首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
相似文献
 共查询到20条相似文献,搜索用时 0 毫秒
1.
    
This paper tests the existence of political credit cycles, the positive comovement between credit and elections. While several single‐country studies point to the existence of this relationship, the link between electoral cycles and credit expansion has seen little exploration at the multicountry level. Using a comprehensive dataset covering bank and non‐bank credit in 165 countries from 1960 to 2013, we show that both government and private credit significantly increase in election years. This finding suggests the possibility that politicians use not only fiscal and monetary policy to court voters, but also implement credit policies such as interest rate subsidies and tax breaks for debt to enhance credit growth. We also find that a higher degree of financial openness weakens the frequency and magnitude of political credit cycles; yet, the conditional effect of financial openness is stronger for developing countries than developed economies.  相似文献   

2.
    
This study explores whether the amount of fossil fuel subsidies paid by the government is subject to an election cycle. Theoretically, it is not a priori directly clear whether the provision of fossil fuel subsidies should go up or down when elections are upcoming. On the one hand, governments may reap electoral benefits from offering additional support in an election year since voters generally prefer candidates from whom they expect to receive greater material well-being by reducing the prices of basic goods. On the other hand, if the number of recipients is only small or when they are politically not well organized, reducing fossil fuel subsidies to finance a tax cut or an increase in other public spending areas that benefit and attract more voters might be a more successful re-election strategy. My main empirical findings clearly show a U-shaped election effect. It turns out that election cycles encourage fossil fuel support only in countries that have either a large or small fossil fuel demand. In these countries, governments are more inclined to provide additional fossil fuel support in an election year. In turn, I do not find any significant evidence for the notion that upcoming elections create a window of opportunity to reduce fossil fuel subsidies. Finally, the significant election effects are in particular visible during presidential elections.  相似文献   

3.
我国地方税主体税种选择趋势研究   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
当前,我国地方税体系仍然存在一些不容忽视的问题,比如,现行地方税主体税种的定位不明晰、权限受限制、辅助税源贫乏、收入不确定、税制不规范等等问题,这些问题导致了我国地方税收入增长乏力,地方税体系缺乏与经济增长密切相关的内生增长机制,同时也极大地妨碍了我国地方税体系收入功能和调节功能的发挥。因此,分析当前我国地方税主体税的现状和问题,比较各自利弊,并探讨我国地方税主体税种的选择具有重要的理论意义和现实意义。  相似文献   

4.
随着我国政治经济体制改革的深入,我国也开始了财政分权的改革历程,并期望以此来促进公共产品供给效率,解决基层政府的财政困难。财政分权的核心支撑因素就是地方应拥有可自主支配的地方税,且财产税和地方税主体税种的选择标准有很高的吻合度。另外,研究还发现:销售税和个人所得税作为地方税主体税种的合理性值得怀疑。在地方主体税种的构建中,综合国外成功经验并本着地方税收原则,建议把我国现行的房地产税收体系改革、整合为新的财产税,并以此作为我国地方税收入的主要来源。  相似文献   

5.
    
We study how distributive politics affects political budget cycles and voting within a federal country. Our model predicts not only that the president favors politically aligned governors with larger transfers, but also that voters favor gubernatorial candidates aligned with the expected presidential incumbent because larger transfers are expected in the future. These predictions are upheld by the data from Argentinean provinces during the 1984–2014 period. Our findings imply that political alignment can trump the selection effect of voting the most competent candidate. This can help explain in particular coattail effects when gubernatorial and presidential elections are concurrent.  相似文献   

6.
在公共品供给中,政府责任是提供它需要并且能够提供的公共品。需要提供的公共品是指在现有的资源技术条件下,达到社会效用最大化所需提供的公共品。能够提供的公共品是指征到拉弗曲线隐含的最大税收量所能提供的公共品。需要并且能够提供的公共品是指需要提供的公共品与能够提供的公共品中量较小的一方。通过比较政府实际提供的公共品与需要并且能够提供的公共品,可以评价政府在这一领域称职与否。  相似文献   

7.
关于完善地方税体系的探讨   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
地方税体系是分税制财政管理体制的重要组成部分,是我国目前在理论和实践中尚未解决好的问题,提出了完善地方税体系应坚持的原则,在原则指导下,借鉴国外的经验,合理划分中央和地方税收管理权限,科学界定税种归属;优化地方税制结构,完善地方税体系。  相似文献   

8.
Several empirical studies have analyzed the factors that influence local privatization. We examine the influence of transaction costs and political factors on local governments’ choices through new variables. We consider two relevant services accounting for different amounts of transaction costs: water and solid waste delivery. Our results show that privatization is less common for water, which has higher transaction costs. Furthermore, we find that municipalities with a conservative ruling party privatize more often regardless of the ideological orientation of the constituency. Finally, we find that intermunicipal cooperation may be a suitable organizational form for some municipalities.  相似文献   

9.
The objective of the article is to assess whether remittances have an influence on political manipulation, which may occur prior to an election, through an increase in the government consumption-to-GDP ratio. We combine data from the National Elections across Democracy and Autocracy data set compiled and discussed in Hyde and Marinov (2012) and the World Development Indicators data set. We focus on 70 developing countries over the period 1990–2010. It appears that the political budget cycle is reduced up to the point where it is fully cancelled out at a remittance threshold of 10.7% of GDP. Those findings are robust to different robustness checks.  相似文献   

10.
财产税是适合我国地方政府的主体税种。财产税制度的改革和完善必须分阶段逐步推进,主要可以分为两个阶段,第一阶段将征税范围主要限制在财富积累程度高、人均负税能力强且房地产市场发达的城市地区,第二阶段再将征税范围扩展至乡镇和农村。  相似文献   

11.
This paper presents a mechanism to mitigate the adverse consequences of the political budget cycle on social welfare. We use a simplified two-period version of Rogoff's [Rogoff, K., 1990. Equilibrium political budget cycles. American Economic Review 80, 21–36.] rational budget cycle model to address the normative issue of reducing the budget deficit in pre-electoral periods. A regulation consisting of a sanction scheme contingent on fiscal policy joint with a fixed transfer is shown to provide the appropriate incentives for budget discipline in the presence of elections.  相似文献   

12.
This paper concerns the political economy of budget balances and focuses on fiscal referendums. It specifically suggests – on the basis of theoretical arguments –that any analysis of fiscal referendums must take their spending thresholds into account. Thus, it claims that mandatory fiscal referendums can impose greater constraints than optional fiscal referendums. In conclusion, various recommendations based on this observation are proposed.JEL classification: D70, H72.  相似文献   

13.
地方政府、土地产权管制与经济增长:理论与证据   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
地方政府的土地产权管制解决了其在促进地方经济发展过程中的财政压力,为改革开放以来的中国经济增长做出了重要贡献。但理论分析表明,土地产权的政府管制虽然会促进短期经济增长,却不利于长期经济增长。基于中国31个省份1998~2012年面板数据的实证检验,和同时期面板数据的分组实证检验以及时间序列模型的回归残差分析,证实了地方政府土地产权管制与经济增长之间的这种逻辑关系。为促进我国长期经济增长,政府应该逐步放松对土地产权的管制。  相似文献   

14.
物业税作为一种财产税,具有其自身的特征。未来我国在物业税的设计过程中需要考虑多种因素,规避相关风险,否则很可能使得现在的高房价变成未来的高额物业税。  相似文献   

15.
略论单一税视野中的新一轮税制改革   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
马蔡琛 《经济问题》2007,(10):114-116
"单一税" 的税制设计模式,体现了拓展税基、降低税率、简化征管的中性税收思想.在我国税制改革中引入单一税的理念,符合社会分工演进中的税制调整趋势,有助于免除经济性重复征税.我国连续多年的预算超收,也具备了启动单一税改革的财力基础.在改革路径上,需要结合现实国情,逐步调整主体税种结构,实行长期性的低税政策.  相似文献   

16.
30年来,我国财税体制改革先后经历了财政包干制、分税制和公共财政体系建设三个阶段,每个阶段的地方政府与同一阶段不同层级或地域的地方政府,其行为表现出较大的差异。导因于中央与地方财政关系调整对地方政府的不同激励与约束机制,地方政府对中央政府的财政依附性在不断增强;地方政府之间的财政竞争逐渐让位于合作;地方政府推动市场化改革进入了良性轨道;地方政府职能逐步从经济性向公共性过渡。  相似文献   

17.
    
  相似文献   

18.
From federalism, Chinese style to privatization, Chinese style   总被引:25,自引:0,他引:25  
In 1995, China began a profound reform of its state-owned enterprises. We first describe and characterize this progress in two areas: privatization of small state-owned enterprises at the county level and mass lay-offs of excess state workers at the city level. Local governments have initiated these reforms, which are proceeding in economically and politically sensible ways. We then argue that privatization, Chinese style, rests on an adequate economic and political foundation - federalism, Chinese style. We suggest a range of incentives that propel local governments toward state-owned enterprise reform, including their harder budget constraints and increased competition from the non-state sector. In this sense, federalism, Chinese style, has induced privatization, Chinese style.
JEL classification: H7, L30, P3.  相似文献   

19.
This paper provides evidence for the importance of direct electoral processes by investigating the consequences for public spending of an unexpected reform that repealed direct elections for local (provincial) politicians in Italy. Direct elections were substituted with indirect ones, whereby directly elected municipal politicians choose a municipal mayor to serve as provincial president. Using a difference-in-differences strategy, I document two main consequences of the reform. First, municipalities connected to the provincial presidents tend to receive disproportionately more public funds after the reform, suggesting geographic favoritism increased. Second, the share of provincial resources spent on public goods drops in favor of bureaucratic costs. I discuss suggestive evidence that these results are driven by weaker electoral incentives rather than by the selection of worse politicians.  相似文献   

20.
    
In this article, we study the duration of public finance cycles in 12 European countries since 1960. We applied periodogram techniques on the levels of fiscal illusion found for these established democracies and tested the statistical significance of the Fourier frequency peaks. Our empirical efforts revealed that most of the cycles in these countries could be characterized as long-term cycles (approximately 30 years), embodying subcycles of approximately 15 years. These findings show that in addition to the commonly studied electoral cycles or real business cycles, our democracies demonstrate extended public finance cycles that extend over various legislative tenures ruled by different political parties.  相似文献   

设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号