依托IT服务管理突破信息资源管理瓶颈

2006年6月8日，中国信息经济学会主办的“IT服务管理高层论坛暨中国信息资源管理研讨会”在北京召开。据专家分析，国内一些企业面临数据中心整合、业务快速扩展及变化，以及业务部门对提高服务水平的要求等挑战，亟需建立严谨的IT服务管理体系，实现信息资源管理的规范化和体系化。但是，如何按照ITIL（IT基础架构库）对自身的IT资源进行梳理，从而有效支持其业务发展目标呢？     

基于ITIL的事件管理时效性初探

IT服务管理的质量直接影响业务的质量,进而影响企业的市场声誉和客户满意度。信息技术基础架构库（IT Infrastructure Library,ITIL）为企业的IT服务管理实践提供了一个严谨、客观、可量化的标准和规范,是一套以流程为导向、以客户为中心的管理方法,对IT基础架构进行全面而集中的管理,以确保企业业务的平稳、高效运营。企业的IT部门可参考1T1L制定其IT服务管理流程,从而确保企业能够高效地实现IT服务管理,为企业的运作提供更好的支持。     

ITIL及其在银行IT服务管理中的应用(二)

二、ITIL运维流程管理模式 信息系统运作以后，IT服务管理需要通过事件管理、问题管理等流程支持IT基础架构和组织业务的持续运作，保证IT资源的有效利用和业务运作的高可用性、高持续性和高安全性。ITIL提供了IT服务的模型，它包含一些过程与模板，但它不是方法，并不包括所有的执行细节。我们遵循ITIL的总体指导方针，遵守框架但不拘泥于框架，     

IT服务管理专家ITIL

为了应对行业不断增长地对IT服务的要求,提供IT管理最佳实践,英国商务部开发了和完善了一整套对IT服务的质量进行评估的方法体系,叫做ITIL（Information Technology Infrastructure Library）,即信息技术基础构架库。IBM、惠普、微软、CA、BMC、ASG等著名跨国公司作为ITIL的积极倡导者,基于ITIL分别推出了实施IT服艮务管理的软件和实施方案。如今,在欧美企业是否导入ITIL,被视为检视供货商、委外服务承包商是否具备投标资格的关键指标。     

应用ITIL体系提升IT运维服务水平

信息技术基础架构库（Information Technology Infrastructure Library,ITIL）由英国中央计算机和电信局（Central Computing and Telecommunications Agency,CCTA）在20世纪80年代末制定,现由英国商务部（Office of Government Commerce,OGC）负责管理,主要适用于IT服务管理（ITSM）。ITIL为企业的IT服务管理实践提供了一个客观、严谨、可量化的标准和规范。     

ITIL:银行IT服务管理的利器

我国金融信息化在由“粗放型”向“集约型”转变的过程中，完善IT服务管理已成为需解决的首要问题。ITIL作为IT服务管理最佳的实践指南，对提升金融IT服务管理水平有着重要的指导意义、本文在介绍ITIL体系结构的基础上，着重分析了我国金融业实施IT服务管理的必要性和实施原则。     

ITIL及其在银行IT服务管理中的应用(三)

（接上期） 三、ITIL运维流程建设建议 对于IT部门来说,实施ITIL服务支持最大的改变是做事的方法：从过去的忙乱过渡到井井有条,从过去的跨组协调转变为一以贯之的流程间协作。这不仅提高了效率,更关键的是流程化的工作方式在慢慢改变着员工的工作思路。     

基层分行如何实施IT服务管理

信息技术在支撑企业生存和持续发展的同时也给企业的管理和运作带来了巨大挑战。信息系统管理止和企业管理一样，越来越受到人们的重视。银行业作为国内IT应用的密集行业，如何参照ITIL/ITSM的标准衡量IT服务质量．基层分行实拖ITIL/ITSM还有哪些问题需要解决？本参考矧内外有关资料对此进行一些探讨。[第一段]     

农发行引进ITIL之路

将IT服务管理ITSM思想和ITIL标准化流程运用于IT运维服务流程管理,是IT管理的理想目标和战略方向,本文介绍了农发行引进ITIL的原因、调研情况、ITIL建设的目标及总体方案.     

对基层央行科技工作改进的建议——基于现代IT服务管理思想

随着人民银行信息化程度的不断深入,基层央行的网络、信息系统I、T运营环境发生着日新月异的变化。一方面,央行各业务活动对IT环境的依赖性不断增强;另一方面,央行本身IT环境的变化和复杂度也不断增强。这对基层央行科技管理工作提出了新的挑战,基层央行科技部门需要在服务理念、服务方式、管理手段等方面进行相应的变革和创新,以适应央行科技发展的趋势要求。现代IT服务管理所倡导的标准化方法和流程,为我们提供了解决基层央行IT管理存在问题的较好思路。ITIL(IT基础设施库)是关于IT服务管理流程的最佳实践,可以为央行信息化管理和保障工作提供良好的理论依据和技术保证,使其更加规范和有序。本文通过对ITIL的介绍以及对现阶段基层央行科技管理工作的现状分析,重点阐述了现代IT服务管理思想对基层央行科技管理工作的启示,同时阐述了实施新的科技管理方式的意义。     

Almanac of anticipations: The age of affluence—of anticipation—of anxiety—of automation—of discontinuity—of longing—of overkill—of space exploration

With this survey of developments in the futures field since 1945, I.F. Clarke completes his present series for Futures. He makes two major points: that forecasting techniques have become essential tools in the management of change; and that nuclear weapons and ecological problems have added a moral dimension to the study of the future. In the next issue of Futures he will start a new series on the range of future-thinking in the USA, from the expectations of the first settlers to the Star Wars programme.     

基金公司经营融资融券业务的问题审视

融资融券业务正式运营已经开展,为证券市场带来了革命性的改革,作为证券市场的一大主体,基金公司面对融资融券也迎来了新的发展方向和挑战,本文从融资融券业务的运行机制入手,分析了基金公司融资融券的新契机,并对其即将面临的问题进行审视和剖析,进而提出策略建议.     

对基层人民银行科技工作的几点建议

银监会分设后,人民银行将专司货币政策、金融稳定、金融服务三大职能。作为人民银行的分支机构,基层人民银行的工作重心也将从金融监管调整到这三大职能上来。人民银行的科技部门,就要积极运用科技手段,为人民银行履行新的职能发挥“服务、支持、促进、发展”的作用。一、围绕三大职能搭建五大平台经过“六五打基础、七五作准备、八五大发展”几个阶段后,人民银行相继实现了核算电算化、清算网络化和办公信息化。特别是近一两年来,陆续开通了大额支付系统、信贷登记咨询系统、会计四集中系统、金融信息服务网站等系统,人民银行信息化水平又…     

The Usefulness of Measures of Consistency of Discretionary Components of Accruals in the Detection of Earnings Management

Abstract:  Prior research has shown the prevalence of measurement error in models used to estimate aggregate discretionary accruals. In these models, the incremental information content of the various components of accruals is ignored. Limited prior research and data gathered from firms under Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) litigation indicate that managers use either one or more than one component of accruals simultaneously, in a consistent way to manipulate bottom-line earnings in a given direction. I propose two measures that capture the consistency between the discretionary components of accruals and test their significance in earnings management (EM) detection in firms that have artificially added accrual manipulation and firms that were targeted by the SEC for accrual manipulation. There is evidence that this information is incrementally useful in detecting EM. This finding paves the way for improvements in the discretionary accruals measure by including consistency information from the components of aggregate accruals.     

社会主义所有制形式的改革、完善与共产党执政能力的提高

在中国,所有制形式的调整、改革与完善,先进生产力的发展,党的执政能力建设,是社会主义建设过程中密切结合在一起的三个不同层面的发展关系.应在相互促进和共同提高中促进社会的和谐发展,保证社会主义现代化建设战略目标的顺利实现.     

Summary of Results of Survey of Seminar Attendees

Abstract

The Society of Actuaries undertook a three-phase research project on mortality improvement in the three NAFTA countries: Canada, Mexico, and the U.S. Phase 1 consisted of a literature review of papers on projecting mortality levels in the future and a study of the trend in mortality improvement during this century. Phase 2 consisted of a discussion of different facets of modeling mortality rates at a seminar attended by 79 experts (actuaries, demographers, economists, and medical researchers) representing different countries. The last session of the seminar consisted of the completion of a survey by the attendees to obtain input for Phase 3, which would analyze the impact of mortality improvement on the social security system of each country. This paper summarizes the results of the survey.

The survey results illustrate the difficulty in forecasting mortality levels, because the effects of many factors that could have significant impact on mortality rates are unknown. This suggests the need for dynamic forecasting, which allows for the possibility of random shocks. A majority of the survey respondents believe that stochastic forecasting models, despite their complexity, have significant potential to add value. Respondents also believe that both historical data and cause-specific mortality forecasts are useful as input and also in validating forecasts of the aggregate levels of mortality. The challenge is to develop more sophisticated forecasting models to produce results that are relatively easy to interpret and to communicate these results to the desired audiences, including the public and policymakers.

The survey results suggest that the aggregate effect of lifestyle changes, medical advances, diseases, catastrophe, and physical environmental changes is an increase in life span. However, there is much uncertainty about the future. Respondents expect that beyond the year 2020 the mean annual rate of reduction in mortality for males age 65 and over will average about 0.58% for Canada, 0.76% for Mexico, and 0.67% for the U.S. The results for the female age 65 and over population are 0.64%, 0.83%, and 0.70%, respectively. The age 65 and over population is expected to see larger percentage reductions in mortality than the 0–14 and 15–64 populations. The reductions in male and female mortality will be ultimately the same, and the mortality levels in the three countries will ultimately converge, although differences may persist for decades.     

银行软件项目外包管理分析

一、引言随着国民经济的不断发展,银行业务与外部企业的联系越来越密切。银行正逐步成为现代经济活动的中心,作为数据处理核心的银行业务应用也越来越大型化、越来越复杂化,因此许多银行也把软件项目逐步由原来的自主开发转变为与公司合作的方式,或直接外包开发的方式,银行本身的技术人员也逐步由开发转向项目管理。二、项目外包的分类银行项目的外包有以下几种情况:①部分子系统外包,有时由于银行的软件项目太大,单靠银行自身的开发力量基本无法在预定的时间内完成项目,只好把相对独立的部分外包;②直接购买软件公司的成熟产品,有些金融软…     

银行管理信息平台建设发展的思考

一、目前国内银行IT发展现状及面临的问题 银行数据集中工作的完成,标志着银行的业务由电子化建设阶段转入信息化建设阶段.一方面银行数据的集中提供了丰富全面的基础数据,面对日益庞大的数据源,如何将数字转化为对银行有用的信息,并从中发现知识,为银行的经营决策提供支持,是摆在银行IT人员面前的一个亟待解决的问题.另一方面用户对银行信息的需求日益增长,如果银行没有一套完整、实用的信息管理系统,将对业务发展非常不利.南京爱立信公司倒戈花旗银行事件曾经轰动一时,其中一个重要原因就是中国本地银行不能满足爱立信全球总部对南京爱立信公司的要求:每周财务上报和每天贷款限额管理.这一事件为中国商业银行的未来发展敲响了警钟,如果不加快管理信息系统的开发,迅速提升业务管理水平,类似的事件还会接连不断地发生,并最终导致国内商业银行在同国外商业银行的竞争中全面溃败.     

Separation of Unit of Account from Medium of Exchange

The separation of a unit of account (UoA) from a medium of exchange (MoE) in the commodity–money system is investigated by considering explicitly a seller's choice of UoA in terms of either an MoE or a unit of metal weight. If the likelihood of debasement of an MoE and its rate are high enough, the price is posted in terms of a unit of metal weight rather than an MoE. Interestingly, this MoE–UoA separated equilibrium yields the flexible nominal price, whereas an MoE–UoA integrated equilibrium yields the sticky one. This implies the nominal price rigidity in the fiat‐money system where MoE and UoA are integrated.     

Properties of time-series estimates of degree of leverage measures

Empirical studies suggest that time-series regression estimates of the degrees of operating and financial leverage have a tendency to produce measures less than one. According to ex ante theory, these measures should be greater than one for firms operating above the breakeven point. There have also been suggestions that the biases in these estimates may be attributable to an underlying increase in unit sales. This work presents evidence that these counter-intuitive measures are produced by changes in the firm's operating parameters (unit price, variable cost, fixed cost and interest payments). It further suggests that attempts to control for the underlying change in unit sales substantially increase the volatility of predicted estimates.