基于均值比较及T检验的我国网贷问题平台特征分析北大核心

本文通过均值比较、回归分析、独立样本T检验等方法,对网贷问题平台进行实证研究。研究发现,网贷问题平台具有注册资本相对少、存续时间短、区域发展不平衡以及地区性风险不显著等特征。本文在研究方法上,创新运用了均值比较和独立两样本T检验,对目前研究中的一些结果进行了修正;提出了我国P2P网贷平台风险识别的基本方法,并指出网贷平台实力和经营方式应是当前监管的重点。     

安徽P2P网贷平台风险管控研究——基于金融科技视角

本文基于金融科技视角,对安徽P2P网贷平台风险面临的运营风险、信用风险、政策风险、流动性风险和技术风险进行了探讨,对网贷平台关联方如何识别风险进行了研究,进而分析了安徽P2P网贷平台风险控制不力的原因,最后为促进安徽P2P网贷平台健康稳定发展提出可行的风险管控措施。     

基于投资者视角下的我国P2P网贷风险防控

风险防控问题从来都是P2P网贷平台的核心问题.本文通过P2P网贷发展的现状,对平台发生的风险进行剖析,引入经济学家大卫·多兰的贷款信用衍生模型,利用Eviews回归和博弈的方法,对投资者发生的风险做出分析,基于论证结果做出风险判断,最后提出建设性的意见,从源头上减少P2P网贷违约风险的发生.     

基于模糊层次分析法的P2P网贷平台声誉风险评估研究

随着P2P网贷平台迅猛发展,平台提现困难、停业、跑路等现象频发,使网贷平台面临巨大的声誉风险。文章以P2P声誉风险为研究对象,借鉴Harris-Fombrun模型,形成P2P声誉风险指标体系,采用模糊层次分析法对网贷平台声誉风险进行评价,进而提出相关建议。     

浅谈P2P网贷外部风险管理研究

现今我国中小企业存在融资困境,为此诞生了P2P网贷。由于暂无完善的体系制度,P2P网贷平台也面临了诸多风险,因此,如何对其风险进行监督管理是一个重要的课题。本文先简要阐述P2P网贷在中国的发展现状,进而分析P2P网贷的现有外部风险,从监管、行业自律等内外部方面就防范P2P网贷风险提出了风险管理对策。     

P2P网络贷款模式的法律风险及其对策——以“稳盈-安e贷”为例

P2P(Peer to Peer)网络贷款平台是依托互联网产生的一种新型融资形式,近年来在我国取得快速发展,为民间小额借贷提供了新的解决思路。但由于存在平台法律性质不明确、风控管理机制缺失及借款流向不透明等问题,P2P网贷平台运营模式存在着一定的法律风险。本文以陆金所旗下的"稳盈-安e贷"服务为例,对现有P2P网贷平台典型运营模式进行法律分析,总结其中存在的主要问题,分析原因并提出合理建议,以期能对目前P2P网贷平台的规范运营起一定的指导作用。     

金融风险视角下我国网络借贷市场的发展

P2P网贷是一种去中介化的借贷模式,借贷双方借助于P2P网贷平台在线完成资金借贷的所有流程。P2P网贷具有投资门槛低、渠道便捷、低成本等特点,对于解决我国小微企业融资难问题意义重大。本文首先对比分析了国内外网贷平台的运营模式,然后对各网络借贷参与者的关系进行了梳理,最后分析了当前我国网贷市场的风险来源。     

非整秩次秩和比法在P2P网贷平台风险评级中的应用

近年来,我国P2P网贷平台风险问题频发,不仅使投资人蒙受损失,也不利于整个网贷行业的健康发展。对网贷平台进行风险评级,有利于识别风险平台,为投资人与监管部门提供风险预警信息。本文选取网贷之家的平台数据,基于改进的CRITIC赋权法和非整秩次秩和比法,构建P2P网贷平台风险评级模型,以2019年上半年成交量前30名的平台作为评价对象进行实证分析,得到网贷平台的风险排名与评级结果,并提出降低风险的针对性建议。     

P2P网贷法律问题研究

本文通过对P2P网贷平台的基本情况进行介绍,进而分析我国当前P2P网贷平台的现状,并对其进行风险防范提示,以期帮助完善我国的P2P网贷平台制度。     

P2P校园网贷平台模式研究

本文在分析P2P网贷平台发展现状,国内外发展状况对比和优缺点的基础之上,对于P2P在校园内的网贷平台的运营模式进行介绍,并且阐述了该校园内网贷平台是如何规避P2P传统网贷平台所带来的风险。之后,从盈利性和安全性两个方面具体分析了这种新模式的优点及对投资者的保障。     

Almanac of anticipations: The age of affluence—of anticipation—of anxiety—of automation—of discontinuity—of longing—of overkill—of space exploration

With this survey of developments in the futures field since 1945, I.F. Clarke completes his present series for Futures. He makes two major points: that forecasting techniques have become essential tools in the management of change; and that nuclear weapons and ecological problems have added a moral dimension to the study of the future. In the next issue of Futures he will start a new series on the range of future-thinking in the USA, from the expectations of the first settlers to the Star Wars programme.     

基金公司经营融资融券业务的问题审视

融资融券业务正式运营已经开展,为证券市场带来了革命性的改革,作为证券市场的一大主体,基金公司面对融资融券也迎来了新的发展方向和挑战,本文从融资融券业务的运行机制入手,分析了基金公司融资融券的新契机,并对其即将面临的问题进行审视和剖析,进而提出策略建议.     

对基层人民银行科技工作的几点建议

银监会分设后,人民银行将专司货币政策、金融稳定、金融服务三大职能。作为人民银行的分支机构,基层人民银行的工作重心也将从金融监管调整到这三大职能上来。人民银行的科技部门,就要积极运用科技手段,为人民银行履行新的职能发挥“服务、支持、促进、发展”的作用。一、围绕三大职能搭建五大平台经过“六五打基础、七五作准备、八五大发展”几个阶段后,人民银行相继实现了核算电算化、清算网络化和办公信息化。特别是近一两年来,陆续开通了大额支付系统、信贷登记咨询系统、会计四集中系统、金融信息服务网站等系统,人民银行信息化水平又…     

The Usefulness of Measures of Consistency of Discretionary Components of Accruals in the Detection of Earnings Management

Abstract:  Prior research has shown the prevalence of measurement error in models used to estimate aggregate discretionary accruals. In these models, the incremental information content of the various components of accruals is ignored. Limited prior research and data gathered from firms under Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) litigation indicate that managers use either one or more than one component of accruals simultaneously, in a consistent way to manipulate bottom-line earnings in a given direction. I propose two measures that capture the consistency between the discretionary components of accruals and test their significance in earnings management (EM) detection in firms that have artificially added accrual manipulation and firms that were targeted by the SEC for accrual manipulation. There is evidence that this information is incrementally useful in detecting EM. This finding paves the way for improvements in the discretionary accruals measure by including consistency information from the components of aggregate accruals.     

Summary of Results of Survey of Seminar Attendees

Abstract

The Society of Actuaries undertook a three-phase research project on mortality improvement in the three NAFTA countries: Canada, Mexico, and the U.S. Phase 1 consisted of a literature review of papers on projecting mortality levels in the future and a study of the trend in mortality improvement during this century. Phase 2 consisted of a discussion of different facets of modeling mortality rates at a seminar attended by 79 experts (actuaries, demographers, economists, and medical researchers) representing different countries. The last session of the seminar consisted of the completion of a survey by the attendees to obtain input for Phase 3, which would analyze the impact of mortality improvement on the social security system of each country. This paper summarizes the results of the survey.

The survey results illustrate the difficulty in forecasting mortality levels, because the effects of many factors that could have significant impact on mortality rates are unknown. This suggests the need for dynamic forecasting, which allows for the possibility of random shocks. A majority of the survey respondents believe that stochastic forecasting models, despite their complexity, have significant potential to add value. Respondents also believe that both historical data and cause-specific mortality forecasts are useful as input and also in validating forecasts of the aggregate levels of mortality. The challenge is to develop more sophisticated forecasting models to produce results that are relatively easy to interpret and to communicate these results to the desired audiences, including the public and policymakers.

The survey results suggest that the aggregate effect of lifestyle changes, medical advances, diseases, catastrophe, and physical environmental changes is an increase in life span. However, there is much uncertainty about the future. Respondents expect that beyond the year 2020 the mean annual rate of reduction in mortality for males age 65 and over will average about 0.58% for Canada, 0.76% for Mexico, and 0.67% for the U.S. The results for the female age 65 and over population are 0.64%, 0.83%, and 0.70%, respectively. The age 65 and over population is expected to see larger percentage reductions in mortality than the 0–14 and 15–64 populations. The reductions in male and female mortality will be ultimately the same, and the mortality levels in the three countries will ultimately converge, although differences may persist for decades.     

社会主义所有制形式的改革、完善与共产党执政能力的提高

在中国,所有制形式的调整、改革与完善,先进生产力的发展,党的执政能力建设,是社会主义建设过程中密切结合在一起的三个不同层面的发展关系.应在相互促进和共同提高中促进社会的和谐发展,保证社会主义现代化建设战略目标的顺利实现.     

Separation of Unit of Account from Medium of Exchange

The separation of a unit of account (UoA) from a medium of exchange (MoE) in the commodity–money system is investigated by considering explicitly a seller's choice of UoA in terms of either an MoE or a unit of metal weight. If the likelihood of debasement of an MoE and its rate are high enough, the price is posted in terms of a unit of metal weight rather than an MoE. Interestingly, this MoE–UoA separated equilibrium yields the flexible nominal price, whereas an MoE–UoA integrated equilibrium yields the sticky one. This implies the nominal price rigidity in the fiat‐money system where MoE and UoA are integrated.     

银行软件项目外包管理分析

一、引言随着国民经济的不断发展,银行业务与外部企业的联系越来越密切。银行正逐步成为现代经济活动的中心,作为数据处理核心的银行业务应用也越来越大型化、越来越复杂化,因此许多银行也把软件项目逐步由原来的自主开发转变为与公司合作的方式,或直接外包开发的方式,银行本身的技术人员也逐步由开发转向项目管理。二、项目外包的分类银行项目的外包有以下几种情况:①部分子系统外包,有时由于银行的软件项目太大,单靠银行自身的开发力量基本无法在预定的时间内完成项目,只好把相对独立的部分外包;②直接购买软件公司的成熟产品,有些金融软…     

银行管理信息平台建设发展的思考

一、目前国内银行IT发展现状及面临的问题 银行数据集中工作的完成,标志着银行的业务由电子化建设阶段转入信息化建设阶段.一方面银行数据的集中提供了丰富全面的基础数据,面对日益庞大的数据源,如何将数字转化为对银行有用的信息,并从中发现知识,为银行的经营决策提供支持,是摆在银行IT人员面前的一个亟待解决的问题.另一方面用户对银行信息的需求日益增长,如果银行没有一套完整、实用的信息管理系统,将对业务发展非常不利.南京爱立信公司倒戈花旗银行事件曾经轰动一时,其中一个重要原因就是中国本地银行不能满足爱立信全球总部对南京爱立信公司的要求:每周财务上报和每天贷款限额管理.这一事件为中国商业银行的未来发展敲响了警钟,如果不加快管理信息系统的开发,迅速提升业务管理水平,类似的事件还会接连不断地发生,并最终导致国内商业银行在同国外商业银行的竞争中全面溃败.     

金融企业员工考核系统的设计

一、概述 为配合公司人事考核制度的贯彻执行,保证该制度执行过程中各项工作能够长期、高效、准确地完成,我们开发了公司员工考核系统,实现了人事考核工作中员工投票、考核统计、考核信息分析、报表生成等功能,减少了人事部门人员的手工操作,提高了考核工作的自动化程度.