亚洲金融危机爆发的深层原因

亚洲有关国家的巨额外债、金融资产泡沫、经常项目逆差、汇率高估等是导致亚洲金融危机的直接原因。而"冰冻三尺,非一日之寒",巨额的外债、经常项目赤字、房地产和股市泡沫不是一天两天就产生的,亚洲有关国家不合理的经济和金融结构是亚洲金融危机产生的内在的深层的原因。在人们的伤痛逐渐平复,对这场金融危机的记忆慢慢变淡时,对危机爆发的深层原因进行深入的分析,无疑仍有警示作用。     

美国金融危机和亚洲金融危机起因的比较

<正>2008年下半年,由美国次贷危机引发的金融危机席卷全球,至今尚未见底。1997年7月2日,泰国宣布放弃固定汇率制,实行浮动汇率制,引发了一场遍及东南亚的金融风暴,1999年才结束,这就是亚洲金融危机。两次金融危机爆发前后相距11年。本文探讨了前后两次金融危机的起因,以期对我国金融业有所警示。     

韩国缘何最先走出金融危机阴影?

亚洲金融危机的冲击,使韩国经济受到重创,1998年国内生产总值就锐减6.7%.但四年来,韩国政府并没有停止改革的步伐,反而对经济进行大规模的改革和结构调整.如今,韩国经济再度雄起,今年第一季度该国经济增长达5.7%.韩国生产的电话、汽车和电影正风靡全球.     

Globalisation,Institutional Reforms and Financial Development in East Asian Economies

This study investigates the dynamic effects of globalisation on institutions and financial development in East Asian economies using panel data tests. Our empirical results demonstrate that globalisation has a significant influence on institutional quality, and that institutional reforms in turn facilitate and support financial development, in particular the development of the banking sector in East Asia. Globalisation is also found to have a favourable direct impact on stock market development without passing through an institutional quality channel.     

FDI,Growth and the Asian Financial Crisis: The Experience of Selected Asian Countries

This paper studies the trends in foreign direct investment (FDI) flows into selected South‐East Asian and East Asian economies after the Asian crisis. Empirical evidence indicates that South‐East and East Asian economies are recovering from the Asian crisis with strong output growth driven largely by export growth. However, output growth in the post‐crisis period is also accompanied by rising unemployment rates, growing government deficits, and declining FDI inflows into the South‐East Asian region. The declining FDI inflows into South‐East Asia after the crisis is of concern, as our empirical results show that FDI is important for output growth in the region. Our results also suggest that there might have been structural changes in the regional economies that could have led to a downward shift in the output growth of Asian economies in the post‐crisis period. This raises the issue of the sustainability of their output growth in the post‐crisis period.     

东亚金融危机:典型事实与成因逻辑

东亚金融危机是多重因素共同作用的结果,既有根植于东亚各国发展模式的内生因素,又有来源于全球宏观经济发展环境的外生因素。外债负担过重、银行风险集聚、金融自由化无序、金融和政治腐败等是东亚金融危机的主要原因。具体说来,一是东亚各国高投资的"同质性"增长模式导致债务规模和不合理的债务结构,特别是大量基于投机和套利的短期资本涌入,使其暴露于巨大的风险当中。二是在"盲目"的投资冲动下,东亚各国的银行资产负债表不断恶化,风险迅速向银行体系集聚,连锁式的信用恐慌加剧了危机的深度和广度。三是东亚各国资本项目过早开放、利率管制过于放松以及金融监管长期滞后,表明金融自由化与本国经济金融的发展程度严重不匹配,无法有效防范和控制危机。四是金融和政治严重腐败,而制度发展水平、政府纪律及管理能力又比较低。     

今年东南亚经济会是啥样?

去年11月，中国与东盟签署了《全面经济合作框架协议》，共同组建中国一东盟自贸区。今年是执行《协议》的第一年，这使得人们特别关注今年的东南亚经济，因其关系到世界上人口最多的自由贸易区能否顺利启动，关系到我国企业发展与东南亚的经贸合作。     

金融危机引发的企业危机管理思考

<正>全球持续蔓延的金融危机给世界各国企业造成沉重打击。就我国企业而言,也不可避免地纷纷出现订单下降、销量下滑、利润降低、出口受阻、裁员、降薪、破产、倒闭等现象,在外向型企业中尤为严重。但不要忘记,任何事物的发展都有内因和外因两方面的因素。外因只是条件,仅起     

The Potential for Tourism in Post-crisis Recovery: Lessons from Malaysia's Experience of the Asian Financial Crisis

The impact of crises on a national economy can be severe and it is essential that recovery is rapid and complete. This article argues that tourism may be an ideal focus for the recovery effort, as it is resilient and has many links into other sectors. Based on data collected from interviews with senior policy makers in Malaysia, the performance of tourism in four key areas is explored in the context of the Malaysian response to the Asian financial crisis. It is concluded that on balance, tourism is worthy of special consideration as a vehicle for post-crisis recovery.     

External Public Debt,Trade Linkages and Contagion During the Eurozone Crisis

Against the backdrop of the contagion literature, the paper analyses the impact of financial and trade linkages on sovereign bond spreads in the Eurozone crisis. Using quarterly data for a sample of EMU countries during the period 2000–13, we estimate fixed‐effect panel models with Driscoll and Kraay standard errors that are robust to general forms of spatial and temporal dependence. Our main results can be summarised as follows: first, we suggest that the ‘sudden stop’ of capital inflow towards the peripheral sovereign debt triggered a re‐segmentation of financial markets and economic systems along national borders, with negative implications for risk‐sharing and the efficient allocation of capital. The ‘home bias’ effect – that is the increase in the share of sovereign debt held by domestic banks – worsened the country‐specific risk because the twin crisis (sovereign and banking) began to be conceived as more closely intertwined within countries than before. Second, the structure of international trade helps to account for the geographic scope of contagion, even after controlling for macroeconomic and fiscal vulnerabilities. Finally, the ‘substitution effect’ of public debt securities of stand‐alone emerging countries has affected more the sovereign spreads in the core than in the periphery.     

Crisis Management and Resolution:Lessons from the Financial Crisis

The recent crisis was unusual in its speed and breadth and the type of countries affected.Systemic crises, situations of significant stress in the financial sector, followed by significant policy interventions, often affect several countries at the same time.In the past, though, crises have been largely limited to specific regions or types of economies, the Nordic countries in the early 1990s, Latin America in the mid-1990s, Asia in the late 1990s, and the emerging market economies of the early 2000s.The recent crisis has been unusual in its global nature, affecting countries with a speed and virulence not seen since the Great Depression, with major advance countries and countries recently integrating with the European Union (EU) most affected.     

The International Business Ethics Index: Asian Emerging Economies

The systematic measurement of consumers’ sentiments toward business ethical practices is expanded to two emerging economies in Asia (China and India). The Chinese were very optimistic about the future ethical behavior of businesses, while the Indians recorded the lowest BEI scores yet. Chinese consumers were very concerned with product issues, while Indians were concerned equally about low quality products and excessive prices. John Tsalikis is an Associate Professor of Marketing at Florida International University. His articles have appeared in the Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science, Journal of Business Ethics, and Psychology in Marketing. Bruce Seaton is an Associate Professor of Marketing at Florida International University. His research interests include the role of national stereotyping in consumer choice and the application of experimental methods to investigate models of business ethics. His articles have appeared in the Journal of Advertising, Journal of Business Research, and Journal of Global Marketing. Tiger Li is an Associate Professor of Marketing at Florida International University. His research interests are in the areas of international market entry strategies, product innovation, and organizational learning behavior. His articles have appeared in Journal of International Marketing, Journal of Marketing, Journal of Marketing Education, and International Business Review.     

欧元模式适合亚洲吗?

随着欧元的构想成为现实，亚洲的公司、银行、投资看以及政府有必要了解和认识欧洲的单一货币可能产生的诸多影响。     

金融阈值视角下的金融危机——从美国次贷危机看被漠视的金融临界点

此次美国金融危机是过度衍生和过度虚拟的金融资源危机,是全球经济金融发展的最大的不可持续,再次尖锐地考问虚拟经济与金融的本质及二者有无边界。金融必须尊重极限,仅用增长规模和财富聚敛作为衡量成功的惟一尺度,正破坏着珍贵的金融资源。通过生态阈值的警醒、逻辑斯蒂增长模型的提示,应该认识到金融发展和扩张同样有其不可逾越的金融阈值。面对人类贪婪而自负的挑战,次贷危机的爆发证实了金融临界点的客观存在性。沙堆实验、混沌论提供了理性认识金融阈值的科学方法,而确立正确的价值观是更为现实的道德标准。