我国产险公司承保亏损原因分析及建议

近年来,我国产险市场保持快速增长,但自2006年起承保效益连续出现大面积亏损,严重影响产险公司偿付能力。本文分析了产险公司承保效益情况,并剖析了造成普遍亏损的原因,认为要扭转产险行业普遍亏损的现状,保险企业要转变经营理念,提升自身经营绩效及经营水平;保险监管部门要在尊重市场规律基础上,推出有效的监管措施,为促进有序竞争提供制度保障。     

我国产险公司服务能力提升研究

近年来我国产险公司服务能力不足已严重影响到保险公司的业务发展,影响到产险业在消费者心中的形象。本文从分析服务在产险公司经营中的重要地位出发,剖析了影响产险公司服务品质和能力的诸多因素。认为通过提升服务能力获取竞争优势已经成为我国产险业竞争的大趋势,并进一步提出了增进我国产险公司服务能力的建议。     

以战略眼光创新发展分散性业务

在我国保险市场快速发展和逐步完善的过程中，随着经营范围和地域限制的取消，外资产险公司进入市场的程度不断加深，导致高端客户和大型项目业务的竞争日趋激烈。同时，一大批新的内资产险公司也参与进来，为了扩张规模，他们在大项目的运作上更是极尽所能。此外，一些行业和大型企业出现了自保趋势，进一步加剧了市场形势的严峻性。可以预见，随着我国保险市场化和专业化程度的不断深入，     

新“国十条”赋予中小产险公司的战略机遇期

新"国十条"之于产险公司的巨大政策红利,主要集中在巨灾保险、农业保险、涉及民生领域的责任保险、贷款保证保险和出口信用保证保险等险种,这将成为日后产险市场非常重要的细分内容。作为中小产险公司,如何在新一轮市场竞争中抢滩,抓住战略机遇期,无疑已成为当下中小产险公司需要思考的重点。本文以西方经济学的产业组织理论研究范式为切入点,揭示出新"国十条"出台与当前我国产险市场结构转型的理论契合点,即当下中小产险公司应着力产品差异化竞争的理论依据,进而结合新"国十条"中的具体内容因势利导地提出未来市场操作的具体策略和突破点应集中在保险产品创新1。     

我国产险公司品牌竞争力影响因素研究

随着经济一体化的加深,市场结构的变化与消费者生活水平的提高,品牌逐步成为消费者选择商品的重要依据。如今,保险这一重要的产业在品牌效应中也存在激烈的竞争,尤其是发展较早较迅速的产险市场,各家公司都在努力的提高在国内甚至是在国际上的品牌竞争力。本文通过对产险公司品牌竞争力的阐述,运用因子分析方法以及结构方程模型分析了影响我国产险公司品牌竞争力的主要因素,最后针对实证分析的结论提出可行性的建议以加强产险公司的品牌竞争力。     

关于建立财产保险企业非现场风险监测体系的构想

一、构建非现场风险监测体系的意义 由于市场规模的不断扩大和业务竞争的日益激烈，现代保险企业，特别是财产保险企业（以下简称“产险企业”）的内部控制，正面临日趋严峻的管控压力。传统的内部控制体系，一般以定时、定点、定量的事后抽样方式进行，这在现代的产险企业经营体系中，已经无法满足内部控制体系高效率运转的需要。     

终极赔付率在车险经营中的应用

近几年,随着我国保险市场的不断成熟,产险市场的竞争越来越激烈,车险在产险市场占据着重要江山,各市场主体在车险市场的竞争更是进入了白热化阶段,车险业务已进入薄利时代。赔付率指标是指导车险经营的重要工具,因数据统计口径、应用目的等不同,在车险的经营中,有多种赔付率指标被采用,其中,终极赔付率指标在指导车险业务发展方面应用较广泛。终极赔付率能及时反映     

关于遏制车险中介业务非理性竞争的思考

当前产险机构围绕车险中介市场开展非理性竞争。为探求产险业务长期可持续发展,运用经济学原理和商业模式分析了形成车险中介市场非理性竞争的主客观原因,审视当前的变化趋势,提出革新竞争战略、信息化客户管理、科学整合渠道资源、理清监管界限和理顺价格机制作为形成理性竞争的主要对策。     

我国产险公司再保险需求影响因素分析——基于BP神经网络方法的实证研究

本文在对我国产险公司再保险需求影响因素分析的基础上,选取1997年～2010年影响我国产险公司的宏观经济数据与内部企业数据,利用BP神经网络构建模型,对我国产险公司再保险需求进行拟合及测试(预测)分析,并采用MIV方法对各个变量进行相关性分析。本文实证研究结果表明,外部宏观经济因素对我国产险公司再保险需求影响较大,而内部因素影响效果不明显,我国产险公司再保险整体表现出"有效需求不足"的现象。     

我国中小财险公司分支机构绩效考核体系建设的探索研究

正随着国内产险市场的不断深化改革,尤其商车费改深化叠加新车销量增速下滑的影响,产险市场面临着深度调整,一方面竞争不断加剧,各市场主体抓紧抢占市场份额,另一方面分化严重,马太效应更加明显。2017年产险行业保持13.8%的较高增速,排名前八家市场份额继续上升,行业综合成本率99.74%,同比增加0.22%,然而行业前八家综合成本率97.73%,较2016年末下降0.59%,中小财险公司的盈利空间在不断压缩。由于中小财     

Competition in the general insurance industry

Using a large sample of cross-sectional data for 1998 of companies operating in the general insurance industry we attempt to shed some light on the issue of competition in this industry. Companies offering products and services in the general insurance market are believed to trade under very competitive conditions. In order to test this widely-held claim we investigate whether firms’ pricing policies reflect competitive or monopolistic market features. Under competitive conditions companies are forced to pass on any increase in costs in prices and thus their revenues will rise pari passu should wages, underwriting costs or other expenses are increasing. By contrast, a firm operating under monopolistic competition responds to an increase in marginal and average costs by increasing price and reducing output, resulting in a less then complete pass-through in revenue; profit falls. Our study is the first, to our knowledge, to apply this research methodology to the general (casuality/liability) insurance industry. Firms in this industry generate revenue through underwriting of insurance risks and from investing their assets. As underwriting and capital markets are in general segmented (catastrophe bonds apart), our empirical approach is based on the insurance and portfolio behaviour of firms and not on an integrated view of both. Previous investigations of this kind have focussed on the banking industry. Contrary to widely held views we find that competition is less than perfect.     

Product-market strategy and underwriting performance in the United Kingdom’s property–casualty insurance market

Drawing on a framework from the organizational economics literature, we utilize a panel data design to examine empirically the effect of motor insurance and liability insurance business on the overall underwriting performance of insurers operating in the United Kingdom’s (UK) property–casualty insurance market. We find that participation in liability insurance contributes positively to underwriting performance, whereas motor insurance is associated with inferior underwriting performance. Additionally, we find that higher reinsurance ratio is associated with better underwriting performance, but reduced profit margins. Our results show that higher leverage too is associated with better underwriting performance. We conclude that our results could have potentially important commercial and/or policy implications.     

Competition and Insurance Twenty Years Later

We are honored to address the European Group of Risk and Insurance Economists and will take the opportunity to make some reflections on the rather uneasy relationship between insurance and competition. Economists generally prescribe competition as a solution for markets that do not work well. Competition allocates resources efficiently and encourages innovation and attention to what customers want. Insurance markets differ from most other markets because in insurance markets competition can destroy the market rather than make it work better. One of the dimensions along which insurance companies compete is underwriting—trying to ensure that the risks covered are “good” risks or that if a high risk is insured, the premium charged is at least commensurate with the potential cost. The resulting partitioning of risk limits the amount of insurance that potential insurance customers can buy. In the extreme case, such competitive behavior will destroy the insurance market altogether. A simple model illustrates.     

股权结构对财险公司风险承担行为影响的实证研究

本文从理论层面上剖析了公司股权结构对风险承担的影响及具体作用机理,然后基于2002～2018年我国77家财险公司的非平衡面板数据构建联立方程模型,利用三阶段最小二乘法(3SLS)进行参数估计.研究发现,股权结构对我国财险公司的风险承担行为存在显著影响.具体而言,股权集中度对承保风险存在显著正向影响,表现出“侵占效应”;...     

我国经济周期对非寿险承保周期的影响研究

采用HP滤波法对我国1999年～2011年季度非寿险市场承保赔付率进行研究,发现我国存在3～5年的非寿险承保利润周期现象。通过建立回归模型分析方法证明经济周期对承保利润率周期有显著影响,进而采用VAR模型的脉冲响应和方差分解考查经济周期对承保周期的具体贡献率。研究结果表明整个经济变量波动共同解释作用达到22%,远远超过了其他干扰项带来的影响。     

Versicherungszyklen in der deutschen KFZ-Versicherung

In this paper we analyze underwriting cycles in the German motor insurance industries for the last 50 years. A special emphasis is laid on the so-called aggregation bias that arises when data from different lines of business is merged in a total market statistic. In literature, underwriting cycles were found for many international markets and for numerous lines of business. We find underwriting cycles for the German motor insurance with lengths between six and ten years, which have been increasing for the last years. Our empirical evidence on cycle lengths in German motor insurance fits well into the context of international comparative studies on underwriting cycles.     

非寿险承保风险引发系统性风险的复杂网络分析

本文基于我国财险业2009～2018年数据,用复杂网络理论模型构建了财险业承保业务网络,并模拟了承保风险传染过程,分析了承保风险对财险业系统性风险的影响轨迹及程度.研究发现,我国财险业承保业务网络的联系越来越密切,承保风险的增加会引发传染风险,进而导致爆发系统性风险.但当前我国财险业整体稳定,只有发生1600亿元及以上...     

保险公司资产组合与最优投资比例研究

保险公司收益主要来源于承保利润和投资收益,其中承保利润受政策变动、市场条件等外部环境的影响较大,而投资收益则更多地取决于保险公司的投资能力,因此保险公司如何构建资产组合、如何确定最优投资比例就是获取投资收益最大化的重要因素。本文通过理论推导得出了保险公司的资产组合模型并运用非线性规划求解出最优投资比例,进而根据保险公司的投资数据进行了实证研究,为我国保险公司的资产组合及最优投资比例提供了一个可借鉴的思路。     

A Theory of the Demand for Underwriting

We examine the demand for underwriting and its effect on equilibrium in an insurance market in which insureds know their risk type, but insurers do not. Our analysis indicates that a set of policies including one that requires buyers to take an underwriting test can constitute a full coverage Nash equilibrium when perfect classification is possible. We also find that underwriting equilibria, in which low risks obtain greater coverage than they would without underwriting, widely exist in a Wilsonian market with nonmyopic insurers. Our findings provide a potential explanation for why empirical evidence on adverse selection is mixed.     

Medical professionalism in the life insurance industry

Steadily increasing competition has changed the underwriting environment in most life insurance companies. This article attempts to explore how heightened competition presents a new challenge for medical professionals employed in the industry.