试谈靠经济有效增长消除财政赤字

试谈靠经济有效增长消除财政赤字邓小军财政赤字是入不敷出的代名词，赤字就意味着要借钱过日子。但是《预算法》已明文规定：地方各级预算按照量入为出、收支平衡的原则编制，不列赤字。除法律和国务院另有规定外，地方政府不得发行地方政府债券。特别是近年来上级财政已...     

财政赤字换适度增长？

如此高的财政赤字引出了该与不该的争议。中国经济能够承受如此高位的风险压力吗？会不会对以后的经济增长带来隐患？     

震后日本/见闻录

4月16日到23日,我们受笹川日中友好基金邀请,赴日本地震灾区实地考察。邀请方代表胡一平女士,希望我们能如实描述灾区现状,我们都觉得这是一个难得的机会,可以近距离看看在灾难面前,日本人做了什么。我们和邀请方说好,首先,要按我们的要求去我们想去的地方;其次,我们会如实报道我们看到的所有情况。,邀请方觉得这根本不是一个问题,看来这种顾虑有点、多余。     

财政赤字的政治经济学理论评述

当今世界各国中普遍存在着财政赤字。财政赤字的政治经济学理论从政治和制度的角度分析了赤字形成的原因。本文对该理论作了系统性的评述,并指出了今后进一步的研究方向。一、导论在现代经济体中,财政赤字的存在是普遍现象。而最早从理论上对财政赤     

日本大地震对中国进口日本汽车零部件的影响分析

作为中国汽车零部件最大的进口国,日本大地震对中国汽车产业的影响最为显著。本文采用自组织数据挖掘的GMDH模型方法,建立日本地震对中国进口日本汽车零部件影响的GMDH模型。结果表明,日本大地震后中国进口日本汽车零部件数量经历了一个涨——跌——跌——起——正常的过程,大地震对后续三个月中国日系汽车零部件市场有非常严重的显著影响。     

经济转轨、财政分权与预算软约束

我国正处于经济转轨时期,预算软约束问题普遍存在。财政分权在通过地区竞争逐步缓解国有企业预算软约束问题的同时,却使政府预算软约束愈演愈烈。解决的办法在于规范财政分权。     

The Effect of Tax as an Instrument of Fiscal Policy in Kosovo

This paper analyzes and discusses the tax system applied in Kosovo during the period from 1999 until now. It demonstrates the effects of tax policies on the country＇s economic growth and development of businesses in general. This paper also addresses the impact of those policies in maintaining the social equilibrium of a population and economic stability of the country. Applied tax policies in Kosovo have been aimed more at maintaining a stable fiscal and budgetary policy. Based on the analysis of real cases of Kosovo tax laws and their impact on particular businesses, this paper will demonstrate how tax policies applied in Kosovo have given less attention to the need of economic development, which should have been reflected through promoting the development of domestic production, reduction of unemployment, and reduction of the high trade deficit. Empirical evidence from this analysis is discussed, conclusions are derived, and the recommendations of this paper are provided.     

我国区域经济发展现状与财政政策对策

自从改革开放以来,国内的经济快速发展,但是我国东西部的区域经济发展出现较大的不平衡。主要体现在东部发展较快,但是中西部由于受地理位置的约束,造成经济发展迟缓。东部和西部的人均GDP和居民收入存在显著的差异,因此,国家需要出台一系列的区域发展政策来实现宏观调控,通过运用财政政策,促进区域经济的可持续协调发展。     

海南省财政支出结构对经济增长影响的实证分析

本文通过对海南省1987-2006年财政支出结构与经济增长关系的实证分析表明:海南省科教文卫支出和其他支出对经济发展存在明显的正的相关性,而行政管理费用与经济发展存在负的相关性,海南省的财政支出结构存在一定的不合理性,因此有必要适当调整支出结构,加大科教文卫支出和其他支出的倾斜程度并适当缩减行政管理费用。     

Fiscal Federalism in Transition: Evidence from Ukraine

Effects of fiscal federalism on redistribution and economic growth are analyzed for Ukraine, a country with large regional differences. Since there is virtually no such empirical literature, except a study of the German case, and since there are several potential flaws, the results must be interpreted in a very tentative way. We find that this relatively poor, disorganized country with little democracy has effectively redistributed income from relatively wealthy to relatively poor regions and thus promoted regional economic convergence, and even dampened the recession in both types of regions. We also find that the evidence does not reject the view that relatively poor regions used the transfers in a growth-conducive fashion, and the paper argues that the findings may have implications beyond the case of Ukraine. But the analysis is tricky, uncertain, and merely a small step to an interesting research issue.     

政府投资项目中规范评标专家方法的研究

虽然国家法律法规对政府投资项目的招标投标活动进行了严格的规定,但实际招标投标过程中仍有大量的违规行为发生。其中,评标是招标过程中的一个重要环节,评标专家如果在评标中违轨,可能直接改变招标的结果,并且违轨方式具有隐蔽性。于是对政府投资项目招标投标的日常管理和监督提出了更高的要求。本文首次引入决策熵理论,对评标委员评标结果的可靠性进行考察,以监督评标委员的评标行为。     

Budgetary Procedures and Deficits in Norwegian Local Governments

This paper provides an empirical analysis of the connection between budgetary procedures and deficits in Norwegian local governments. We argue that centralized budgetary procedures have an advantage in overcoming common-pool resource problems in the decision-making process and will lead to lower deficits. This hypothesis is tested on a panel data set of Norwegian local governments. The results add to the existing evidence of a negative connection between deficits and the degree of centralization of the budget process. Special emphasis is put on the problem with potential biased estimates resulting from endogeneity of the budgetary variables.     

外商直接投资、区域经济发展:财政分权下的研究

文章从财政分权、外商直接投资和经济发展的角度分析了中国东中西部三个区域经济发展问题,发现中国区域经济增长的不平衡性也体现在财政分权的政府效率和经济发展阶段的不平衡。认为东部经济正在结构调整,分权需要深化;中部经济需要调整,分权需要继续推进;西部则需要改变政府效率,提高财政支出水平,改善投资环境。     

财政透明度的研究述评

随着金融危机、政府危机的爆发,财政透明度的重要性日趋明显。本文主要从财政透明度的含义、财政透明度的构成要素及测量以及财政透明度的意义等三个方面对其国内外研究进行梳理总结,指出其贡献和研究的不足之处,并提出了关于财政透明度的尚待进一步研究的方向。