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1.
In an evolutionary approach to macroeconomics, the market disequilibrium dynamics resulting from structural change need to
be properly represented at the aggregate level. As suggested by the late F.A. Hayek, a suitable equilibrium concept required
to this end as a frame of reference, is that of a flow equilibrium. The paper explores the corresponding flow dynamics that
draw attention to variables not usually considered in macroeconomic theorizing. Using statistical estimates for these new
variables for the West German manufacturing sector during the German unification process allows some important new insights
on the relationships between structural change and macroeconomic performance.
相似文献
Ulrich WittEmail: |
2.
Ralf Brüggemann 《Empirical Economics》2006,31(2):409-431
In this paper we analyze the sources of German unemployment within a structural vector error correction model (SVECM) framework. For this purpose we estimate a VECM model using data for unified Germany. The cointegration analysis reveals a long-run relationship between real wages, productivity and unemployment which is interpreted as a wage setting relation. Based on a reduced form subset VECM we identify structural shocks and assess their importance for unemployment by impulse response analysis, forecast error variance and historical decompositions. In contrast to previous studies for West Germany, we find that productivity, labor supply and labor demand shocks are important sources of unemployment in the long-run.
相似文献
Ralf BrüggemannEmail: |
3.
This study examines the impact of a stamp tax rate increase on market behavior, using data from two stock exchanges in China. We find that when the tax rate increases from 0.3 to 0.5% (which implies that the transaction cost increases by about 1/3) trading volume decreases by 1/3. This implies an elasticity of turnover with respect to a stamp tax of −50% and an elasticity of turnover with respect to transaction cost of −100%. The markets’ volatility significantly increases after the increase in the tax rate. Furthermore, the change in the volatility structure indicates that the markets become less efficient in the sense that shocks are less quickly assimilated in the markets.
相似文献
Badi H. Baltagi (Corresponding author)Email: |
Dong LiEmail: |
Qi LiEmail: |
4.
Trade and productivity: an industry perspective 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
We use a sample of 14 OECD countries and 15 manufacturing industries to test for the effect of trade on productivity. Endogeneity
concerns are accounted for using the geographical component of trade as instrument as suggested by Frankel and Romer (Am Econ
Rev 89(3):279–399, 1999). We find that trade, measured in terms of the export ratio, increases productivity, even if country-fixed
effects such as the quality of institutions are controlled for, though results are less robust for imports. Estimates at the
aggregate manufacturing level turn out much larger, emphasizing the role of inter-industry spillovers.
相似文献
Fritz BreussEmail: |
5.
WaQar I. Ghani Samuel H. Szewczyk Tayyeb Shabbir 《International Advances in Economic Research》2007,13(2):123-138
We use the chain of events from the fall of the Berlin Wall to the reunification of Germany to examine how capital market
participants respond to momentous and unprecedented events. Our examination measures the impact of these events on analysts’
forecasts for the earnings of West German firms. Our results show a significant decrease in analysts’ ability to accurately
forecast earnings. Contrary to the public’s euphoria, the sense of the market was generally negative about the implications
of unification for West German firms. This negative sentiment was spread across most of the broad sectors, but within those
sectors the results were significantly positive for select groups of industries. It appears that, in the face of this extraordinary
event, financial analysts were detached from the emotions it engendered and were discriminating in their assessment of its
impact.
相似文献
WaQar I. GhaniEmail: |
6.
Johann Burgstaller 《Empirica》2009,36(3):229-244
This paper examines the issuance of share capital via the Vienna Stock Exchange between 1985 and 2004. Evidence is supplied
concerning the aggregate factors that help to explain the time-series variation in both the numbers of and proceeds from initial
public offerings (IPOs) and seasoned equity offerings (SEOs). Results indicate that there is no cyclical sensitivity of issues,
but that firms successfully time their offerings to take advantage of high stock market valuations and the associated low
cost of equity capital. Corporate indebtedness and interest rates are significant determinants of SEOs in statistical and
economic terms. The proceeds from IPOs, rather than funds raised by firms already listed, are used to finance subsequent investment.
相似文献
Johann BurgstallerEmail: |
7.
8.
The study aims to examine the impact of changes in policy variables namely, monetary aggregate (M1), exchange rate and interest
rate on two monetary goal variables, namely output and price level in Fiji from 1970 to 2006 by applying the procedures of
variance decomposition and impulse response functions. We conclude that the money channel is the most effective channel of
transmission mechanism among the three channels.
相似文献
Chee-Keong Choong (Corresponding author)Email: |
9.
This paper describes and analyses changes at the concentration level of the audit services markets in 15-EU member-countries.
The sample consists of 2,862 clients of auditing firms for the period 1998 to 2004. The findings of the research show that
concentration in the aggregate sample increased over time. Concentration in the audit markets of the EU-15 member-countries
exhibits substantial variation across countries while average concentration, before and after Arthur Andersen’s dissolution,
has increased in 12 and declined in three countries. Results segmented by economic sectors indicate that the concentration
increased in all sectors except Energy, which is the sector with the highest concentration. Overall, the empirical results
suggest that there are complexities in our understanding of auditing services markets for competition purposes.
相似文献
Irene Fafaliou (Corresponding author)Email: |
10.
Price-setting behavior of Austrian firms 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
This paper explores nominal rigidities by investigating price-setting behavior of Austrian firms based on survey evidence.
Distinguishing between two stages of price setting—first the price reviewing phase and second the price changing phase—our
results suggest that the main obstacles to price flexibility lie on the second stage. Our main result is that firms postpone
price adjustments, because they are afraid to antagonize customers with frequent price changes. Thus, customer relationships
- especially those with consumers—are a major source of price stickiness in the Austrian economy.
相似文献
Josef Baumgartner (Corresponding author)Email: |
11.
This paper puts together the non-distortionary liquidity effect of unemployment insurance and job match quality. We identify
a big impact on subsidized unemployment duration and a small impact on wages on the job that follows the unemployment spell.
Wage gains are heterogeneous and concentrated on individuals at the bottom of the pre-unemployment income distribution. The
non-distortionary nature of the liquidity effect reduces the pressure on low-income workers to accept lower productivity jobs.
相似文献
álvaro A. Novo (Corresponding author)Email: |
12.
In this evolutionary model, random shocks create differences in the rate of return on capital, while individual saving and investment behavior can reduce these differences over time. Firms with either low total factor productivity (TFP) or a low average return on capital are selected for exit, and new firms enter to take their place. As would be expected, a higher turnover rate improves TFP and reduces its variation. While we show that a higher turnover rate would result in a more positively skewed TFP distribution if exit selection is based directly upon TFP, we find that when we select firms for exit based on their average product of capital, the marginal impact of a higher turnover rate is to more negatively skew the TFP distribution. Overall, our simulations highlight the importance of considering the role selection may play in shaping the distribution of productivity when econometricians seek estimates of firm inefficiency.
相似文献
Elliott ParkerEmail: |
13.
The Portuguese economy has performed remarkably well since joining the EU in 1986. Output per worker grew at an annual rate
of 2.25%. The relative price of investment has declined. Real investment has increased compared to output, in part fuelled
by an increase in capital inflows. At the same time, resource allocation seems to have improved as well: firm-level data shows
a significant decline in the dispersion of labor productivity and size across firms. This paper argues that improvements in
outside investor rights that have taken place since Portugal joined the EU is a prime candidate to explain this set of facts.
相似文献
Gian Luca ClementiEmail: URL: http://pages.stern.nyu.edu/~gclement |
14.
We test the hypothesis that the sector bias of skill biased technical change is important in explaining the rising relative
wage of skilled workers in the manufacturing sector in three Central and Eastern European transition countries. The econometric
results broadly confirm that the concentration of skill biased technical change in the skill intensive sectors had a significant
effect on the skill premium in these transition countries.
相似文献
Robert Stehrer (Corresponding author)Email: |
15.
This paper investigates the determinants of the survival, between 2001 and 2004, of 622 small firms in England. Seventy one
percent of these firms were less than 5 years old in 2001. Prior work by industrial economists has primarily focussed upon
factors such as profitability and exit barriers. In contrast, this paper adopts a more managerial approach by examining whether
the human capital of the business owner and organisational variables explain survival and non-survival. Our results suggest
the founder’s education and bank finance promote firm survival. Firms which compete on price, or report being financially
constrained at start-up, are much less likely to survive.
相似文献
George SaridakisEmail: |
16.
Between 1955 and 1987, Austrian trade with Eastern Europe was characterized by specific factors. On the one hand, trade flows
were influenced by the central planning system in Eastern Europe. On the other hand, Austria applied non-standard policy tools
to manage Eastern trade. Furthermore, Austrian trade with Eastern Europe was affected by the implementation of the free trade
agreement with the European Communities (EC) and the change in the institutional framework for Eastern trade in the early
1970s. Austrian Eastern exports were fostered by increased export subsidies and barter trade. We assess the net effects of
these contradictory measures of trade policy by estimating aggregate import and export equations and testing for a structural
break in 1973. Our results are consistent with the view that Austria subsidized Eastern exports to pursue a countercyclical
policy after 1973.
相似文献
Andreas ReschEmail: |
17.
Maria Rosa Borges 《International Advances in Economic Research》2007,13(1):65-80
This paper analyzes the initial public offering (IPO) underpricing phenomenon in Portugal. We show that the ‘hot issue’ market
of 1987, coinciding with a speculative bubble in the stock market, is well explained by investor sentiment theories and that
the issuing firms seized a ‘window of opportunity’ provided by excessive demand to offer and list their shares. In IPOs prior
to the 1987 crash, underpricing is very high while there is a strong reversion to fundamentals in the long run. In the period
1988–2004, we find lower IPO underpricing and overall no evidence of long-run underperformance of IPO firms. Bookbuilding
IPOs are more underpriced than other price setting systems IPOs, and firms with seasoned public offerings show abnormal returns
in the long run.
相似文献
Maria Rosa BorgesEmail: |
18.
In many differentiated product industries, both traditional and “new economy” activities, vertically integrated firms also
supply inputs to apparent rivals in the downstream business. This generates heterogeneity between low- and high-sunk cost
suppliers with implications for entry and competitive conduct. The web hosting market is typical with primary suppliers operating
alongside resellers who rent server space from them. We explore the impact of competition in US hosting using a unique dataset
covering 15,000 packages offered by 3,500 firms. The results suggest price is sensitive to competitor clustering in quality
space; an outcome consistent with easy entry for resellers with ultra-low fixed costs.
相似文献
Steve ThompsonEmail: |
19.
Antonio Ribba 《Empirical Economics》2006,31(2):497-511
In this paper, by using a combination of long-run and short-run restrictions, we identify a small structural VECM which includes inflation, unemployment and the federal funds rate and study the dynamic interactions at different frequencies among these variables. Our results show that: (a) in accordance with the traditional view of economic fluctuations, aggregate demand shocks and monetary policy shocks push inflation and unemployment in opposite directions in the short run; (b) the permanent supply shock explains the long-run movement of inflation and unemployment. These conclusions are at odds with the prediction of “natural-rate” models but are consistent with the idea of a propagation mechanism which links productivity shocks to inflation and unemployment at medium and low frequencies. Thus, with respect to some recent studies (e.g. Beyer and Farmer, ECB Working Paper 121, 2002, and Ireland, J Monet Econ 44:279–291, 1999), we offer a different interpretation of the low-frequency comovements between inflation and unemployment characterizing the US economy in the last decades.
相似文献
Antonio RibbaEmail: |
20.
It is well-known that endogenous cycles can occur in Ramsey models with heterogeneous households and borrowing constraints.
In this note, we address the issue of robustness in the more general case of endogenous labor supply and we explain the occurrence
of local indeterminacy under progressive taxation.
相似文献
Thomas Seegmuller (Corresponding author)Email: |