我国轿车工业的产业组织分析

本文以产业组织理论中哈佛学派的SCP范式为基本分析框架，考察我国轿车工业的产业组织状况，认为其市场结构是基于政府规制的寡占型结构，纵向一体化程度较高，市场行为体现为更多的合作性而非竞争性，但是，在入世后竞争有加剧的趋势，而相应的市场绩效为相对效率低下，技术进步和产品创新乏力，但是各寡头厂商仍可以维持较高的利润率，在此基础上，提出了一些产业组织政策建议。     

中国制造业的国际竞争力——基于网络型产业组织的分析

最近十多年来,外商直接投资(FDI)极大地促进了中国制造业的发展,制造业的快速扩张对行业国际竞争力的影响受到了越来越多的关注。本文运用网络型产业组织理论和实证方法,研究了中国大陆28个制造业行业国际竞争力及其决定因素。在2001—2007年间,网络型产业组织能够通过外资企业技术外溢效应和产业集聚提升中国大陆制造业行业国际竞争力。外商直接投资具有明显的外溢效应,产业集聚对国际竞争力也存在积极影响,但是人民币汇率、企业平均规模、经济开放度和研发支出未能增强国际竞争力,劳动力成本的上升没有削弱制造业行业国际竞争力。     

策略性行为理论研究

新产业组织理论研究的焦点是策略性行为，本文从短期、中期、长期三个层面系统梳理和评述了西方策略性行为理论前沿，旨在为研究企业的竞争行为提供有效工具．深化对复杂交易现象背后的动机和福利效果的理解，同时也为政府制定保护竞争、促进竞争的公共政策提供坚实的理论基础。     

基于制造业技术创新的战略性贸易政策与我国产业结构优化研究

文章采用理论分析、数理建模、实证分析等方法,对战略性贸易政策在制造业技术创新、产业结构升级与优化中的重要作用进行了研究。研究结果表明：（1）LZFTR（政府资金投入）与CJP（初级品）的相关系数r＝-0.964,LZFTR与ZCP（工业制成品）的相关系数r＝0.982（P＜0.01）。表明战略性贸易政策能够有效降低初级品出口比重,增加工业制品的出口比重,从而促进出口贸易结构不断升级与优化;（2） 战略性贸易政策对高技术制造业产品出口贸易固定效应、随机效应模型系数值均为正,战略性贸易政策政府研究发展补贴每增加100%,高技术产业对外贸易结构就会优化0.0042,说明战略性贸易政策对高技术制造业产品的外贸易结构变化有正向促进作用;（3）战略性贸易政策对各高技术制造行业贸易结构的影响不尽相同,其对医药制造业及各小类行业对外贸易出口产业结构优化均有明显的促进作用,其对仪器仪表出口贸易结构优化有着明显的促进作用,但是对医疗设备与器械制造出口贸易结构优化的促进作用并不显著。在此基础上作者提出了推动我国实现产业结构优化的相关战略性贸易政策建议,以期为提高我国制造业的自主创新能力,优化产业结构提供一定的理论参考。     

产业结构与产业组织互动关系的实现机理研究

产业结构与产业组织之间存在着密切的互动关系,而政策实践和相关文献中对此缺乏研究。本文提出了获得两者互动关系的四种实现机制。其基本结论是,产业组织政策是产业结构变化的工具和内在动力,产业结构政策是产业组织演化的向导和外部拉力,这种关系的政策效应具有很强的理论价值和现实意义。     

GM-free private standards and their effects on biosafety decision-making in developing countries

We provide a comprehensive review of international cases where GM-free private standards set up by food companies in developed countries have influenced biosafety policymaking in developing countries. We find 29 cases where private importers have directly or indirectly affected policy decisions in 21 countries. Most of the cases relate irrational fear of export losses to excessively precautionary decisions. These cases are based on two generally misleading premises: the belief that Europe or Japan represents the only market for exports, and the perception that non-GM segregation is infeasible or prohibitively costly in all situations. Our study also demonstrates the importance of information asymmetries across countries and agents and the role of risk aversion in seemingly irrational decision-making. The combination of these four factors helps us explain why presumed but unproven expected commercial losses still represents a significant impediment to biosafety policymaking in developing countries.     

企业竞争力研究的新视角:企业在产品市场与要素市场的竞争

本文从研究企业之间的竞争问题入手,分析了企业的竞争者不仅包括产品市场的竞争者,也包括要素市场的竞争者;提出在产品生命周期的不同阶段,企业的主要竞争对手会发生变化。基于上述研究,我们提出企业竞争力可以分为要素市场竞争力、产品市场竞争力、企业运营效率竞争力,这三种竞争力分别从投入、产出、转换三个角度测量了企业的竞争力。在企业竞争力的三个方面,“要素市场竞争力”及“企业运营效率竞争力”是企业竞争力更为重要的两个方面。     

Market Power, Industrial Concentration and Innovative Activity

This paper discusses the paradox between the positive effect of industrial concentration on R & D spending, and its non-positive effect on the number of innovations. Also, I analyze whether concentration has different effects on small- and large-firm R & D. The analysis shows that the positive effect of industrial concentration on R & D spending is at least as strong for small firms as it is for large firms within an industry, which indicates that the possession of market power is not in itself conducive to innovative effort. In addition, high concentration appears to be attended with a loss of efficiency in R & D spending.     

我国先进装备制造业全要素生产率及影响因素分析——基于产业组织视角

本文基于先进装备制造业上市公司2006～2015年的数据,使用DEA-Malmquist方法计算了我国先进装备制造业的全要素生产率,结果表明,考察期内我国先进装备制造业的全要素生产率在震荡中有所提升,东部地区先进装备制造业的全要素生产率提升幅度大于西部。以此为基础,基于产业组织的角度分析了先进装备制造业全要素生产率的影响因素,研究发现,人力资本水平、R&D经费投入、宏观经济形势、社会固定资产投资情况、对外贸易依存度以及科技劳动力对全要素生产率产生正向显著影响。最后针对本文结论提出相关建议。     

地方保护与市场分割:来自中国的经验数据

在中国市场上，存在促进分割和促进融合的两种因素，地方保护主义程度的变化趋势，取决于这两种力量的对比。本文首先简要对国内研究地方保护主义的多种测量方法进行综述．然后运用国际上测量综合贸易壁垒的“边界效应”方法对中国的贸易壁垒分地区分行业进行实证分析。研究表明，根据边界效应方法．1997年中国地方保护相当于欧洲统一大市场内部独立国家之间的情况；具体地，在八个行业部门中，农业保护最为严重。商业运输业其次，紧接着是轻工业、采选业、重工业等。这表明国内市场一体化还很不完善．其中第一、三产业保护较重，第二产业相对较轻。因此有必要针对不同行业特点制定和谐的贸易体制，加快国内市场一体化建设．以保证我国“十一五”期间经济全面协调发展．     

产品异质条件下市场势力估计与垄断损失测度——运用新实证产业组织方法对白酒制造业的研究

作为政府经济管制和反垄断的基础,市场势力的定量测度以及福利损失的有效估算是至关重要的基本问题。由于产品异质性带来的模型设定陷阱,之前陈甬军,周末(2009)使用的新实证产业组织模型仅适用于测度少数产品差异很小的产业的市场势力。本文在Klette和Desouza的基础上给出了一种更具一般性的,可以在异质性产品市场测度市场势力和垄断损失的方法,克服了不可观测的产品异质性和技术冲击导致的影响。随后,采用全国规模以上工业企业数据库数据,估计了产品差异非常大的白酒制造业市场势力溢价,并以此为依据,计算了由于市场势力溢价带来的福利净损失,验证了模型的有效性和稳健性。计量结果证明尽管白酒制造业市场结构较为分散,但是具有极强的市场势力,2008年白酒制造企业运用市场势力带来的福利净损失高达180.97亿元。     

劳动力流动与产业组织变化的互动关系研究——以中国汽车产业为例

国内外理论界对劳动力流动和产业组织变化的研究，长期以来主要是沿单一线路推进——要么主要研究劳动力流动问题、要么主要研究产业组织变化问题。而很少有学者对两者之间的互动关系进行深入研究。本文以中国汽车产业为分析对象．运用实证方法对劳动力流动与产业组织变化的互动关系进行了研究．分析了两者之间的互相影响效应．提炼、归纳出了一些具有规律性的新结论。论文最后从新的角度分析了中国汽车产业组织结构欠优化、劳动力配置不合理的成因．并提出了解决问题的对策建议。     

制造业产业结构与就业结构的协调性研究

本文根据1998～2013年制造业细分行业的产出与就业等数据,分别运用结构协调度和结构偏离度来测量制造业总体和制造业三大子行业产业结构与就业结构的协调程度。结果发现制造业总体的协调度呈现出先恶化再改善的倒“U”型的走势,制造业三大子行业结构偏离度的走势虽各有特点,但与制造业总体协调度大体保持了一致性。此外,本文采用了偏最小二乘模型（PLS）对影响制造业产业结构和就业结构协调性的因素进行了分析,结果表明制造业发展战略、对外开放程度、市场化程度、劳动者素质和技术进步是影响产业结构与就业结构协调性的主要因素。     

Market Power and/or Efficiency: A Structural Approach

This article separates oligopoly-power and cost-efficiency effects ofchanges in industrial concentration and assesses their impact on output prices in 32 food-processing industries. Empirical results indicate that although concentration inducescost efficiency in one-third of the industries, oligopoly-power effects either dominate cost efficiencyor reinforce inefficiency, resulting in higher output prices in most industries. The articlealso provides fresh econometric estimates of oligopoly power and economies of size for the industriesin question.     

Do Large, Diversified Banking Organizations Have Competitive Advantages?

The issue of whether large, geographically diversifiedbanking organizations (LDBs) have net competitiveadvantages, over smaller banks, that benefit retailcustomers in individual local markets has importantimplications for antitrust policy and the viability ofsmaller banks. If LDBs possess net advantages, thenlarge banks may be considered an extra-competitiveforce in the antitrust analysis of proposed bankmergers and the future viability of small banks mightbe doubtful. The results of this paper, however, donot support the view that LDBs have net competitiveadvantages. LDBs generally had difficultymaintaining, much less increasing, their depositshares from 1990 to 1996 in markets in which they madeno acquisitions. The analysis also indicates thatmarket share changes experienced by LDBs vary with anumber of LDB and market characteristics.     

竞争政策强化及产业政策转型影响市场效率的机理研究——兼论有效市场与有为政府

中国特色社会主义市场经济建设需要有效市场和有为政府更好结合,其中的一个重要途径是强化竞争政策基础地位,推进产业政策从选择性向普惠化、功能性转型。竞争政策强化与产业政策转型具有内在关联性,二者相互配合,共同促进有效市场形成。本文构建了基于竞争成功函数和共容利益假设的政企互动模型,研究发现:竞争政策和功能性产业政策有利于提升市场竞争效率,而选择性产业政策会降低市场竞争效率;功能性产业政策在一定程度上能起到弥补市场失灵的作用,体现了有为政府的积极作用。进一步考虑非对称市场竞争时发现,竞争政策可以同时兼顾提升市场竞争效率和分配效率两项目标,而选择性产业政策在两项目标上相互掣肘、由此强化竞争政策的优势凸显。本文理论模型的结论表明,有为政府应强化竞争政策基础地位,为产业政策转型创造良好的市场环境,加快选择性产业政策向功能性产业政策转型,放宽市场准入,持续推行公平竞争审查制度,维护和促进有效市场。良好的经济运行秩序需要有效市场减轻政府管控压力、有为政府简政放权营造良好市场环境,实现有效市场和有为政府更好结合。     

Rethinking the global food crisis: The role of trade shocks

Although fundamental factors were clearly responsible for shifting the world to a higher food price equilibrium in the years leading up the 2008 food crisis, there is little doubt that when food prices peaked in June of 2008, they soared well above the new equilibrium price. Numerous arguments have been proposed to explain overshooting, including financial speculation, depreciation of the United States (US) dollar, low interest rates, and reductions in grain stocks. However, observations that international rice prices surged in response to export restrictions by India and Vietnam suggested that trade-related factors could be an important basis for overshooting, especially given the very tangible link between export volumes and export prices. In this paper, we revisit the trade story by closely examining monthly data from Thailand (the largest exporter of rice), and the United States (the largest exporter of wheat and maize and the third largest exporter of soybeans). In all cases except soybeans, we find that large surges in export volumes preceded the price surges. The presence of these large demand surges, together with back-of-the-envelope estimates of their price impacts, suggests that trade events played a much larger and more pervasive role than previously thought.     

Structure and Profitability in Banking Markets

We use the structure-performance model and regression analysis to investigate a number of analytical issues that often arise in evaluating competition in connection with bank mergers and that are generally relevant to mergers in other industries. Perhaps our most consistent and strongest finding is that the local market HHI is positively and significantly related to profitability. We also find that the number of organizations and the level of recent deposit growth may provide some additional information on the level of competition. Finally, several variables including market size, the number of large banking firms, deposits per office, and resident migration rates exhibit similar relationships to profitability in the bivariate analysis, suggesting that there may be some characteristic associated with market size, density, or attractiveness that is important for competition.     

产业融合中的市场结构及其行为方式分析

在产业融合中 ,随着融合产品的替代性和互补性大大增强 ,市场边界发生重大游移。这不仅给市场界定带来了新的问题 ,并使以其为基础的产业集中度的衡量变得更为复杂 ,而且也在很大程度上改变了传统市场结构的形态 ,增强了竞争效应 ,并促使企业的市场行为有较大的改变。这对传统产业组织理论提出了新的挑战 ,需要我们加以认真的研究 ,提出新的解释和说明