     

银行软件项目外包管理分析

一、引言随着国民经济的不断发展,银行业务与外部企业的联系越来越密切。银行正逐步成为现代经济活动的中心,作为数据处理核心的银行业务应用也越来越大型化、越来越复杂化,因此许多银行也把软件项目逐步由原来的自主开发转变为与公司合作的方式,或直接外包开发的方式,银行本身的技术人员也逐步由开发转向项目管理。二、项目外包的分类银行项目的外包有以下几种情况:①部分子系统外包,有时由于银行的软件项目太大,单靠银行自身的开发力量基本无法在预定的时间内完成项目,只好把相对独立的部分外包;②直接购买软件公司的成熟产品,有些金融软…     

银行管理信息平台建设发展的思考

一、目前国内银行IT发展现状及面临的问题 银行数据集中工作的完成,标志着银行的业务由电子化建设阶段转入信息化建设阶段.一方面银行数据的集中提供了丰富全面的基础数据,面对日益庞大的数据源,如何将数字转化为对银行有用的信息,并从中发现知识,为银行的经营决策提供支持,是摆在银行IT人员面前的一个亟待解决的问题.另一方面用户对银行信息的需求日益增长,如果银行没有一套完整、实用的信息管理系统,将对业务发展非常不利.南京爱立信公司倒戈花旗银行事件曾经轰动一时,其中一个重要原因就是中国本地银行不能满足爱立信全球总部对南京爱立信公司的要求:每周财务上报和每天贷款限额管理.这一事件为中国商业银行的未来发展敲响了警钟,如果不加快管理信息系统的开发,迅速提升业务管理水平,类似的事件还会接连不断地发生,并最终导致国内商业银行在同国外商业银行的竞争中全面溃败.     

Separation of Unit of Account from Medium of Exchange

The separation of a unit of account (UoA) from a medium of exchange (MoE) in the commodity–money system is investigated by considering explicitly a seller's choice of UoA in terms of either an MoE or a unit of metal weight. If the likelihood of debasement of an MoE and its rate are high enough, the price is posted in terms of a unit of metal weight rather than an MoE. Interestingly, this MoE–UoA separated equilibrium yields the flexible nominal price, whereas an MoE–UoA integrated equilibrium yields the sticky one. This implies the nominal price rigidity in the fiat‐money system where MoE and UoA are integrated.     

金融企业员工考核系统的设计

一、概述 为配合公司人事考核制度的贯彻执行,保证该制度执行过程中各项工作能够长期、高效、准确地完成,我们开发了公司员工考核系统,实现了人事考核工作中员工投票、考核统计、考核信息分析、报表生成等功能,减少了人事部门人员的手工操作,提高了考核工作的自动化程度.