金融危机背景下消费信贷发展状况及应对措施:以山东为例

发展消费信贷、拉动经济回升已成为当前金融危机背景下需要研究的重点问题。本文以山东省为例,着重分析了金融危机以来消费信贷的运行状况及对经济回升的作用效果,并提出了进一步促进消费信贷发展、应对金融危机影响的针对性措施。     

中国消费信贷发展回顾与展望

扩大内需、启动消费是未来中国整个经济持续增长的支点.1997年亚洲金融危机后,在扩大内需的大背景下,中国的消费信贷市场开始起步并获得迅速发展.2008年,在美国次贷危机对全球经济的影响持续扩大的背景下,中央再次提出了扩大内需的战略要求.为落实中央"保增长、扩内需、调结构"的调控目标,回顾和总结十年来中国消费信贷的发展历程,有利于进一步促进经济发展方式转变.发挥消费信贷对支持扩大内需的作用.     

从商业银行盈利性角度看我国的消费信贷

消费信贷是商业银行以货币形态或契约的形式向消费者提供的用于购买商品或劳务的贷款和信用.在我国,加快发展消费信贷具有十分重要的意义.它不仅被寄予了拉动内需、刺激经济回升的重大厚望,而且作为我国商业银行的业务创新,它也被视作商业银行着力开发的新的利润增长点之一.     

供给视角下的农村消费信贷制约因素及路径选择

当前,扩大国内消费已成为我国走出金融危机、成功实现经济结构转型的共识。消费信贷经过近10年的发展,为城市居民提供便利的金融服务,却忽视广大农村地区的需求。农村消费信贷亟须有一个快速开展和提升的内在要求。     

影响镇江市消费信贷业务发展的原因分析及政策建议

消费信贷作为支持消费的政策工具,在当前金融危机形势下实现“保增长、扩内需、促发展”的意义重大。本文通过收集近年来镇江市消费市场及消费信贷业务发展的大量数据,并通过与周边城市的比较,全面阐述了制约镇江消费信贷业务发展的深层原因,并提出了进一步发展消费信贷的政策建议。     

消费信贷:经济增长的新动力

发展消费信贷已成为扩大内需、促进国民经济发展的重要措施.本文从分析消费函数理论人手,总结了消费信贷发展的理论基础及其决定因素,指出消费信贷发展的积极意义和巨大潜力,说明消费信贷将成为中国经济增长的新动力.     

我国商业银行大力发展消费信贷业务研究

目前我国经济正在遭遇着国际性金融危机全面冲击的严峻挑战。在阐述银行消费信贷国际借鉴的基础上,有针对性地提出了一系列我国商业银行大力发展消费信贷的策略,目的是增加群体投资,拉动消费,启动市场,解决当前国内严重的内需不足、消费疲软问题,重振我国经济。     

我国消费信贷发展现状分析与对策

1、我国消费信贷始于20世纪八十年代，但真正积极倡导和开展消费信贷是在东南亚金融危机和我国经济实现“软着陆”后。为了扩大内需，人民银行近年来陆续推出了一系列促进消费信贷的政策，如从1999年陆续出台了《个人住房贷款管理办法》、《汽车消费信贷管理办法》、《关于开展个人消费信贷的指导     

发展消费信贷业务的策略选择

目前我国经济正在遭遇着国际性金融危机全面冲击的严峻挑战。本文在阐述银行消费信贷国际借鉴的基础上，有针对性地提出了我国银行大力发展消费信贷的策略，目的是增加群体投资，拉动消费，启动市场，解决当前国内严重的内需不足、消费疲软问题，重振我国经济。     

论我国低碳经济发展的消费信贷支持

低碳经济是今后我国经济发展的趋向,扩大低碳消费需求及发展低碳产业则是发展低碳经济的重要内容.为适应低碳经济发展的需要,我国消费信贷的重心也需要转向刺激低碳消费、鼓励低碳生活以促进低碳产业和经济的可持续发展.为此,有必要研究消费信贷与低碳经济发展之间的关系,了解我国低碳消费信贷的现状、问题及其原因,探寻国内低碳消费信贷健康发展的途径及有效举措以促进我国低碳经济发展.     

Almanac of anticipations: The age of affluence—of anticipation—of anxiety—of automation—of discontinuity—of longing—of overkill—of space exploration

With this survey of developments in the futures field since 1945, I.F. Clarke completes his present series for Futures. He makes two major points: that forecasting techniques have become essential tools in the management of change; and that nuclear weapons and ecological problems have added a moral dimension to the study of the future. In the next issue of Futures he will start a new series on the range of future-thinking in the USA, from the expectations of the first settlers to the Star Wars programme.     

基金公司经营融资融券业务的问题审视

融资融券业务正式运营已经开展,为证券市场带来了革命性的改革,作为证券市场的一大主体,基金公司面对融资融券也迎来了新的发展方向和挑战,本文从融资融券业务的运行机制入手,分析了基金公司融资融券的新契机,并对其即将面临的问题进行审视和剖析,进而提出策略建议.     

对基层人民银行科技工作的几点建议

银监会分设后,人民银行将专司货币政策、金融稳定、金融服务三大职能。作为人民银行的分支机构,基层人民银行的工作重心也将从金融监管调整到这三大职能上来。人民银行的科技部门,就要积极运用科技手段,为人民银行履行新的职能发挥“服务、支持、促进、发展”的作用。一、围绕三大职能搭建五大平台经过“六五打基础、七五作准备、八五大发展”几个阶段后,人民银行相继实现了核算电算化、清算网络化和办公信息化。特别是近一两年来,陆续开通了大额支付系统、信贷登记咨询系统、会计四集中系统、金融信息服务网站等系统,人民银行信息化水平又…     

The Usefulness of Measures of Consistency of Discretionary Components of Accruals in the Detection of Earnings Management

Abstract:  Prior research has shown the prevalence of measurement error in models used to estimate aggregate discretionary accruals. In these models, the incremental information content of the various components of accruals is ignored. Limited prior research and data gathered from firms under Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) litigation indicate that managers use either one or more than one component of accruals simultaneously, in a consistent way to manipulate bottom-line earnings in a given direction. I propose two measures that capture the consistency between the discretionary components of accruals and test their significance in earnings management (EM) detection in firms that have artificially added accrual manipulation and firms that were targeted by the SEC for accrual manipulation. There is evidence that this information is incrementally useful in detecting EM. This finding paves the way for improvements in the discretionary accruals measure by including consistency information from the components of aggregate accruals.     

Summary of Results of Survey of Seminar Attendees

Abstract

The Society of Actuaries undertook a three-phase research project on mortality improvement in the three NAFTA countries: Canada, Mexico, and the U.S. Phase 1 consisted of a literature review of papers on projecting mortality levels in the future and a study of the trend in mortality improvement during this century. Phase 2 consisted of a discussion of different facets of modeling mortality rates at a seminar attended by 79 experts (actuaries, demographers, economists, and medical researchers) representing different countries. The last session of the seminar consisted of the completion of a survey by the attendees to obtain input for Phase 3, which would analyze the impact of mortality improvement on the social security system of each country. This paper summarizes the results of the survey.

The survey results illustrate the difficulty in forecasting mortality levels, because the effects of many factors that could have significant impact on mortality rates are unknown. This suggests the need for dynamic forecasting, which allows for the possibility of random shocks. A majority of the survey respondents believe that stochastic forecasting models, despite their complexity, have significant potential to add value. Respondents also believe that both historical data and cause-specific mortality forecasts are useful as input and also in validating forecasts of the aggregate levels of mortality. The challenge is to develop more sophisticated forecasting models to produce results that are relatively easy to interpret and to communicate these results to the desired audiences, including the public and policymakers.

The survey results suggest that the aggregate effect of lifestyle changes, medical advances, diseases, catastrophe, and physical environmental changes is an increase in life span. However, there is much uncertainty about the future. Respondents expect that beyond the year 2020 the mean annual rate of reduction in mortality for males age 65 and over will average about 0.58% for Canada, 0.76% for Mexico, and 0.67% for the U.S. The results for the female age 65 and over population are 0.64%, 0.83%, and 0.70%, respectively. The age 65 and over population is expected to see larger percentage reductions in mortality than the 0–14 and 15–64 populations. The reductions in male and female mortality will be ultimately the same, and the mortality levels in the three countries will ultimately converge, although differences may persist for decades.     

银行软件项目外包管理分析

一、引言随着国民经济的不断发展,银行业务与外部企业的联系越来越密切。银行正逐步成为现代经济活动的中心,作为数据处理核心的银行业务应用也越来越大型化、越来越复杂化,因此许多银行也把软件项目逐步由原来的自主开发转变为与公司合作的方式,或直接外包开发的方式,银行本身的技术人员也逐步由开发转向项目管理。二、项目外包的分类银行项目的外包有以下几种情况:①部分子系统外包,有时由于银行的软件项目太大,单靠银行自身的开发力量基本无法在预定的时间内完成项目,只好把相对独立的部分外包;②直接购买软件公司的成熟产品,有些金融软…     

银行管理信息平台建设发展的思考

一、目前国内银行IT发展现状及面临的问题 银行数据集中工作的完成,标志着银行的业务由电子化建设阶段转入信息化建设阶段.一方面银行数据的集中提供了丰富全面的基础数据,面对日益庞大的数据源,如何将数字转化为对银行有用的信息,并从中发现知识,为银行的经营决策提供支持,是摆在银行IT人员面前的一个亟待解决的问题.另一方面用户对银行信息的需求日益增长,如果银行没有一套完整、实用的信息管理系统,将对业务发展非常不利.南京爱立信公司倒戈花旗银行事件曾经轰动一时,其中一个重要原因就是中国本地银行不能满足爱立信全球总部对南京爱立信公司的要求:每周财务上报和每天贷款限额管理.这一事件为中国商业银行的未来发展敲响了警钟,如果不加快管理信息系统的开发,迅速提升业务管理水平,类似的事件还会接连不断地发生,并最终导致国内商业银行在同国外商业银行的竞争中全面溃败.     

Separation of Unit of Account from Medium of Exchange

The separation of a unit of account (UoA) from a medium of exchange (MoE) in the commodity–money system is investigated by considering explicitly a seller's choice of UoA in terms of either an MoE or a unit of metal weight. If the likelihood of debasement of an MoE and its rate are high enough, the price is posted in terms of a unit of metal weight rather than an MoE. Interestingly, this MoE–UoA separated equilibrium yields the flexible nominal price, whereas an MoE–UoA integrated equilibrium yields the sticky one. This implies the nominal price rigidity in the fiat‐money system where MoE and UoA are integrated.     

社会主义所有制形式的改革、完善与共产党执政能力的提高

在中国,所有制形式的调整、改革与完善,先进生产力的发展,党的执政能力建设,是社会主义建设过程中密切结合在一起的三个不同层面的发展关系.应在相互促进和共同提高中促进社会的和谐发展,保证社会主义现代化建设战略目标的顺利实现.     

金融企业员工考核系统的设计

一、概述 为配合公司人事考核制度的贯彻执行,保证该制度执行过程中各项工作能够长期、高效、准确地完成,我们开发了公司员工考核系统,实现了人事考核工作中员工投票、考核统计、考核信息分析、报表生成等功能,减少了人事部门人员的手工操作,提高了考核工作的自动化程度.